Cubs at Pirates

Updated

Chicago Cubs

(12-7)
Rank7
R/G5.7
RA/G4.7
63.5%36.5%
Cubs WinPirates Win
5.56Projected Runs 4.14
2Final Score 6

Pittsburgh Pirates

(11-9)
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.4
Rank7
R/G5.7
RA/G4.7
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.4

Pitching

Alec Mills (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
63-25.231.163

JT Brubaker (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
40-04.51.4

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 8-2 at Pittsburgh PiratesCHC: Kyle Hendricks • PIT: Joe Musgrove-168
W 8-7 at Pittsburgh PiratesCHC: Jon Lester • PIT: Chad Kuhl-162
W 10-1 at Cincinnati RedsCHC: Tyler Chatwood • CIN: Luis Castillo+152
L 5-6 at Cincinnati RedsCHC: Alec Mills • CIN: Tejay Antone+110
W 3-0 at Cincinnati RedsCHC: Yu Darvish • CIN: Trevor Bauer-109
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 8-2 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Kyle Hendricks • PIT: Joe Musgrove+160
L 8-7 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Jon Lester • PIT: Chad Kuhl+155
L 5-6 at Milwaukee BrewersPIT: Trevor Williams • MIL: Brent Suter+180
W 5-1 at Milwaukee BrewersPIT: Steven Brault • MIL: Brandon Woodruff+257
L 6-7 at Milwaukee BrewersPIT: JT Brubaker • MIL: Brett Anderson+180

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • PJose Quintana10-day IL
  • PAndrew Chafin10-day IL
  • PTyler Chatwood10-day IL

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • 3BPhillip Evans60-day IL
  • PKeone Kela10-day IL
  • PYacksel Rios10-day IL
  • SSKevin NewmanRest
  • PNick BurdiOut for Season
  • CFBryan ReynoldsOut
  • 1BJosh BellRest
ENE 2 mph
PNC Park, Pittsburgh
WindO/U Effect
From LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)69°69°70°72°
Humidity87%88%89%96%
Precipitation35%38%37%44%
ConditionRainRainRainRain
WindENE 2 mphE 2 mphS 3 mphSW 4 mph
CB Bucknor
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away UmpireNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-170-173-164-161-170-164-161-
Pirates+157+148+151+151+155+151+155-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-145--157-152-165-160-152-
Pirates+135-+143+142+150+150+150-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 20.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 10.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Cubs: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Pirates: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from -160 to -166
Pirates ML moved from +146 to +139

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 30.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 10.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Cubs: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from -150 to -161
Pirates ML moved from +148 to +142

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-1½+100-1½-120-1½-115-1½-110-1½-110-1½-115-1½-110-
Pirates+1½-120+1½+100+1½-105+1½-110+1½-110+1½-105+1½+100-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-1½+110--1½-103-1½+100-1½-110-1½-105-1½+100-
Pirates+1½-130-+1½-115+1½-120+1½-110+1½-115+1½-110-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10-105o10+105o9½-109o9½-110o9½-110o9½-109o9½-109-
Underu10-115u10-125u9½-111u9½-110u9½-110u9½-111u9½-110-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-110-o9½-105o9½-105o9½-115o10+100o9½-105-
Underu9½-110-u9½-115u9½-115u9½-105u10-120u10-120-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10+100 to o10-105
The Under moved from u10-110 to u10-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-115 to o9½-120
The Under moved from u9½-105 to u9½-115
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