NCAA FBS College Football Ratings


Below are listed the current NCAA FBS college football ratings as computed by the Donchess Inference Index. More information on how these NCAA computer ratings are computed can be found on the Methodology page and we do our predictions on each game at College Football game predictions.

DII Rating– This is a NCAA football ratings system that is a combination of the Standard Rating and the Aegis Rating. The Aegis Rating is weighted more highly in the beginning of the season whereas the Standard Rating is weighted more highly at the end of the season. This is the final rating that is used to rank the teams. We also use the Vegas Rating to help create our preseason rankings, but these place a much lesser roll as the season goes on.

Standard Rating– Looks at game outcome, date and score differential only. Record is the most important factor in this rating system. Further, this rating system is heavily based on the outcomes of games in the current season and is totally based on that come season end. This rating has the least amount of bias and shows what teams are “most politically correct” to make the top 4 playoff.

Aegis Rating– Replacing the Inference Rating, this uses mostly the same the same criteria as the Standard Rating, but heavily weighs the margin of victory of the game. Data from previous seasons weighs into this algorithm (especially, early in the season). This is system is a much better predictor of future game outcomes.

Vegas Rating– This is our newest rating. The Vegas rating takes into account what the Vegas line on each game is. More recent games are weighed the most heavily, and outcome and score differential are also of factor. This rating system is also a very good predictor of future outcomes. Overall, this rating tells us which teams are the best regardless of win-loss record.

It’s also important to note that the ratings early in the season are very unstable as there is not a lot of data on the games yet.

Updated 10/14/2018.

