NCAA FBS College Football Ratings


Below are listed the current NCAA FBS college football ratings as computed by the Donchess Inference Index. More information on how these NCAA computer ratings are computed can be found on the Methodology page and we do our predictions on each game at College Football game predictions.

DII Rating– This is a NCAA football ratings system that is a combination of the Standard Rating and the Aegis Rating. The Aegis Rating is weighted more highly in the beginning of the season whereas the Standard Rating is weighted more highly at the end of the season. This is the final rating that is used to rank the teams. We also use the Vegas Rating to help create our preseason rankings, but these place a much lesser roll as the season goes on.

Standard Rating– Looks at game outcome, date and score differential only. Record is the most important factor in this rating system. Further, this rating system is heavily based on the outcomes of games in the current season and is totally based on that come season end. This rating has the least amount of bias and shows what teams are “most politically correct” to make the top 4 playoff.

Aegis Rating– Replacing the Inference Rating, this uses mostly the same the same criteria as the Standard Rating, but heavily weighs the margin of victory of the game. Data from previous seasons weighs into this algorithm (especially, early in the season). This is system is a much better predictor of future game outcomes.

Vegas Rating– This is our newest rating. The Vegas rating takes into account what the Vegas line on each game is. More recent games are weighed the most heavily, and outcome and score differential are also of factor. This rating system is also a very good predictor of future outcomes. Overall, this rating tells us which teams are the best regardless of win-loss record.

It’s also important to note that the ratings early in the season are very unstable as there is not a lot of data on the games yet.

Preseason: Updated 7/27/2019.

