MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 16, 2025
Games for Dec 18, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Philadelphia Phillies
Los Angeles Dodgers
45.2%
54.8%
+115
-123
+120
-125
+1½-185
-1½+172
+1½-190
-1½+170
9
6
-0.78202-0.79851-0.79323
San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks
51.3%
48.7%
+112
-119
+111
-120
+1½-178
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+160
5
6
-0.62491-0.62534-0.71988
Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals
58.9%
41.1%
-178
+168
-180
+171
-1½+102
+1½-118
-1½+100
+1½-115
5
0
-0.45917-0.45361-0.52858
Miami Marlins
Colorado Rockies
55.8%
44.2%
-130
+121
-128
+125
-1½+112
+1½-128
-1½+110
+1½-120
6
5
-0.58810-0.58315-0.58372
Texas Rangers
Houston Astros
51.8%
48.2%
-113
+107
-112
+103
-1½+145
+1½-158
-1½+150
+1½-160
5
6
-0.74108-0.72873-0.73000
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
53.0%
47.0%
-114
+106
-113
+110
-1½+145
+1½-158
-1½+145
+1½-155
0
3
-0.74068-0.74862-0.75451
Los Angeles Angels
Milwaukee Brewers
33.3%
66.7%
+231
-254
+233
-260
+1½+115
-1½-128
+1½+110
-1½-125
2
9
-0.35140-0.34770-0.40450
New York Yankees
Minnesota Twins
55.5%
44.5%
-157
+152
-165
+155
-1½+100
+1½-113
-1½-105
+1½-110
10
9
-0.50053-0.48848-0.58888
Baltimore Orioles
Chicago White Sox
50.3%
49.7%
+101
-107
-101
-107
+1½-205
-1½+180
+1½-215
-1½+190
8
7
-0.71245-0.70739-0.68742
Seattle Mariners
Kansas City Royals
55.2%
44.8%
-131
+123
-133
+127
-1½+122
+1½-138
-1½+120
+1½-135
12
5
-0.58263-0.57197-0.59421
Toronto Blue Jays
Tampa Bay Rays
50.1%
49.9%
-103
-106
-102
-106
+1½-210
-1½+189
+1½-205
-1½+180
6
5
-0.70019-0.70261-0.69199
San Diego Padres
New York Mets
48.2%
51.8%
+109
-117
+108
-117
+1½-195
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+170
3
8
-0.63522-0.63747-0.65824
Oakland Athletics
Boston Red Sox
42.4%
57.6%
+140
-146
+142
-145
+1½-153
-1½+140
+1½-150
-1½+145
2
1
-0.88557-0.88882-0.85904
Cleveland Guardians
Detroit Tigers
44.9%
55.1%
+119
-129
+121
-126
+1½-168
-1½+152
+1½-170
-1½+160
7
5
-0.80365-0.80294-0.80111
Chicago Cubs
Pittsburgh Pirates
44.4%
55.6%
+113
-122
+116
-126
+1½-200
-1½+178
+1½-195
-1½+175
4
1
-0.77499-0.79039-0.81274
Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals
53.9%
46.1%
-144
+135
-148
+136
-1½+107
+1½-121
-1½+105
+1½-120
6
3
-0.54294-0.53652-0.61873
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.