FBS College Football Rankings

Rank Team Rec Rating Chg SOS (Rank) Standard (Rank) Aegis (Rank) Vegas (Rank)
1
Alabama
7-0
3.822
0
0.563 (49)
3.829 (1)
3.637 (1)
4.151 (1)
2
Clemson
6-0
3.119
2
0.788 (30)
3.600 (3)
2.821 (4)
3.025 (4)
3
Ohio St
7-0
3.098
0
0.441 (64)
3.049 (4)
2.973 (3)
3.394 (2)
4
Georgia
6-1
2.947
2
0.824 (28)
2.717 (9)
3.005 (2)
3.147 (3)
5
LSU
6-1
2.701
4
1.136 (8)
2.928 (5)
2.707 (6)
2.388 (8)
6
Oklahoma
5-1
2.674
0
1.055 (11)
2.288 (14)
2.776 (5)
3.001 (5)
7
Notre Dame
7-0
2.658
0
0.975 (16)
3.657 (2)
2.348 (10)
1.894 (12)
8
Michigan
6-1
2.512
2
0.887 (22)
2.522 (11)
2.500 (9)
2.519 (6)
9
UCF
6-0
2.337
1
-0.41 (117)
2.273 (16)
2.536 (7)
2.059 (10)
10
Florida
6-1
2.332
6
0.734 (37)
2.867 (7)
2.274 (12)
1.726 (16)
11
NC State
5-0
2.167
6
0.403 (66)
2.806 (8)
2.117 (17)
1.406 (24)
12
Kentucky
5-1
2.150
6
0.738 (35)
2.867 (6)
2.143 (16)
1.207 (31)
13
Penn St
4-2
2.123
8
0.834 (26)
1.335 (42)
2.513 (8)
2.458 (7)
14
Texas
6-1
2.115
2
1.139 (7)
2.458 (12)
2.080 (18)
1.724 (17)
15
Texas A&M
5-2
2.062
12
0.974 (17)
2.711 (10)
1.959 (23)
1.387 (25)
16
Washington
5-2
2.037
5
0.897 (21)
1.696 (30)
2.257 (13)
2.087 (9)
17
Iowa
5-1
2.011
7
0.826 (27)
1.880 (22)
2.310 (11)
1.639 (19)
18
West Virginia
5-1
1.942
4
0.381 (68)
2.047 (19)
1.983 (21)
1.729 (15)
19
Utah
4-2
1.925
2
1.023 (13)
1.872 (23)
2.146 (15)
1.593 (20)
20
Wisconsin
4-2
1.888
5
0.566 (48)
1.397 (39)
2.194 (14)
1.980 (11)
21
Mississippi St
4-2
1.883
1
0.534 (54)
1.743 (28)
2.058 (19)
1.748 (14)
22
Stanford
4-2
1.856
1
1.336 (5)
2.192 (17)
1.909 (26)
1.313 (28)
23
Duke
5-1
1.743
7
0.357 (70)
1.803 (25)
1.926 (24)
1.326 (26)
24
Michigan St
4-2
1.693
10
0.994 (15)
1.420 (38)
1.920 (25)
1.639 (18)
25
Washington St
5-1
1.660
4
0.141 (87)
1.863 (24)
1.900 (27)
0.950 (37)
26
Auburn
4-3
1.658
13
0.338 (71)
1.079 (56)
1.961 (22)
1.875 (13)
27
Iowa St
3-3
1.657
8
1.579 (1)
1.448 (35)
2.041 (20)
1.234 (30)
28
South Carolina
3-3
1.631
9
1.450 (3)
1.759 (27)
1.782 (32)
1.183 (32)
29
USC
4-2
1.616
2
1.111 (9)
1.966 (21)
1.691 (36)
1.010 (35)
30
Mississippi
5-2
1.583
8
0.469 (61)
2.061 (18)
1.581 (40)
0.949 (38)
31
TCU
3-3
1.580
11
0.841 (24)
1.237 (50)
1.834 (29)
1.570 (21)
32
South Florida
6-0
1.579
7
-0.13 (103)
2.371 (13)
1.502 (46)
0.666 (47)
33
Fresno St
5-1
1.540
3
-0.00 (97)
1.440 (36)
1.860 (28)
1.089 (34)
34
Miami FL
5-2
1.535
8
0.127 (88)
1.244 (49)
1.778 (33)
1.477 (22)
35
Texas Tech
4-2
1.533
6
0.679 (40)
1.644 (31)
1.742 (35)
1.002 (36)
36
Missouri
3-3
1.521
8
1.164 (6)
1.144 (55)
1.825 (30)
1.468 (23)
37
Boston College
5-2
1.516
0
0.244 (80)
1.325 (44)
1.758 (34)
1.326 (26)
38
Appalachian St
4-1
1.496
6
-0.68 (125)
1.277 (47)
1.796 (31)
1.239 (29)
39
Oregon
5-1
1.409
6
-0.30 (108)
1.707 (29)
1.525 (44)
0.799 (43)
40
Syracuse
4-2
1.365
0
0.154 (84)
1.324 (45)
1.646 (37)
0.905 (40)
41
Army
4-2
1.362
5
0.734 (38)
1.801 (26)
1.627 (38)
0.290 (62)
42
Boise St
4-2
1.295
9
0.437 (65)
1.258 (48)
1.510 (45)
0.948 (39)
43
Colorado
5-1
1.293
4
0.064 (95)
1.571 (33)
1.470 (47)
0.597 (51)
44
Cincinnati
6-0
1.261
7
-0.57 (118)
2.278 (15)
1.143 (64)
0.124 (66)
45
San Diego St
5-1
1.245
2
0.282 (77)
2.019 (20)
1.311 (54)
0.091 (67)
46
Virginia Tech
4-2
1.239
4
