Guardians at Reds

Updated
Rank12
R/G5.3
RA/G3.4
50.1%49.9%
Guardians WinReds Win
3.57Projected Runs 3.55
6Final Score 3
Rank14
R/G5.3
RA/G4.3
Rank12
R/G5.3
RA/G3.4
Rank14
R/G5.3
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Shane Bieber (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
31-12.110.891

Wade Miley (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
22-00.00.545

Last 5 Games

Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 2-3 at Cincinnati RedsCLE: Triston McKenzie • CIN: Sonny Gray+130
L 3-10 at Cincinnati RedsCLE: Logan Allen • CIN: Jeff Hoffman+110
W 4-2 at Chicago White SoxCLE: Aaron Civale • CHW: Lance Lynn+145
L 0-8 at Chicago White SoxCLE: Zach Plesac • CHW: Carlos Rodon+104
W 2-0 at Chicago White SoxCLE: Shane Bieber • CHW: Lucas Giolito+105
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Triston McKenzie • CIN: Sonny Gray-137
W 3-10 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Logan Allen • CIN: Jeff Hoffman-116
L 0-3 at San Francisco GiantsCIN: Tyler Mahle • SFG: Johnny Cueto-112
L 6-7 at San Francisco GiantsCIN: Luis Castillo • SFG: Kevin Gausman+102
W 3-0 at San Francisco GiantsCIN: Wade Miley • SFG: Aaron Sanchez+100

Injuries

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PCam Hill60-day IL

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • 3BAlex Blandino10-day IL
  • PBrandon Bailey60-day IL
  • LFShogo Akiyama10-day IL
  • RFAristides Aquino10-day IL
  • 2BMike MoustakasRest
  • PMichael Lorenzen60-day IL
NW 7 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
WindO/U Effect
To CenterSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)60°63°64°65°
Humidity33%28%26%25%
Precipitation1%0%0%0%
ConditionClearPartly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindNW 7 mphWNW 8 mphWNW 9 mphWNW 9 mph
Ben May
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians-145-170-162-163-163-163-162-
Reds+125+153+141+150+148+150+153-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians-153-160-161-158-160-155-155-
Reds+143+150+147+148+145+145+150-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 0.0%
Reds: 40.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from -151 to -158
Reds ML moved from +140 to +130

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 0.0%
Reds: 40.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from -150 to -156
Reds ML moved from +147 to +139

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians-1½+105-1½+100-1½+105-1½+100-1½+100-1½+100-1½+105-
Reds+1½-125+1½-120+1½-125+1½-120+1½-120+1½-120+1½-120-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians-1½+105-1½+105-1½+100-1½+100-1½+105-1½+105-1½+105-
Reds+1½-125+1½-125+1½-118+1½-120+1½-125+1½-125+1½-118-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½+100o7-120o7-120o7-120o7-120o7-120o7-120-
Underu7½-120u7+100u7+100u7+100u7+100u7+100u7+100-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-100o7-120o7-120o7-120o7-120o7-120o7-120-
Underu7½-120u7+100u7+100u7+100u7+100u7+100u7+100-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7-123 to o7-130
The Under moved from u7+110 to u7+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½+118 to o7-115
The Under moved from u7½-120 to u7-105