Arizona at Cincinnati

Updated
Rank30
R/G4.2
RA/G5.7
38.0%62.0%
Arizona WinCincinnati Win
3.85Projected Runs 5.11
8Final Score 5
Rank14
R/G4.9
RA/G4.9
Rank30
R/G4.2
RA/G5.7
Rank14
R/G4.9
RA/G4.9

Pitching

Merrill Kelly (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
31-28.441.688

Tyler Mahle (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
31-12.571.0

Last 5 Games

Arizona Diamondbacks
Money Line
W 5-4 at Cincinnati RedsARI: Zac Gallen • CIN: Luis Castillo+136
W 5-2 at Washington NationalsARI: Madison Bumgarner • WSN: Paolo Espino+135
L 2-6 at Washington NationalsARI: Luke Weaver • WSN: Erick Fedde+110
L 0-1 at Washington NationalsARI: Taylor Widener • WSN: Max Scherzer+180
W 11-6 at Washington NationalsARI: Merrill Kelly • WSN: Patrick Corbin+165
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 5-4 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Zac Gallen • CIN: Luis Castillo-142
L 6-3 vs Cleveland IndiansCLE: Shane Bieber • CIN: Wade Miley+150
W 2-3 vs Cleveland IndiansCLE: Triston McKenzie • CIN: Sonny Gray-137
W 3-10 vs Cleveland IndiansCLE: Logan Allen • CIN: Jeff Hoffman-116
L 0-3 at San Francisco GiantsCIN: Tyler Mahle • SFG: Johnny Cueto-112

Injuries

Arizona Diamondbacks

Status
  • CFTim Locastro10-day IL
  • SSKetel Marte10-day IL
  • PJoakim Soria10-day IL
  • PTyler Clippard60-day IL
  • 1BChristian Walker10-day IL

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • LFShogo Akiyama10-day IL
  • PBrandon Bailey60-day IL
  • PMichael Lorenzen60-day IL
  • 2BMike Moustakas10-day IL
  • RFAristides Aquino10-day IL
  • RFNicholas CastellanosOut
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
WindO/U Effect
UnknownNo Effect
Jeremy Riggs
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Arizona+152+155+145+153+151+153+155
Cincinnati-165-172-170-166-166-166-166
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Arizona+152+155+155+155+155+158+158
Cincinnati-162-170-171-170-175-168-168

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arizona: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cincinnati: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arizona: 0.0%
Cincinnati: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Arizona: 0.0%
Cincinnati: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arizona: 0.0%
Cincinnati: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arizona ML moved from +149 to +143
Cincinnati ML moved from -162 to -169

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arizona: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cincinnati: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arizona: 0.0%
Cincinnati: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Arizona: 0.0%
Cincinnati: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arizona: 10.0%
Cincinnati: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arizona ML moved from +155 to +145
Cincinnati ML moved from -166 to -172

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Arizona+1½-140+1½-135+1½-135+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140+1½-135
Cincinnati-1½+120-1½+115-1½+115-1½+120-1½+120-1½+120-1½+120
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Arizona+1½-145+1½-135+1½-134+1½-135+1½-135+1½-135+1½-134
Cincinnati-1½+125-1½+115-1½+116-1½+115-1½+115-1½+115-1½+116

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Overo8½-125o8+100o8-110o8-102o8-102o8-102o8+100
Underu8½+105u8-120u8-110u8-118u8-118u8-118u8-110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Overo8½-115o8+100o8-110o8-105o7½-120o8-110o8+100
Underu8½-105u8-120u8-110u8-115u7½+100u8-110u8-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8+100 to o8-110
The Under moved from u8-120 to u7½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8+100 to o8-110
The Under moved from u8-110 to u7½-105