0.481 (58)
1.339 (41)
1.445 (48)
0.729 (46)
47
Utah St
5-1
1.237
5
-0.67 (124)
1.326 (43)
1.542 (42)
0.561 (52)
48
Oklahoma St
4-3
1.214
16
0.334 (72)
0.742 (71)
1.590 (39)
1.155 (33)
49
Northwestern
3-3
1.184
2
1.032 (12)
0.999 (61)
1.530 (43)
0.799 (42)
50
Houston
5-1
1.170
3
-0.83 (128)
1.048 (58)
1.418 (50)
0.877 (41)
51
Maryland
4-2
1.127
3
0.598 (46)
1.215 (52)
1.341 (53)
0.619 (50)
52
Wake Forest
3-3
1.119
4
0.734 (36)
1.318 (46)
1.404 (51)
0.333 (58)
53
Arizona St
3-3
1.066
3
0.759 (32)
0.931 (65)
1.440 (49)
0.560 (53)
54
Tennessee
3-3
1.061
20
0.838 (25)
1.547 (34)
1.139 (66)
0.268 (64)
55
Buffalo
6-1
1.058
4
-0.63 (122)
1.439 (37)
1.228 (59)
0.237 (65)
56
Virginia
4-2
1.002
9
0.481 (59)
1.176 (54)
1.257 (57)
0.302 (61)
57
Purdue
3-3
1.000
1
0.618 (44)
0.411 (85)
1.559 (41)
0.761 (44)
58
Minnesota
3-3
0.997
5
1.056 (10)
1.033 (59)
1.292 (56)
0.406 (57)
59
Indiana
4-3
0.918
2
0.870 (23)
1.065 (57)
1.143 (65)
0.310 (59)
60
Florida St
3-3
0.879
4
0.484 (57)
0.553 (77)
1.251 (58)
0.632 (49)
61
Kansas St
3-4
0.865
10
0.752 (33)
0.674 (73)
1.226 (60)
0.456 (54)
62
Baylor
4-3
0.862
5
0.536 (53)
0.959 (63)
1.023 (68)
0.439 (56)
63
Temple
4-3
0.831
3
0.254 (78)
0.628 (75)
1.184 (62)
0.453 (55)
64
Memphis
4-3
0.829
0
-0.32 (109)
0.175 (92)
1.353 (52)
0.740 (45)
65
Georgia Tech
3-4
0.827
16
0.468 (62)
0.314 (89)
1.293 (55)
0.658 (48)
66
Vanderbilt
3-4
0.799
11
0.947 (18)
0.971 (62)
1.081 (67)
0.052 (68)
67
Pittsburgh
3-4
0.757
5
0.916 (20)
0.517 (79)
1.193 (61)
0.278 (63)
68
FL Atlantic
3-3
0.754
8
0.383 (67)
0.514 (80)
1.175 (63)
0.304 (60)
69
BYU
4-3
0.737
1
0.634 (41)
1.031 (60)
0.988 (70)
-0.11 (70)
70
North Texas
6-1
0.733
2
-0.74 (127)
0.940 (64)
0.999 (69)
-0.03 (69)
71
Louisiana Tech
4-2
0.660
10
0.055 (96)
1.188 (53)
0.778 (79)
-0.26 (75)
72
Troy
5-2
0.633
11
-0.36 (114)
0.907 (66)
0.909 (73)
-0.24 (74)
73
W Michigan
5-2
0.613
3
-0.27 (107)
1.220 (51)
0.752 (80)
-0.44 (81)
74
UAB
5-1
0.613
3
-0.86 (129)
1.357 (40)
0.738 (81)
-0.60 (86)
75
N Illinois
4-3
0.563
4
0.681 (39)
0.865 (68)
0.832 (77)
-0.33 (78)
76
E Michigan
3-4
0.486
7
0.448 (63)
0.592 (76)
0.907 (74)
-0.42 (79)
77
UCLA
1-5
0.481
19
1.530 (2)
0.468 (83)
0.854 (76)
-0.18 (73)
78
Ga Southern
5-1
0.472
0
-0.63 (121)
1.601 (32)
0.385 (95)
-0.87 (94)
79
MTSU
3-3
0.471
10
0.571 (47)
0.887 (67)
0.712 (82)
-0.52 (84)
80
Arizona
3-4
0.415
7
0.324 (73)
0.206 (91)
0.895 (75)
-0.18 (72)
81
Marshall
4-2
0.387
3
-0.12 (102)
0.772 (70)
0.692 (84)
-0.68 (89)
82
California
3-3
0.375
14
0.246 (79)
0.539 (78)
0.696 (83)
-0.43 (80)
83
Tulane
2-4
0.368
1
0.920 (19)
0.481 (82)
0.793 (78)
-0.56 (85)
84
Toledo
3-3
0.361
9
-0.37 (116)
0.065 (95)
0.920 (71)
-0.26 (76)
85
Ohio
3-3
0.291
0
-0.20 (106)
0.274 (90)
0.623 (86)
-0.29 (77)
86
Florida Intl
4-2
0.273
7
-0.63 (120)
0.689 (72)
0.601 (87)
-0.88 (95)
87
Arkansas St
3-3
0.206
7
0.515 (55)
0.421 (84)
0.537 (90)
-0.68 (88)
88
Air Force
2-4
0.203
0
0.370 (69)
-0.15 (102)
0.914 (72)
-0.62 (87)
89
Miami OH
3-4
0.124
6
0.174 (83)
0.317 (88)
0.539 (89)
-0.89 (96)
90
Hawaii
6-2
0.124
4
-0.59 (119)
0.822 (69)
0.339 (97)
-1.19 (101)
91
Akron
2-3
0.052
3
0.291 (75)
0.366 (86)
0.459 (92)
-1.11 (99)
92
Louisville
2-5
-0.04
2
0.629 (42)
