NCAA FBS College Football Ratings


Below are listed the current NCAA FBS college football ratings as computed by the Donchess Inference Index. More information on how these NCAA computer ratings are computed can be found on the Methodology page and we do our predictions on each game at College Football game predictions.

DII Rating– This is a NCAA football ratings system that is a combination of the Standard Rating and the Aegis Rating. The Aegis Rating is weighted more highly in the beginning of the season whereas the Standard Rating is weighted more highly at the end of the season. This is the final rating that is used to rank the teams. We also use the Vegas Rating to help create our preseason rankings, but these place a much lesser roll as the season goes on.

Standard Rating– Looks at game outcome, date and score differential only. Record is the most important factor in this rating system. Further, this rating system is heavily based on the outcomes of games in the current season and is totally based on that come season end. This rating has the least amount of bias and shows what teams are “most politically correct” to make the top 4 playoff.

Aegis Rating– Replacing the Inference Rating, this uses mostly the same the same criteria as the Standard Rating, but heavily weighs the margin of victory of the game. Data from previous seasons weighs into this algorithm (especially, early in the season). This is system is a much better predictor of future game outcomes.

Vegas Rating– This is our newest rating. The Vegas rating takes into account what the Vegas line on each game is. More recent games are weighed the most heavily, and outcome and score differential are also of factor. This rating system is also a very good predictor of future outcomes. Overall, this rating tells us which teams are the best regardless of win-loss record.

It’s also important to note that the ratings early in the season are very unstable as there is not a lot of data on the games yet.

Updated 11/12/2017.