FBS College Football Rankings

Rank Team Rec Rating Chg SOS (Rank) Standard (Rank) Aegis (Rank) Vegas (Rank)
1
Clemson
0-0
3.936
0
0 (1)
4.818 (1)
3.718 (1)
3.806 (2)
2
Alabama
0-0
3.820
0
0 (1)
3.863 (2)
3.365 (2)
3.999 (1)
3
Georgia
0-0
2.899
1
0 (1)
2.53 (7)
2.613 (3)
3.111 (3)
4
Oklahoma
0-0
2.831
1
0 (1)
2.712 (4)
2.339 (5)
3.067 (4)
5
Notre Dame
0-0
2.356
2
0 (1)
3.447 (3)
2.333 (6)
2.092 (9)
6
Ohio St
0-0
2.355
0
0 (1)
2.681 (5)
2.238 (7)
2.322 (6)
7
Michigan
0-0
2.281
3
0 (1)
2.122 (13)
2.077 (11)
2.405 (5)
8
LSU
0-0
2.223
1
0 (1)
2.534 (6)
2.397 (4)
2.073 (11)
9
Florida
0-0
2.156
0
0 (1)
2.202 (12)
2.219 (8)
2.118 (8)
10
Texas
0-0
2.031
4
0 (1)
2.003 (15)
1.923 (15)
2.083 (10)
11
Auburn
0-0
2.011
10
0 (1)
1.647 (22)
1.922 (16)
2.139 (7)
12
Texas A&M
0-0
1.999
4
0 (1)
2.345 (9)
2.150 (9)
1.850 (13)
13
Washington
0-0
1.936
2
0 (1)
1.943 (17)
1.899 (17)
1.950 (12)
14
UCF
0-0
1.815
2
0 (1)
2.208 (10)
2.042 (13)
1.623 (16)
15
Penn St
0-0
1.794
7
0 (1)
1.592 (26)
1.897 (18)
1.801 (14)
16
Mississippi St
0-0
1.664
2
0 (1)
1.638 (24)
2.075 (12)
1.499 (20)
17
Missouri
0-0
1.580
3
0 (1)
1.641 (23)
1.970 (14)
1.402 (23)
18
Miami FL
0-0
1.520
28
0 (1)
0.933 (55)
1.344 (42)
1.741 (15)
19
Iowa St
0-0
1.475
13
0 (1)
1.505 (32)
1.450 (37)
1.479 (22)
20
Syracuse
0-0
1.475
9
0 (1)
2.387 (8)
2.088 (10)
0.992 (36)
21
Oregon
0-0
1.463
17
0 (1)
1.416 (35)
1.275 (47)
1.553 (17)
22
Wisconsin
0-0
1.456
18
0 (1)
1.116 (47)
1.567 (30)
1.494 (21)
23
Iowa
0-0
1.432
2
0 (1)
1.437 (34)
1.880 (21)
1.245 (26)
24
Utah
0-0
1.419
4
0 (1)
1.524 (31)
1.623 (27)
1.308 (25)
25
TCU
0-0
1.396
19
0 (1)
1.184 (44)
1.207 (50)
1.527 (19)
26
Boise St
0-0
1.353
4
0 (1)
1.528 (30)
1.586 (28)
1.213 (27)
27
Florida St
0-0
1.308
30
0 (1)
0.986 (51)
0.961 (65)
1.533 (18)
28
Washington St
0-0
1.301
12
0 (1)
2.082 (14)
1.818 (22)
0.891 (38)
29
South Carolina
0-0
1.228
5
0 (1)
1.359 (39)
1.483 (34)
1.089 (29)
30
Kentucky
0-0
1.206
17
0 (1)
2.203 (11)
1.887 (20)
0.672 (45)
31
Nebraska
0-0
1.192
39
0 (1)
0.384 (86)
1.222 (49)
1.382 (24)
32
Purdue
0-0
1.176
15
0 (1)
0.943 (54)
1.383 (39)
1.148 (28)
33
Oklahoma St
0-0
1.145
6
0 (1)
1.193 (43)
1.542 (32)
0.968 (37)
34
Michigan St
0-0
1.135
8
0 (1)
1.099 (48)
1.375 (40)
1.044 (32)
35
NC State
0-0
1.108
6
0 (1)
1.531 (29)
1.531 (33)
0.826 (39)
36
Stanford
0-0
1.105
13
0 (1)
1.821 (20)
1.680 (25)
0.687 (44)
37
Minnesota
0-0
1.088
13
0 (1)
1.005 (50)
1.342 (43)
1.003 (35)
38
Baylor
0-0
1.056
13
0 (1)
1.075 (49)
1.145 (56)
1.014 (34)
39
Appalachian St
0-0
1.046
15
0 (1)
1.855 (19)
1.631 (26)
0.601 (47)
40
West Virginia
0-0
1.035
21
0 (1)
1.745 (21)
1.892 (19)
0.501 (51)
41
Pittsburgh
0-0
1.034
6
0 (1)
1.395 (37)
1.573 (29)
0.719 (41)
42
Memphis
0-0
0.987
27
0 (1)
0.473 (80)
1.090 (59)
1.072 (30)
43
Virginia Tech
0-0
0.969
24
0 (1)
0.747 (66)
0.857 (70)
1.071 (31)
44
Virginia
0-0
0.968
3
0 (1)
1.153 (46)
1.467 (35)
0.714 (42)
45
USC
0-0
0.966
21
0 (1)
0.589 (72)
1.009 (63)
1.043 (33)
46
Cincinnati
0-0
0.893
13
0 (1)
1.602 (25)
