Twins at Guardians

Updated
Rank16
R/G3.5
RA/G4.4
48.2%51.8%
Twins WinGuardians Win
4.39Projected Runs 4.57
6Final Score 7
Rank12
R/G5.6
RA/G3.3
Rank16
R/G3.5
RA/G4.4
Rank12
R/G5.6
RA/G3.3

Pitching

Josh Winder (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
74-43.831.236

Konnor Pilkington (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
101-24.31.567

Last 5 Games

Minnesota Twins
Money Line
L 1-5 at Cleveland GuardiansMIN: Louie Varland • CLE: Shane Bieber+180
L 3-4 at Cleveland GuardiansMIN: Bailey Ober • CLE: Triston McKenzie+148
W 2-3 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Daniel Lynch • MIN: Dylan Bundy-165
W 0-4 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Zack Greinke • MIN: Sonny Gray-194
W 3-6 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Kris Bubic • MIN: Joe Ryan-177
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
W 1-5 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Louie Varland • CLE: Shane Bieber-185
W 3-4 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Bailey Ober • CLE: Triston McKenzie-151
L 8-2 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Lance Lynn • CLE: Hunter Gaddis+138
W 3-5 vs Los Angeles AngelsLAA: Patrick Sandoval • CLE: Cal Quantrill-108
W 1-3 vs Los Angeles AngelsLAA: Jose Suarez • CLE: Cody Morris-118

Injuries

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • CFKyle Garlick10-day IL
  • PCole SandsUnknown
  • LFAlex Kirilloff60-day IL
  • PTyler MahleUnknown
  • 2BJorge Polanco10-day IL
  • CFByron Buxton10-day IL
  • RFMax Kepler10-day IL
  • 1BLuis ArraezRest

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PZach PlesacUnknown
  • CFMyles StrawRest
  • CAustin HedgesRest
  • PAaron CivaleUnknown
  • 2BAndres GimenezRest
S 6 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland
WindO/U Effect
To CenterModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)79°77°77°77°
Humidity60%64%65%66%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindS 6 mphS 7 mphS 8 mphSSW 9 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+115+126-+127+127+127+127+129.3
Guardians-125-136--137-137-137-136-129.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+118+130+126+115+120+124+130+129.3
Guardians-128-140-138-130-130-134-130-129.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 20.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from +129 to +123
Guardians ML moved from -128 to -139

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 20.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Twins ML
Guardians ML moved from -127 to -136

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½-180+1½-163-+1½-162+1½-162+1½-162+1½-162+1½-153
Guardians-1½+160-1½+147--1½+142-1½+142-1½+142-1½+147-1½+153
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½-170+1½-165+1½-161+1½-175+1½-175+1½-170+1½-161+1½-153
Guardians-1½+150-1½+145-1½+142-1½+155-1½+155-1½+150-1½+155-1½+153

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-120o8½-118-o8½-117o8½-117o8½-117o8½-117o8½-109
Underu8+100u8½+102-u8½-103u8½-103u8½-103u8½+102u8½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o8½-120o8½-118o8½-120o8½-115o8½-115o8½-115o8½-109
Underu8½-115u8½+100u8½-102u8½+100u8½-105u8½-105u8½+100u8½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-105 to o8½-115
No Steam Moves On Under