FBS College Football Rankings

Rank Team Rec Rating Chg SOS (Rank) Standard (Rank) Aegis (Rank) Vegas (Rank)
1
Alabama
10-0
3.475
2
0.885 (42)
3.575 (2)
3.168 (3)
3.866 (1)
2
Miami FL
9-0
3.348
3
1.076 (26)
3.768 (1)
3.054 (5)
2.750 (11)
3
Clemson
9-1
3.118
1
1.454 (7)
2.795 (7)
3.321 (1)
3.632 (2)
4
Wisconsin
10-0
3.094
3
0.689 (58)
3.285 (4)
2.969 (8)
2.802 (10)
5
Notre Dame
8-2
3.015
-3
1.638 (3)
2.959 (6)
3.082 (4)
3.031 (7)
6
Georgia
9-1
2.989
-5
1.067 (27)
3.085 (5)
2.807 (10)
3.112 (6)
7
Oklahoma
9-1
2.901
2
0.980 (33)
2.742 (8)
3.018 (6)
3.112 (5)
8
Penn St
8-2
2.897
-2
1.215 (15)
2.516 (11)
3.236 (2)
3.277 (3)
9
Auburn
8-2
2.876
2
1.022 (29)
2.658 (9)
2.991 (7)
3.268 (4)
10
UCF
9-0
2.856
-2
0.308 (82)
3.464 (3)
2.526 (13)
1.775 (19)
11
Ohio St
8-2
2.637
1
1.266 (13)
2.423 (12)
2.815 (9)
2.876 (8)
12
Oklahoma St
8-2
2.491
2
1.153 (18)
2.297 (16)
2.666 (11)
2.683 (12)
13
TCU
8-2
2.453
-3
0.755 (54)
2.389 (14)
2.586 (12)
2.343 (14)
14
USC
9-2
2.330
2
1.111 (23)
2.4 (13)
2.205 (21)
2.401 (13)
15
Virginia Tech
7-3
2.204
0
1.117 (21)
1.936 (23)
2.526 (14)
2.285 (15)
16
Washington
8-2
2.161
-3
0.547 (68)
1.751 (27)
2.416 (15)
2.817 (9)
17
Michigan
8-2
2.152
1
0.950 (34)
2.000 (20)
2.351 (16)
2.165 (16)
18
Mississippi St
7-3
2.120
2
0.987 (32)
2.233 (17)
2.115 (22)
1.790 (18)
19
NC State
7-3
2.083
3
1.381 (9)
2.054 (19)
2.278 (19)
1.733 (21)
20
Michigan St
7-3
2.079
-3
1.584 (4)
2.308 (15)
2.048 (24)
1.462 (27)
21
Iowa
6-4
2.024
-2
1.516 (5)
1.997 (21)
2.313 (18)
1.456 (28)
22
Memphis
8-1
1.971
2
0.424 (77)
2.648 (10)
1.529 (38)
0.933 (35)
23
Stanford
7-3
1.889
3
0.911 (39)
1.853 (24)
1.916 (28)
1.939 (17)
24
Iowa St
6-4
1.861
-3
1.223 (14)
1.766 (26)
2.276 (20)
1.212 (32)
25
Northwestern
7-3
1.845
0
1.120 (20)
1.946 (22)
2.016 (25)
1.159 (33)
26
Washington St
9-2
1.843
1
0.570 (66)
2.072 (18)
1.694 (34)
1.491 (25)
27
Georgia Tech
5-4
1.797
5
1.362 (11)
1.408 (38)
2.348 (17)
1.725 (22)
28
LSU
7-3
1.789
0
0.920 (38)
1.782 (25)
1.820 (31)
1.737 (20)
29
West Virginia
7-3
1.693
0
0.486 (73)
1.632 (30)
1.978 (26)
1.234 (31)
30
Wake Forest
6-4
1.671
4
1.140 (19)
1.479 (36)
2.114 (23)
1.251 (30)
31
South Florida
8-1
1.599
0
-0.21 (109)
1.534 (33)
1.739 (32)
1.477 (26)
32
Louisville
6-4
1.579
4
0.838 (47)
1.336 (40)
1.859 (29)
1.675 (23)
33
Boston College
5-5
1.564
-3
1.689 (2)
1.528 (34)
1.949 (27)
0.804 (40)
34
Boise St
8-2
1.470
3
0.343 (79)
1.538 (32)
1.600 (35)
0.971 (34)
35
Texas
5-5
1.446
-2
0.944 (35)
1.173 (48)
1.826 (30)
1.411 (29)
36
Florida St
3-6
1.446
-1
2.063 (1)
1.206 (43)
1.714 (33)
1.558 (24)
37
South Carolina
7-3
1.433
1
1.020 (30)
1.689 (29)
1.434 (41)
0.664 (46)
38
Toledo
8-2
1.402
-15
0.335 (80)
1.719 (28)
1.368 (46)
0.525 (51)
39
Arizona
7-3
1.375
0
0.405 (78)
1.442 (37)
1.534 (37)
0.817 (38)
40
Texas A&M
6-4
1.360
2
0.858 (45)
1.549 (31)
1.355 (49)
0.806 (39)
41
Houston
6-3
1.250
0
0.538 (70)
1.355 (39)
1.321 (50)
0.772 (43)
42
Navy
6-3
1.189
9
0.800 (52)
1.523 (35)
1.102 (60)
0.380 (57)
43
Oregon
5-5
1.139
3
1.086 (25)
1.207 (42)
1.207 (53)
0.782 (42)
44
San Diego St
8-2
1.109
1
0.075 (93)
1.254 (41)
1.144 (58)
0.597 (48)
45
Texas Tech
5-5
1.078
3
0.929 (37)
0.940 (57)
1.398 (43)
0.771 (44)
46
Kansas St
5-5
1.069
