NCAA Basketball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 18, 2025

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML		Best
Spread		PointsTotal
Points		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
North Florida Ospreys (2-8)
Charleston Southern Buccaneers (7-5)		9.3%
90.7%


+10½-110
-10½-110
+11½-110
-11½-110
76.1
89.4		165.5
o160-115
u160-105
o160½-110
u160½-110
Hampton Pirates (5-6)
Jackson State Tigers (1-9)		62.1%
37.9%


-7-105
+7-115

73.5
69.6		143.1
o136½-110
u136½-110

SIU Edwardsville Cougars (7-4)
Eastern Illinois Panthers (2-8)		74.2%
25.8%
-275
+226

-6½-110
+6½-105
-6-110
+6½-110
73.3
65.6		138.9
o135-110
u136-110
o136-110
u136½-110
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (6-5)
Appalachian State Mountaineers (7-5)		38.6%
61.4%
+140
-160

+3½-110
-3½-110
+3½-110
-3½-110
66.5
70.2		136.7
o137-110
u137½-110
o136½-110
u136½-110
Bradley University Braves (7-4)
Indiana State Sycamores (7-4)		72.0%
28.0%
-180
+157

-4-105
+4-110
-4-110
+4-110
76.9
70.2		147.1
o147½-110
u148-110
o147-110
u148-110
Southern Utah Thunderbirds (4-8)
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks (4-6)		25.4%
74.6%
+215
-260

+7-110
-6-110
+7-110
-6-110
73.3
80.9		154.2
o149½-110
u150-110
o149-110
u150-110
Fairfield Stags (6-5)
Central Connecticut Blue Devils (6-4)		37.4%
62.6%


+5-110
-5-110

67.3
71.4		138.7
o142-110
u142-110

Radford Highlanders (5-7)
William & Mary Tribe (8-3)		17.5%
82.5%


+8-110
-8-110

77.0
86.8		163.8
o168½-115
u168½-105

Lafayette Leopards (3-8)
Charlotte 49ers (4-7)		10.9%
89.1%


+10½-110
-10½-110

63.9
76.2		140.1
o138-110
u138-110

American University Eagles (7-4)
VCU Rams (7-4)		3.1%
96.9%


+20½-105
-20½-115

63.3
84.2		147.5
o153-110
u153-110

Western Carolina Catamounts (4-6)
Georgia Bulldogs (9-1)		1.3%
98.7%


+35½-110
-34½-110
+35½-110
-34½-110
67.1
93.9		161.0
o167½-110
u167½-110
o166½-110
u167½-110
Furman Paladins (7-4)
Manhattan Jaspers (4-7)		82.6%
17.4%
-425
+334

-8½-115
+9-110
-8½-110
+9-110
80.5
70.5		151.0
o153½-110
u154½-110
o154½-110
u154½-110
Temple Owls (6-5)
Davidson Wildcats (8-2)		27.9%
72.1%
+200
-240

+5½-110
-5½-109
+5½-110
-5½-110
69.2
75.9		145.1
o144½-110
u144½-105
o145-110
u145½-110
Delaware State Hornets (4-8)
Saint Joseph's Hawks (6-4)		4.8%
95.2%


+18½-105
-18½-115

62.7
80.1		142.8
o140½-110
u140½-110

Norfolk State Spartans (4-7)
Grambling State Tigers (3-6)		48.8%
51.2%


+0-110
+0-110

69.6
70.3		139.9
o134-110
u134-110

Drake Bulldogs (6-5)
Murray State Racers (8-3)		23.3%
76.7%
+226
-275

+6½-110
-6-110
+6-110
-6-110
71.4
79.6		151.0
o159-110
u159½-110
o159-110
u159-110
UMKC Kangarros (2-10)
Oklahoma State Cowboys (9-1)		0.2%
99.8%


+30½-110
-30-112
+30½-110
-30½-110
60.3
98.1		158.4
o162½-105
u162½-110
o162-110
u163-110
Georgia State Panthers (2-9)
Georgia Southern Eagles (8-5)		15.7%
84.3%
+370
-480

+9½-109
-9½-110
+9½-110
-9½-110
72.1
82.6		154.7
o158½-115
u159-110
o159-110
u159-110
Oral Roberts Golden Eagles (5-8)
TCU Horned Frogs (7-3)		1.6%
98.4%


+24½-115
-24-110
+24½-110
-23-110
65.0
90.2		155.2
o149-110
u149-110
o149½-110
u149½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Winthrop Eagles (7-5)
North Dakota Fighting Hawks (4-9)		86.1%
13.9%


-11-110
+11-110

86.9
75.7		162.6
o156-110
u156-110

SE Missouri State Redhawks (5-6)
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles (5-6)		55.6%
44.4%
-150
+130

-2½-110
+3-110
-2½-110
+2½-110
77.7
75.5		153.2
o155½-110
u156-110
o155½-110
u156-110
Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks (8-3)
Tennessee State Tigers (6-4)		46.5%
53.5%
+145
-165

+3½-110
-3½-108
+3½-110
-3½-110
72.7
74.2		146.9
o144-110
u144-110
o144½-110
u145-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Western Illinois Leathernecks (4-7)
Lindenwood Lions (6-4)		12.5%
87.5%
+488
-670

