MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 19, 2025
Games for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
St. Louis Cardinals
San Diego Padres
42.4%
57.6%
+178
-185
+173
-186
+1½-128
-1½+115
+1½-125
-1½+115
3
7
-0.44093-0.44676-0.55094
Chicago White Sox
Los Angeles Angels
43.7%
56.3%
+118
-125
+118
-127
+1½-168
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+160
5
8
-0.60195-0.59878-0.57426
Arizona Diamondbacks
Oakland Athletics
50.0%
50.0%
+111
-120
+115
-120
+1½-183
-1½+165

6
4
-0.76589-0.77596-0.69237
Pittsburgh Pirates
Colorado Rockies
59.0%
41.0%
-145
+135
-140
+133
-1½+102
+1½-118
-1½+103
+1½-120
9
5
-0.54173-0.55144-0.52741
Baltimore Orioles
Chicago Cubs
38.7%
61.3%
+165
-175
+170
-182
+1½-123
-1½+115
+1½-135
-1½+115
3
5
-0.46561-0.45353-0.48875
New York Yankees
Miami Marlins
52.4%
47.6%
-112
+103
-110
+106
-1½+152
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-160
3
7
-0.72873-0.73191-0.74299
Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Guardians
44.7%
55.3%
+147
-146
+150
-160
+1½-148
-1½+135
+1½-145
-1½+140
5
4
-0.90256-0.93156-0.80558
San Francisco Giants
New York Mets
43.7%
56.3%
+142
-152
+145
-153
+1½-148
-1½+135
+1½-140
-1½+140
12
4
-0.90002-0.90892-0.82698
Kansas City Royals
Toronto Blue Jays
46.0%
54.0%
+131
-135
+131
-142
+1½-168
-1½+152
+1½-165
-1½+150
7
4
-0.84460-0.85675-0.77562
Milwaukee Brewers
Washington Nationals
60.6%
39.4%
-137
+138
-136
+135
-1½+120
+1½-123
-1½+116
+1½-125
14
3
-0.54631-0.55299-0.50010
Los Angeles Dodgers
Tampa Bay Rays
57.0%
43.0%
-148
+140
-153
+141
-1½+102
+1½-115
-1½+100
+1½-115
3
0
-0.52957-0.52244-0.56170
Houston Astros
Boston Red Sox
51.2%
48.8%
-117
+113
-122
+115
-1½+149
+1½-153
-1½+135
+1½-150
1
6
-0.76475-0.78001-0.71808
St. Louis Cardinals
San Diego Padres
45.1%
54.9%
+134
-142
+140
-146
+1½-158
-1½+145
+1½-155
-1½+150
8
5
-0.86417-0.88557-0.79622
Chicago White Sox
Los Angeles Angels
42.8%
57.2%
+120
-129
+124
-130
+1½-173
-1½+158
+1½-165
-1½+160
1
0
-0.80616-0.81805-0.84945
Arizona Diamondbacks
Oakland Athletics
51.9%
48.1%
+114
-118
+117
-120
+1½-180
-1½+162
+1½-180
-1½+165
7
2
-0.76934-0.78100-0.65618
Atlanta Braves
Cincinnati Reds
48.8%
51.2%
-109
+101
-107
+100
-1½+142
+1½-155
-1½+145
+1½-155
4
2
-0.66984-0.67666-0.71701
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.