Astros at Pirates

Updated
Rank14
R/G4.4
RA/G5.5
63.5%36.5%
Astros WinPirates Win
4.73Projected Runs 3.31
4Final Score 7
Rank17
R/G4.8
RA/G4.3
Rank14
R/G4.4
RA/G5.5
Rank17
R/G4.8
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Cristian Javier (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
21-03.271.273

Mitch Keller (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
21-03.861.371

Last 5 Games

Houston Astros
Money Line
W 8-2 at Pittsburgh PiratesHOU: Framber Valdez • PIT: Roansy Contreras-176
W 5-1 at Minnesota TwinsHOU: Hunter Brown • MIN: Tyler Mahle-110
L 6-9 at Minnesota TwinsHOU: Luis Garcia • MIN: Joe Ryan+100
L 2-3 at Minnesota TwinsHOU: Jose Urquidy • MIN: Sonny Gray+115
W 2-8 vs Detroit TigersDET: Eduardo Rodriguez • HOU: Cristian Javier-240
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 8-2 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Framber Valdez • PIT: Roansy Contreras+165
W 0-1 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Michael Kopech • PIT: Johan Oviedo-128
L 11-5 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Mike Clevinger • PIT: Vince Velasquez+112
W 9-13 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Lucas Giolito • PIT: Rich Hill+122
W 4-1 at Boston Red SoxPIT: Mitch Keller • BOS: Corey Kluber+138

Injuries

Houston Astros

Status
  • LFMichael Brantley10-day IL
  • 2BJose AltuveOut
  • PParker MushinskiUnknown
  • PBlake TaylorUnknown

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PJT Brubaker60-day IL
  • PRobert StephensonUnknown
  • SSO'Neil CruzOut
  • CAustin HedgesUnknown
  • PJarlin Garcia60-day IL
W 9 mph
PNC Park, Pittsburgh
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)71°68°63°61°
Humidity26%31%36%41%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindW 9 mphW 7 mphWSW 6 mphWSW 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Astros-171-160-175-161-162-161-160-153.0
Pirates+157+150+144+148+152+148+152+153.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Astros-178-170-165-185-170-170-165-153.0
Pirates+150+155+150+155+155+155+155+153.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Astros: 20.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Astros: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Astros: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Astros ML moved from -170 to -180
Pirates ML moved from +150 to +143

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Astros: 20.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Astros: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Astros: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Astros ML moved from -180 to -190
Pirates ML moved from +155 to +146

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Astros-1½-105-1½-103-1½-105-1½-105-1½-105-1½-105-1½-103-1½+104
Pirates+1½-115+1½-113+1½-115+1½-115+1½-115+1½-115+1½-113+1½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Astros-1½-105-1½+100-1½-102-1½-110-1½-110-1½-110-1½+100-1½+104
Pirates+1½-115+1½-120+1½-116+1½-110+1½-110+1½-110+1½-110+1½-104

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o8½-103o8-120o8-120o8-120o8-120o8-120o8-109
Underu8-105u8½-113u8+100u8+100u8+100u8+100u8½-113u8+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o8-125o8½-115o8-125o8-115o8-120o8-115o8-109
Underu8-105u8+105u8½-105u8+105u8-105u8+100u8½-105u8+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8+105 to u8-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-115 to o8½-115
The Under moved from u8½-110 to u8-105