Reds at Guardians

Updated
Rank15
R/G5.1
RA/G4.3
44.2%55.8%
Reds WinGuardians Win
3.73Projected Runs 4.34
0Final Score 13
Rank10
R/G5.4
RA/G3.4
Rank15
R/G5.1
RA/G4.3
Rank10
R/G5.4
RA/G3.4

Pitching

Luis Castillo (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
30-24.761.412

Carlos Carrasco (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
32-12.51.0

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 0-2 at Cleveland GuardiansCIN: Luis Castillo • CLE: Mike Clevinger+152
L 4-2 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Shane Bieber • CIN: Tyler Mahle+150
W 2-3 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Zach Plesac • CIN: Sonny Gray-145
W 4-0 at Detroit TigersCIN: Trevor Bauer • DET: Daniel Norris-185
W 4-3 at Detroit TigersCIN: Anthony DeSclafani • DET: Rony Garcia-145
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Luis Castillo • CLE: Mike Clevinger-162
W 4-2 at Cincinnati RedsCLE: Shane Bieber • CIN: Tyler Mahle-157
L 2-3 at Cincinnati RedsCLE: Zach Plesac • CIN: Sonny Gray+138
L 1-3 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Aaron Civale • MIN: Tyler Clippard+114
L 0-3 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Carlos Carrasco • MIN: Kenta Maeda+116

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PMatt Bowman60-day IL
  • PWade Miley10-day IL
  • 1BJoey Votto10-day IL

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • CFTyler Naquin10-day IL
  • CRoberto Perez10-day IL
NNE 10 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland
WindO/U Effect
From Right CenterSmall on Under
 
Temp (°F)74°74°74°73°
Humidity51%54%60%65%
Precipitation0%0%0%1%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindNNE 10 mphNNE 9 mphNE 10 mphNE 9 mph
Jerry Meals
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away UmpireLean Over Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+115-105+100+102+102+100+102-
Guardians-125-115-110-112-112-110-110-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+110+106+105+102+105+103+106-
Guardians-120-116-115-112-115-113-112-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 0.0%
Guardians: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 10.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +100 to -102
Guardians ML moved from -110 to -119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 0.0%
Guardians: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 10.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +109 to +103
Guardians ML moved from -111 to -119

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-185+1½-210+1½-215+1½-210+1½-210+1½-215+1½-210-
Guardians-1½+160-1½+175-1½+185-1½+175-1½+175-1½+185-1½+185-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-185+1½-200+1½-204+1½-220+1½-200+1½-200+1½-200-
Guardians-1½+165-1½+165-1½+180-1½+185-1½+170-1½+175-1½+185-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-120o7-115o7-125o7-120-o7-125o7-115-
Underu8+100u7-105u7+105u7+100-u7+105u7+105-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105o7½-105o7½+105o7½+100o7½+100o7-120o7½+105-
Underu8-115u7½-115u7½-125u7½-120u7½-120u7+100u7½-115-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½+105 to o7-125
The Under moved from u7½-110 to u7½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½+100 to o7½-110
The Under moved from u7½-110 to u7+100