-6
0.600 (65)
0.830 (64)
1.506 (40)
0.802 (41)
47
UCLA
5-5
1.044
10
1.160 (17)
1.202 (45)
0.996 (66)
0.675 (45)
48
FL Atlantic
7-3
1.040
15
0.309 (81)
1.169 (49)
1.366 (47)
-0.07 (70)
49
Kentucky
7-3
1.030
10
0.428 (75)
1.198 (46)
1.080 (62)
0.414 (55)
50
Utah
5-5
1.030
-1
0.535 (71)
0.935 (58)
1.212 (52)
0.903 (36)
51
Arizona St
5-5
1.028
-7
1.111 (22)
1.139 (50)
1.140 (59)
0.444 (54)
52
Syracuse
4-6
1.025
-5
1.298 (12)
0.838 (63)
1.517 (39)
0.482 (52)
53
SMU
6-4
1.013
-10
0.541 (69)
1.175 (47)
1.159 (57)
0.200 (62)
54
Indiana
4-6
1.011
-2
1.035 (28)
0.857 (62)
1.271 (51)
0.891 (37)
55
Ohio
8-2
0.971
17
-0.38 (120)
0.984 (55)
1.388 (44)
-0.00 (64)
56
Missouri
5-5
0.961
8
0.680 (59)
0.757 (68)
1.405 (42)
0.573 (49)
57
Virginia
6-4
0.956
-4
0.638 (63)
1.013 (52)
1.183 (55)
0.276 (61)
58
Purdue
4-6
0.944
-2
1.169 (16)
0.590 (72)
1.570 (36)
0.600 (47)
59
N Illinois
7-3
0.935
-5
0.039 (97)
1.072 (51)
1.174 (56)
-0.01 (65)
60
Maryland
4-6
0.861
-5
1.455 (6)
0.998 (53)
1.076 (63)
-0.03 (66)
61
California
5-5
0.860
1
0.870 (43)
0.984 (54)
1.101 (61)
-0.05 (67)
62
Army
8-2
0.853
4
-0.29 (117)
1.204 (44)
0.919 (69)
-0.34 (78)
63
Mississippi
5-5
0.834
2
0.754 (55)
0.866 (61)
1.015 (64)
0.332 (58)
64
Minnesota
5-5
0.828
3
0.670 (61)
0.554 (74)
1.388 (45)
0.391 (56)
65
Florida
3-6
0.805
-5
1.373 (10)
0.801 (67)
0.933 (68)
0.530 (50)
66
Pittsburgh
4-6
0.764
-16
0.939 (36)
0.465 (79)
1.366 (48)
0.309 (59)
67
Duke
4-6
0.700
-6
0.859 (44)
0.406 (84)
1.192 (54)
0.473 (53)
68
Troy
8-2
0.683
6
-0.56 (122)
0.957 (56)
0.702 (81)
-0.18 (74)
69
Nebraska
4-6
0.667
-11
1.088 (24)
0.609 (71)
1.002 (65)
0.084 (63)
70
Wyoming
7-3
0.634
8
-0.20 (107)
0.877 (60)
0.873 (72)
-0.63 (83)
71
Marshall
7-3
0.619
2
0.007 (100)
0.807 (66)
0.869 (73)
-0.50 (80)
72
Colorado
5-6
0.583
-2
0.426 (76)
0.482 (78)
0.848 (74)
0.295 (60)
73
Arkansas
4-6
0.527
2
0.891 (41)
0.808 (65)
0.418 (90)
-0.06 (68)
74
Fresno St
7-3
0.523
2
-0.21 (108)
0.574 (73)
0.744 (78)
-0.12 (71)
75
Tennessee
4-6
0.519
-7
0.817 (48)
0.544 (76)
0.748 (77)
-0.07 (69)
76
W Michigan
6-4
0.500
1
-0.06 (104)
0.428 (83)
0.911 (70)
-0.20 (75)
77
Temple
5-5
0.494
5
0.513 (72)
0.645 (70)
0.738 (79)
-0.50 (81)
78
C Michigan
6-4
0.479
7
0.222 (88)
0.703 (69)
0.780 (76)
-0.86 (89)
79
Vanderbilt
4-6
0.428
-10
0.692 (57)
0.483 (77)
0.613 (82)
-0.15 (73)
80
Rutgers
4-6
0.411
-1
0.810 (51)
0.449 (81)
0.886 (71)
-0.77 (87)
81
North Texas
7-3
0.406
3
-0.31 (118)
0.934 (59)
0.402 (93)
-1.16 (97)
82
North Carolina
2-8
0.378
10
1.419 (8)
0.157 (87)
0.952 (67)
-0.25 (76)
83
Tulane
4-6
0.287
4
0.664 (62)
0.429 (82)
0.515 (85)
-0.64 (84)
84
Akron
5-5
0.229
-4
0.222 (87)
0.546 (75)
0.453 (89)
-1.22 (99)
85
Colorado St
6-5
0.205
-2
-0.01 (101)
0.029 (94)
0.597 (83)
-0.14 (72)
86
Arkansas St
5-3
0.169
-15
-0.90 (128)
-0.08 (95)
0.735 (80)
-0.32 (77)
87
E Michigan
3-7
0.136
-1
0.471 (74)
-0.09 (96)
0.793 (75)
-0.65 (85)
88
MTSU
5-5
0.097
2
-0.05 (103)
0.239 (86)
0.415 (91)
-1.04 (92)
89
Buffalo
4-6
0.049
5
0.158 (90)
0.047 (92)
0.568 (84)
-1.11 (95)
90
Miami OH
4-6
0.048
9
0.258 (86)
0.065 (89)
0.454 (88)
-0.91 (90)
91
Cincinnati
3-7
0.029
-3
0.902 (40)
0.317 (85)
0.221 (98)
-1.26 (100)
92
Utah St
5-5
0.019
-1
0.094 (92)
0.034 (93)
