MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 19, 2025
Games for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
34.6%
65.4%
+160
-169
+161
-167
+1½-148
-1½+135
+1½-142
-1½+125
11
8
-0.96829-0.96793-1.06036
Tampa Bay Rays
Washington Nationals
56.9%
43.1%
-148
+140
-145
+141
-1½+107
+1½-123
-1½+105
+1½-120
4
1
-0.52957-0.53128-0.56456
Milwaukee Brewers
Toronto Blue Jays
48.2%
51.8%
+118
-125
+116
-123
+1½-173
-1½+158
+1½-175
-1½+160
4
1
-0.79350-0.78454-0.72954
Baltimore Orioles
San Francisco Giants
40.2%
59.8%
+130
-139
+133
-138
+1½-175
-1½+165
+1½-170
-1½+160
8
15
-0.55823-0.55399-0.51363
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers
36.0%
64.0%
+200
-212
+205
-205
+1½-105
-1½-105
+1½-105
-1½+100
3
0
-1.11136-1.11514-1.02254
Texas Rangers
Oakland Athletics
45.9%
54.1%
+130
-139
+130
-135
+1½-155
-1½+142
+1½-155
-1½+140
5
2
-0.84915-0.84211-0.77849
Chicago Cubs
Colorado Rockies
62.3%
37.7%
-205
+190
-210
+205
-1½-143
+1½+127
-1½-145
+1½+135
11
7
-0.41412-0.39473-0.47367
San Diego Padres
Minnesota Twins
53.0%
47.0%
-121
+112
-121
+114
-1½+132
+1½-148
-1½+140
+1½-145
4
7
-0.77044-0.77551-0.75438
Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals
46.4%
53.6%
+103
-111
+105
-114
+1½-195
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+170
5
3
-0.72654-0.73814-0.76774
Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros
47.3%
52.7%
+139
-147
+140
-150
+1½-145
-1½+132
+1½-140
-1½+125
0
2
-0.53242-0.52736-0.64074
New York Yankees
Chicago White Sox
65.3%
34.7%
-214
+195
-210
+200
-1½-130
+1½+117
-1½-135
+1½+120
10
2
-0.40372-0.40015-0.42662
Pittsburgh Pirates
Boston Red Sox
48.3%
51.7%
+103
-110
+105
-110


4
2
-0.72433-0.72940-0.72675
Seattle Mariners
Cleveland Guardians
56.2%
43.8%
-150
+141
-151
+140
-1½+112
+1½-124
-1½+115
+1½-125
4
5
-0.89446-0.89355-0.82545
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
43.7%
56.3%
+160
-168
+157
-165
+1½-143
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+125
9
19
-0.47844-0.48547-0.57520
Milwaukee Brewers
Toronto Blue Jays
45.1%
54.9%
+122
-130
+123
-130
+1½-175
-1½+162
+1½-180
-1½+165
7
2
-0.81306-0.81556-0.79620
Tampa Bay Rays
Washington Nationals
58.6%
41.4%
-137
+128
-137
+127
-1½+117
+1½-130
-1½+120
+1½-135
4
1
-0.56460-0.56650-0.53464
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.