-0.62 (117)
0.623 (85)
-0.49 (82)
93
Navy
2-4
-0.06
4
-0.33 (111)
-0.51 (110)
0.505 (91)
-0.50 (83)
94
Wyoming
2-5
-0.07
2
0.621 (43)
0.106 (94)
0.400 (94)
-1.19 (100)
95
Tulsa
1-5
-0.14
8
0.799 (29)
-0.46 (107)
0.447 (93)
-0.82 (91)
96
SMU
2-4
-0.15
2
0.539 (52)
-0.09 (100)
0.324 (99)
-1.09 (98)
97
Nevada
3-4
-0.16
2
0.114 (91)
0.036 (96)
0.316 (100)
-1.31 (104)
98
Coastal Car
3-3
-0.18
7
0.126 (89)
0.673 (74)
-0.01 (112)
-1.63 (112)
99
Illinois
3-3
-0.18
12
-0.03 (100)
-0.17 (103)
0.276 (101)
-1.06 (97)
100
Nebraska
0-6
-0.20
2
1.418 (4)
-1.37 (125)
0.597 (88)
-0.12 (71)
101
North Carolina
1-4
-0.22
4
0.746 (34)
-0.35 (106)
0.214 (104)
-0.83 (92)
102
New Mexico
3-3
-0.22
2
-0.33 (110)
-0.09 (99)
0.346 (96)
-1.43 (106)
103
Kansas
2-4
-0.27
2
0.154 (85)
-0.58 (113)
0.261 (102)
-0.85 (93)
104
Liberty
3-3
-0.28
10
0.151 (86)
0.338 (87)
0.033 (108)
-1.70 (115)
105
ULM
3-4
-0.30
11
0.291 (76)
0.505 (81)
-0.18 (117)
-1.61 (111)
106
ULL
3-3
-0.34
7
-0.01 (98)
-0.05 (97)
0.103 (107)
-1.53 (108)
107
Colorado St
3-4
-0.34
0
0.117 (90)
-0.13 (101)
0.211 (105)
-1.64 (113)
108
Southern Miss
2-3
-0.39
3
-0.68 (126)
-0.46 (108)
0.153 (106)
-1.30 (103)
109
Georgia St
2-4
-0.40
1
0.551 (51)
0.151 (93)
0.029 (109)
-1.94 (118)
110
Arkansas
1-6
-0.44
1
0.787 (31)
-1.24 (122)
0.328 (98)
-0.79 (90)
111
East Carolina
2-4
-0.47
7
0.067 (94)
-0.54 (112)
-0.01 (113)
-1.21 (102)
112
Massachusetts
2-5
-0.49
1
0.075 (93)
-0.22 (105)
-0.09 (115)
-1.58 (110)
113
Ball St
3-4
-0.55
4
-0.20 (105)
-0.54 (111)
0.028 (110)
-1.65 (114)
114
C Michigan
1-6
-0.56
8
0.477 (60)
-1.00 (121)
0.235 (103)
-1.44 (107)
115
Old Dominion
1-6
-0.62
3
0.202 (82)
-0.61 (116)
-0.20 (118)
-1.42 (105)
116
UNLV
2-4
-0.67
8
-0.33 (112)
-0.93 (120)
0.004 (111)
-1.57 (109)
117
Charlotte
3-3
-0.77
8
-0.66 (123)
-0.20 (104)
-0.42 (123)
-2.17 (122)
118
Connecticut
1-5
-0.82
0
1.017 (14)
-0.05 (98)
-0.37 (119)
-2.68 (126)
119
WKU
1-5
-0.83
4
0.084 (92)
-0.82 (118)
-0.15 (116)
-2.09 (120)
120
UT San Antonio
3-4
-0.84
1
-0.37 (115)
-0.48 (109)
-0.40 (120)
-2.12 (121)
121
Oregon St
1-5
-0.86
0
0.614 (45)
-1.28 (123)
-0.09 (114)
-1.72 (116)
122
South Alabama
2-5
-0.86
1
-0.02 (99)
-0.59 (115)
-0.41 (122)
-2.06 (119)
123
New Mexico St
2-5
-0.96
3
-0.07 (101)
-0.58 (114)
-0.43 (124)
-2.43 (124)
124
Rutgers
1-6
-1.12
2
0.508 (56)
-1.50 (127)
-0.41 (121)
-1.93 (117)
125
Bowling Green
1-6
-1.13
1
0.300 (74)
-0.91 (119)
-0.53 (125)
-2.54 (125)
126
Kent
1-6
-1.25
0
0.236 (81)
-1.34 (124)
-0.55 (126)
-2.40 (123)
127
San Jose St
0-6
-1.50
0
0.562 (50)
-1.64 (128)
-0.64 (127)
-2.91 (127)
128
Rice
1-6
-1.76
0
-0.17 (104)
-1.39 (126)
-1.22 (130)
-3.24 (129)
129
Texas St
1-5
-1.88
0
-1.21 (130)
-2.16 (129)
-1.10 (128)
-2.93 (128)
130
UTEP
0-6
-2.12
0
-0.34 (113)
-2.40 (130)
-1.21 (129)
-3.40 (130)

Top Conferences in College Football – Top to Bottom

The “top to bottom” approach gives the simple average of the rating for every team in the conference. In my opinion, this is the best and most unbiased way to rank conferences.

Rank Conference Rating
1
SEC
1.836
2
Big 12
1.417
3
Big Ten
1.216
4
ACC
1.214
5
Pac-12
1.105
6
Independents
0.701
7
AAC
0.559
8
MWC
0.241
9
Sun Belt
0.078
10
CUSA
0.034
11
MAC
-0.04