0.474 (86)
-1.04 (93)
93
Florida Intl
6-3
-0.03
-12
-0.24 (113)
0.460 (80)
0.110 (102)
-1.82 (112)
94
Air Force
4-6
-0.06
-5
-0.04 (102)
-0.09 (97)
0.267 (96)
-0.74 (86)
95
Tulsa
2-8
-0.12
-2
0.810 (50)
-0.33 (104)
0.463 (87)
-0.77 (88)
96
Southern Miss
6-4
-0.12
0
-0.61 (124)
0.049 (91)
0.125 (99)
-1.20 (98)
97
Appalachian St
6-4
-0.14
0
-0.67 (126)
-0.45 (108)
0.409 (92)
-0.48 (79)
98
UAB
7-3
-0.16
3
-0.98 (130)
0.120 (88)
0.250 (97)
-1.96 (117)
99
Louisiana Tech
4-6
-0.20
-4
-0.09 (105)
-0.27 (102)
0.284 (95)
-1.07 (94)
100
Connecticut
3-7
-0.26
3
0.674 (60)
0.051 (90)
-0.06 (109)
-1.69 (108)
101
WKU
5-5
-0.34
1
-0.63 (125)
-0.37 (106)
0.115 (101)
-1.27 (101)
102
BYU
3-8
-0.39
13
0.304 (83)
-0.48 (109)
0.009 (105)
-1.04 (91)
103
Georgia St
6-3
-0.39
4
-0.59 (123)
-0.12 (99)
-0.14 (113)
-1.79 (110)
104
Old Dominion
4-6
-0.42
13
0.058 (95)
-0.15 (100)
-0.05 (108)
-2.11 (120)
105
UT San Antonio
5-4
-0.44
-7
-0.97 (129)
-0.63 (111)
0.120 (100)
-1.13 (96)
106
UNLV
4-6
-0.44
-6
-0.21 (110)
-0.42 (107)
-0.07 (110)
-1.31 (102)
107
East Carolina
2-8
-0.44
-3
1.014 (31)
-0.11 (98)
-0.22 (117)
-1.93 (115)
108
Bowling Green
2-8
-0.46
-3
0.556 (67)
-0.27 (101)
-0.03 (107)
-1.98 (118)
109
South Alabama
4-6
-0.48
4
-0.27 (115)
-0.32 (103)
-0.10 (111)
-1.80 (111)
110
Illinois
2-8
-0.52
-4
0.848 (46)
-0.64 (112)
0.079 (103)
-1.49 (105)
111
ULL
4-5
-0.60
-1
-0.23 (111)
-0.34 (105)
-0.30 (118)
-2.04 (119)
112
Idaho
3-6
-0.60
0
-0.18 (106)
-0.65 (113)
-0.03 (106)
-1.75 (109)
113
New Mexico
3-7
-0.62
-4
0.066 (94)
-0.66 (115)
-0.19 (115)
-1.46 (104)
114
New Mexico St
4-5
-0.65
-3
-0.44 (121)
-0.66 (114)
-0.17 (114)
-1.67 (107)
115
ULM
4-5
-0.66
-1
-0.37 (119)
-0.60 (110)
-0.20 (116)
-1.89 (113)
116
Baylor
1-9
-0.66
-8
0.755 (53)
-1.41 (121)
0.316 (94)
-0.62 (82)
117
Massachusetts
3-7
-0.79
4
-0.28 (116)
-1.07 (119)
0.062 (104)
-1.89 (114)
118
Hawaii
3-7
-0.93
-2
-0.23 (112)
-0.96 (117)
-0.44 (121)
-1.95 (116)
119
Nevada
2-8
-0.99
0
0.162 (89)
-1.44 (122)
-0.14 (112)
-1.57 (106)
120
Oregon St
1-9
-1.05
-2
0.814 (49)
-1.51 (123)
-0.31 (119)
-1.32 (103)
121
Kent
2-8
-1.10
1
0.626 (64)
-0.67 (116)
-0.82 (125)
-3.02 (124)
122
Ball St
2-8
-1.15
-2
0.043 (96)
-0.97 (118)
-0.75 (123)
-2.57 (122)
123
Charlotte
1-9
-1.31
1
0.019 (99)
-1.13 (120)
-0.74 (122)
-3.15 (126)
124
Kansas
1-9
-1.38
1
0.732 (56)
-1.89 (126)
-0.36 (120)
-2.15 (121)
125
Coastal Car
1-9
-1.39
-2
-0.27 (114)
-2.05 (127)
-0.78 (124)
-2.60 (123)
126
Rice
1-9
-1.82
0
0.153 (91)
-1.85 (125)
-1.17 (126)
-3.18 (127)
127
Texas St
2-8
-1.86
0
-0.73 (127)
-1.84 (124)
-1.17 (127)
-3.45 (128)
128
Ga Southern
0-9
-2.15
1
0.262 (85)
-2.51 (129)
-1.24 (128)
-3.14 (125)
129
San Jose St
1-10
-2.17
-1
0.024 (98)
-2.26 (128)
-1.46 (129)
-3.50 (129)
130
UTEP
0-10
-2.55
0
0.285 (84)
-2.96 (130)
-1.48 (130)
-3.74 (130)

Top Conferences in College Football – Top to Bottom

The “top to bottom” approach gives the simple average of the rating for every team in the conference. In my opinion, this is the best and most unbiased way to rank conferences.

Rank Conference Rating
1
ACC
1.617
2
SEC
1.510
3
BIG10
1.495
4
BIG12
1.294
5
PAC12
1.186
6
INDEP
1.157
7
AAC
0.821
8
MAC
0.095
9
MWC
0.081
10
CUSA
-0.22
11
SUNBELT
-0.81