MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 20, 2025
Games for Dec 22, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Chicago White Sox
Atlanta Braves
41.8%
58.2%
+143
-151
+146
-152
+1½-143
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+130
10
11
-0.52120-0.51519-0.54060
Houston Astros
Detroit Tigers
42.3%
57.7%
+143
-150
+140
-150
+1½-158
-1½+142
+1½-150
-1½+140
0
1
-0.52227-0.52736-0.54931
Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox
47.3%
52.7%
+128
-137
+128
-138
+1½-160
-1½+149
+1½-155
-1½+140
4
3
-0.84070-0.84244-0.74858
Seattle Mariners
Philadelphia Phillies
41.5%
58.5%
+182
-180
+182
-186
+1½-118
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+105
4
6
-0.43930-0.43519-0.53679
New York Mets
Washington Nationals
57.2%
42.8%
-180
+173
-185
+175
-1½-118
+1½+103
-1½-120
+1½+100
8
1
-0.45095-0.44482-0.55933
Toronto Blue Jays
Pittsburgh Pirates
53.4%
46.6%
-135
+128
-136
+130
-1½+120
+1½-133
-1½+115
+1½-130
7
3
-0.56729-0.56217-0.62762
St. Louis Cardinals
Miami Marlins
46.7%
53.3%
+127
-134
+130
-135
+1½-170
-1½+157
+1½-165
-1½+150
7
4
-0.83287-0.84211-0.76207
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs
44.6%
55.4%
+138
-147
+139
-148
+1½-170
-1½+157
+1½-165
-1½+160
4
6
-0.53415-0.53128-0.59075
Cleveland Guardians
Arizona Diamondbacks
48.3%
51.7%
+106
-114
+111
-115
+1½-200
-1½+178
+1½-190
-1½+170
3
1
-0.74068-0.75547-0.72693
San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres
45.7%
54.3%
+127
-132
+135
-143
+1½-168
-1½+157
+1½-160
-1½+150
4
3
-0.82924-0.86833-0.78318
Cincinnati Reds
Los Angeles Angels
53.0%
47.0%
-109
+103
-108
+104
-1½+145
+1½-158
-1½+145
+1½-160
4
1
-0.66503-0.66479-0.63458
Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies
70.5%
29.5%
-274
+245
-280
+271
-1½-181
+1½+165
-1½-175
+1½+165
3
4
-1.26058-1.31740-1.21915
Texas Rangers
Kansas City Royals
48.9%
51.1%
+111
-121
+114
-120
+1½-178
-1½+162
+1½-175
-1½+165
3
4
-0.62358-0.61880-0.67176
Chicago White Sox
Atlanta Braves
34.0%
66.0%
+185
-200
+181
-200
+1½-108
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½-105
13
9
-1.06470-1.05547-1.07737
Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox
49.3%
50.7%
+107
-110
+108
-116
+1½-193
-1½+173
+1½-190
-1½+175
6
3
-0.73443-0.75001-0.70637
Seattle Mariners
Philadelphia Phillies
46.0%
54.0%
+106
-109
+104
-109

+1½-210
-1½+185
7
12
-0.65793-0.66266-0.61648
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.