1.318 (44)
0.538 (49)
47
Northwestern
0-0
0.881
16
0 (1)
1.552 (28)
1.561 (31)
0.431 (52)
48
Texas Tech
0-0
0.871
10
0 (1)
0.761 (65)
1.151 (53)
0.782 (40)
49
Tennessee
0-0
0.816
1
0 (1)
1.156 (45)
1.165 (52)
0.586 (48)
50
Kansas St
0-0
0.786
12
0 (1)
0.706 (67)
1.151 (54)
0.653 (46)
51
Army
0-0
0.778
25
0 (1)
1.998 (16)
1.346 (41)
0.235 (60)
52
Boston College
0-0
0.774
16
0 (1)
1.293 (42)
1.462 (36)
0.357 (54)
53
Utah St
0-0
0.763
26
0 (1)
1.575 (27)
1.717 (24)
0.163 (63)
54
Fresno St
0-0
0.738
37
0 (1)
1.927 (18)
1.816 (23)
-0.00 (69)
55
Duke
0-0
0.719
18
0 (1)
1.347 (40)
1.422 (38)
0.269 (56)
56
Houston
0-0
0.642
23
0 (1)
0.350 (88)
0.683 (80)
0.698 (43)
57
Arizona St
0-0
0.636
5
0 (1)
0.979 (52)
1.190 (51)
0.320 (55)
58
Wake Forest
0-0
0.611
15
0 (1)
1.368 (38)
1.278 (46)
0.144 (64)
59
Vanderbilt
0-0
0.607
6
0 (1)
0.883 (60)
1.282 (45)
0.257 (58)
60
BYU
0-0
0.543
1
0 (1)
0.805 (63)
1.147 (55)
0.227 (61)
61
UCLA
0-0
0.476
16
0 (1)
0.446 (82)
0.716 (79)
0.383 (53)
62
California
0-0
0.456
2
0 (1)
0.805 (62)
1.023 (62)
0.133 (65)
63
Indiana
0-0
0.448
10
0 (1)
0.495 (75)
0.930 (66)
0.236 (59)
64
Arizona
0-0
0.414
18
0 (1)
0.296 (91)
0.841 (71)
0.266 (57)
65
North Carolina
0-0
0.378
36
0 (1)
-0.38 (106)
0.531 (90)
0.505 (50)
66
Mississippi
0-0
0.372
5
0 (1)
0.472 (81)
1.033 (61)
0.071 (68)
67
Air Force
0-0
0.335
23
0 (1)
0.066 (98)
0.770 (76)
0.221 (62)
68
Ohio
0-0
0.316
13
0 (1)
0.950 (53)
1.228 (48)
-0.22 (76)
69
Georgia Tech
0-0
0.258
15
0 (1)
0.926 (56)
1.122 (57)
-0.26 (80)
70
San Diego St
0-0
0.224
16
0 (1)
0.383 (87)
0.489 (91)
0.074 (67)
71
Temple
0-0
0.214
8
0 (1)
0.782 (64)
0.983 (64)
-0.24 (77)
72
N Illinois
0-0
0.208
0
0 (1)
0.849 (61)
0.628 (84)
-0.12 (74)
73
Ga Southern
0-0
0.161
17
0 (1)
1.311 (41)
0.901 (69)
-0.43 (86)
74
Marshall
0-0
0.144
10
0 (1)
0.891 (59)
0.826 (72)
-0.32 (82)
75
FL Atlantic
0-0
0.099
17
0 (1)
0.092 (97)
0.555 (89)
-0.08 (72)
76
Toledo
0-0
0.090
9
0 (1)
0.248 (92)
0.741 (77)
-0.22 (75)
77
Maryland
0-0
0.084
9
0 (1)
0.492 (76)
1.104 (58)
-0.44 (87)
78
Troy
0-0
0.081
33
0 (1)
1.449 (33)
1.069 (60)
-0.67 (92)
79
Florida Intl
0-0
0.079
5
0 (1)
0.528 (73)
0.625 (85)
-0.25 (79)
80
South Florida
0-0
0.073
13
0 (1)
0.307 (90)
0.239 (100)
-0.05 (71)
81
Illinois
0-0
0.071
18
0 (1)
-0.11 (100)
0.433 (94)
-0.03 (70)
82
W Michigan
0-0
0.068
9
0 (1)
0.321 (89)
0.321 (97)
-0.10 (73)
83
Tulane
0-0
0.025
5
0 (1)
0.394 (84)
0.464 (92)
-0.24 (78)
84
Arkansas
0-0
0.018
26
0 (1)
-0.88 (122)
0.290 (98)
0.130 (66)
85
Arkansas St
0-0
0.015
11
0 (1)
0.656 (70)
0.815 (74)
-0.47 (89)
86
Colorado
0-0
-0.00
3
0 (1)
0.164 (95)
0.644 (83)
-0.31 (81)
87
North Texas
0-0
-0.05
7
0 (1)
0.486 (78)
0.585 (86)
-0.45 (88)
88
Southern Miss
0-0
-0.08
7
0 (1)
0.241 (93)
0.397 (95)
-0.36 (83)
89
Nevada
0-0
-0.10
13
0 (1)
0.683 (68)
0.672 (81)
-0.62 (90)
90
SMU
0-0
-0.16
8
0 (1)
0.014 (99)
0.321 (96)
-0.41 (85)
91
MTSU
0-0
-0.17
26
0 (1)
0.917 (57)
0.823 (73)
-0.86 (96)
92
Louisiana Tech
0-0
-0.19
5
0 (1)
0.478 (79)
