MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Arizona Diamondbacks
Oakland Athletics
47.2%
52.8%
+155
-159
+150
-158
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+120
1
5
-0.49287-0.50055-0.63777
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
49.7%
50.3%
-135
+130
-130
+127
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+125
+1½-130
4
5
-0.84360-0.82634-0.68786
Texas Rangers
San Diego Padres
29.8%
70.2%
+185
-193
+180
-192
+1½-105
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½+100
7
8
-0.42479-0.43048-0.35415
Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles
53.0%
47.0%
-143
+140
-140
+135
-1½+102
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-115
7
1
-0.53461-0.54663-0.63544
Milwaukee Brewers
Minnesota Twins
48.2%
51.8%
-102
+100
-103
-101
+1½-200
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+182
1
7
-0.69810-0.69806-0.65873
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
74.2%
25.8%
-315
+285
-308
+285
-1½-185
+1½+165
-1½-180
+1½+165
6
1
-0.28815-0.29091-0.29861
Cleveland Guardians
Pittsburgh Pirates
70.9%
29.1%
-255
+240
-265
+240
-1½-165
+1½+165
-1½-155
+1½+146
2
0
-0.33954-0.33414-0.34417
Philadelphia Phillies
Toronto Blue Jays
48.2%
51.8%
-117
+113
-115
+107
-1½+155
+1½-170
+1½-210
-1½+205
8
9
-0.76537-0.74632-0.65826
Houston Astros
Colorado Rockies
51.6%
48.4%
+120
-122
+120
-123
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+146
10
8
-0.79297-0.79520-0.66209
Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox
35.7%
64.3%
+155
-160
+150
-157
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+129
0
9
-0.49166-0.50178-0.44173
Philadelphia Phillies
Toronto Blue Jays
46.4%
53.6%
-120
+113
-115
+110
-1½+150
+1½-160

2
3
-0.77215-0.75362-0.62386
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
47.8%
52.2%
+135
-137
+130
-138
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+145
10
5
-0.85866-0.86218-0.73825
Los Angeles Angels
San Francisco Giants
52.1%
47.9%
-151
+145
-145
+140
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+115
+1½-130
2
7
-0.90810-0.88571-0.73512
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
75.0%
25.0%
-235
+216
-234
+215
-1½-150
+1½+135
-1½-145
+1½+140
4
6
-1.17931-1.17626-1.38758
Arizona Diamondbacks
Oakland Athletics
47.1%
52.9%
+150
-155
+150
-153
+1½-143
-1½+125
+1½-135
-1½+130
1
4
-0.50431-0.50688-0.63622
Texas Rangers
San Diego Padres
42.0%
58.0%
+130
-130
+126
-134
+1½-172
-1½+155
+1½-175
-1½+165
3
6
-0.57054-0.57077-0.54499
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.