+11½-105
-11½-105
+11½-110
-11½-110
65.8
77.3		143.1
o144½-115
u145-110
o145-110
u145-110
Little Rock Trojans (2-9)
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles (3-7)		26.7%
73.3%
+125
-145

+2½-105
-2-110
+3-110
-2-110
69.3
76.7		146.0
o142-110
u142-110
o141½-110
u141½-110
Louisiana Lafayette (1-10)
Southern Miss Golden Eagles (6-5)		14.6%
85.4%
+552
-785

+12½-110
-12-110
+13-110
-12-110
63.1
74.0		137.1
o131½-110
u132-110
o131½-110
u131½-110
Illinois State Redbirds (8-3)
Southern Illinois Salukis (6-5)		56.4%
43.6%
+110
-130

+2-110
-2-110
+2-110
-2-110
76.7
74.2		150.9
o152½-110
u152½-110
o151-110
u152½-110
Pepperdine Waves (4-7)
Long Beach State 49ers (2-9)		55.0%
45.0%
+145
-165

+3½-110
-3½-105
+3½-110
-3½-110
73.8
71.8		145.6
o140½-110
u141-110
o140½-110
u141½-110
Games for Dec 17, 2025
Games for Dec 19, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML		Best
Spread		Final
Points		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
TCU Horned Frogs
North Texas Mean Green		73.7%
26.3%
-450
+350
-500
+400
-9½-110
+9½-110
-9½-109
+9½-109
65
55		-0.24028-0.21511-0.30525
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
Lipscomb Bisons		20.4%
79.6%
+475
-700
+550
-750
+11½-105
-11½-110
+12-109
-10½-110
58
92		-0.18128-0.16073-0.22821
Texas A&M Aggies
SMU Mustangs		54.8%
45.2%
-120
+105
-125
+115
-1½+100
+1½-110
-1½-109
+2-110
80
93		-0.75056-0.78592-0.79310
Georgetown Hoyas
UNC Tar Heels		12.4%
87.6%
+500
-650
+520
-650
+10½-102
-11-105
+11½-109
-10½-110
61
81		-0.17589-0.17067-0.13223
Creighton Bluejays
Nebraska Cornhuskers		39.9%
60.1%
+195
-220
+200
-225
+5½-110
-5-107
+5-109
-5-109
50
71		-0.40084-0.39304-0.50899
Nevada Wolf Pack
Washington State Cougars		58.1%
41.9%
+118
-130
+115
-130
+2-105
-2-110
+2-110
-1½-110
78
64		-0.80298-0.79536-0.54287
Wisconsin Green Bay Phoenix
Wright State Raiders		25.2%
74.8%
+235
-280
+245
-260
+6½-110
-6½-105
+7-109
-6-110
58
86		-0.34013-0.33743-0.29078
Northwestern State Demons
Southeastern Louisiana Lions		26.9%
73.1%
+280
-360
+260
-300
+7½-110
-7-110
+7½-109
-7½-109
76
68		-1.37976-1.30833-1.31405
Belmont Bruins
MTSU Blue Raiders		55.6%
44.4%
-150
+140
-140
+140
-2½-110
+3½-115
-2-110
+3-109
83
62		-0.52736-0.53900-0.58781
Towson Tigers
UCF Knights		20.6%
79.4%
+350
-450
+360
-400
+9½-111
-9-110
+9-109
-8½-110
61
86		-0.24028-0.24038-0.23028
San Francisco Dons
Mississippi State Bulldogs		34.0%
66.0%
+165
-180
+170
-175
+4½-113
-4-110
+4-109
-4-109
65
62		-0.99458-0.99997-1.07758
Hofstra Pride
Pitt Panthers		16.4%
83.6%
+330
-405
+360
-405
+9-110
-8½-110
+9-110
-8½-109
80
73		-1.49254-1.54524-1.80941
UNLV Rebels
Stanford Cardinal		20.9%
79.1%
+380
-475
+400
-500
+9½-110
-9½+105
+9½-109
-9½-109
75
74		-1.60246-1.64222-1.56365
Louisiana Monroe Warhawks
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks		4.7%
95.3%

+1300
-2250
+19-105
-18½-115
+19½-109
-19½-109
76
96		-0.07196-0.04836
Central Michigan Chippewas
Saint Louis Billikens		5.5%
94.5%


+25½-110
-25-110
+25-109
-24½-110
65
107		-0.05656
LSU Tigers
Texas Tech Red Raiders		28.5%
71.5%
+190
-225
+215
-220
+5½-109
-5-110
+5½-109
-5½-109
58
82		-0.40419-0.37964-0.33557
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks226137-52 (0.688)37-0.51116 
Sportsbooks226147-54 (0.706)25-0.48856 
DRatings226174-52 (0.770)0-0.42622
0.08494
0.06234

Predictions Methodology

Below are our projections for all of the games in college basketball today. The projections that we provide are now at a “Level 3” (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the winner and score.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.

Related Blog Posts

Randomness, Edge, and Volume in Sports Betting Outcomes

We dig into the data behind variance and expectation.

Top 5 Sweepstakes Sportsbooks

Find out who makes our top five sweepstakes sportsbook list.

2025-2026 NFL Season Preview

Here is our 2025-2026 NFL season preview based on 1,000 simulations.

The Predictive Power of Prediction Markets

Discover how prediction markets deliver accurate forecasts.

Creating a Ratings Model with Bradley-Terry

Modeling with the Bradley-Terry model in Python

All Blog Posts