0.445 (93)
-0.62 (91)
93
Miami OH
0-0
-0.21
18
0 (1)
0.624 (71)
0.804 (75)
-0.84 (94)
94
UAB
0-0
-0.22
45
0 (1)
1.408 (36)
0.910 (68)
-1.11 (103)
95
E Michigan
0-0
-0.24
14
0 (1)
0.488 (77)
0.669 (82)
-0.81 (93)
96
Louisville
0-0
-0.25
8
0 (1)
-0.24 (104)
0.019 (105)
-0.37 (84)
97
Wyoming
0-0
-0.26
19
0 (1)
0.514 (74)
0.738 (78)
-0.88 (97)
98
Buffalo
0-0
-0.35
37
0 (1)
0.901 (58)
0.921 (67)
-1.20 (105)
99
Louisiana
0-0
-0.36
16
0 (1)
0.657 (69)
0.575 (87)
-1.01 (102)
100
Kansas
0-0
-0.39
3
0 (1)
-0.12 (101)
0.562 (88)
-0.85 (95)
101
Hawaii
0-0
-0.46
7
0 (1)
0.400 (83)
0.223 (102)
-0.97 (99)
102
Navy
0-0
-0.60
3
0 (1)
-0.55 (113)
0.279 (99)
-0.99 (101)
103
ULM
0-0
-0.65
7
0 (1)
0.393 (85)
0.223 (101)
-1.29 (106)
104
Tulsa
0-0
-0.69
11
0 (1)
-0.82 (120)
-0.06 (109)
-0.92 (98)
105
Oregon St
0-0
-0.78
2
0 (1)
-0.38 (107)
-0.02 (107)
-1.19 (104)
106
WKU
0-0
-0.94
5
0 (1)
-0.44 (108)
-0.10 (110)
-1.41 (108)
107
Rutgers
0-0
-0.95
13
0 (1)
-1.18 (125)
0.144 (103)
-1.35 (107)
108
Charlotte
0-0
-0.99
5
0 (1)
0.110 (96)
0.071 (104)
-1.70 (115)
109
East Carolina
0-0
-1.06
8
0 (1)
-0.68 (115)
-0.23 (117)
-1.50 (111)
110
Texas St
0-0
-1.07
13
0 (1)
-0.87 (121)
-0.31 (119)
-1.43 (109)
111
Colorado St
0-0
-1.08
5
0 (1)
-0.72 (117)
-0.12 (111)
-1.56 (112)
112
Old Dominion
0-0
-1.08
0
0 (1)
-0.48 (111)
-0.26 (118)
-1.58 (113)
113
UNLV
0-0
-1.09
4
0 (1)
-0.37 (105)
-0.03 (108)
-1.71 (116)
114
Kent
0-0
-1.12
12
0 (1)
-0.98 (123)
-0.43 (122)
-1.44 (110)
115
Ball St
0-0
-1.14
2
0 (1)
-0.47 (110)
-0.23 (115)
-1.69 (114)
116
New Mexico
0-0
-1.17
2
0 (1)
-0.53 (112)
-0.14 (113)
-1.75 (117)
117
Liberty
0-0
-1.19
15
0 (1)
-1.45 (128)
-1.54 (130)
-0.97 (100)
118
Coastal Car
0-0
-1.23
18
0 (1)
0.220 (94)
-0.00 (106)
-2.12 (123)
119
Georgia St
0-0
-1.31
2
0 (1)
-0.71 (116)
-0.34 (120)
-1.87 (118)
120
San Jose St
0-0
-1.42
5
0 (1)
-1.11 (124)
-0.14 (112)
-2.03 (121)
121
Akron
0-0
-1.42
15
0 (1)
-0.21 (102)
-0.15 (114)
-2.25 (124)
122
C Michigan
0-0
-1.43
5
0 (1)
-1.30 (126)
-0.43 (123)
-1.89 (119)
123
New Mexico St
0-0
-1.44
1
0 (1)
-0.77 (118)
-0.52 (126)
-1.98 (120)
124
Bowling Green
0-0
-1.47
5
0 (1)
-0.66 (114)
-0.42 (121)
-2.11 (122)
125
Massachusetts
0-0
-1.57
17
0 (1)
-0.21 (103)
-0.23 (116)
-2.48 (128)
126
UT San Antonio
0-0
-1.61
4
0 (1)
-0.78 (119)
-0.50 (125)
-2.28 (125)
127
South Alabama
0-0
-1.66
9
0 (1)
-0.45 (109)
-0.44 (124)
-2.47 (127)
128
Connecticut
0-0
-1.94
1
0 (1)
-1.34 (127)
-1.06 (129)
-2.45 (126)
129
Rice
0-0
-2.15
1
0 (1)
-1.49 (129)
-0.89 (127)
-2.84 (129)
130
UTEP
0-0
-2.19
0
0 (1)
-1.65 (130)
-0.92 (128)
-2.86 (130)

Top Conferences in College Football – Top to Bottom

The “top to bottom” approach gives the simple average of the rating for every team in the conference. In my opinion, this is the best and most unbiased way to rank conferences.

Rank Conference Rating
1
SEC
1.614
2
Big 12
1.223
3
ACC
1.057
4
Big Ten
1.031
5
Pac-12
0.782
6
AAC
0.192
7
Independents
-0.10
8
MWC
-0.18
9
CUSA
-0.45
10
Sun Belt
-0.55
11
MAC
-0.56