NCAA FBS College Football Ratings


Below are listed the current NCAA FBS college football ratings as computed by the Donchess Inference Index. More information on how these NCAA computer ratings are computed can be found on the Methodology page and we do our predictions on each game at College Football game predictions.

DII Rating– This is a NCAA football ratings system that is a combination of the Standard Rating and the Aegis Rating. The Aegis Rating is weighted more highly in the beginning of the season whereas the Standard Rating is weighted more highly at the end of the season. This is the final rating that is used to rank the teams. We also use the Vegas Rating to help create our preseason rankings, but these place a much lesser roll as the season goes on.

Standard Rating– Looks at game outcome, date and score differential only. Record is the most important factor in this rating system. Further, this rating system is heavily based on the outcomes of games in the current season and is totally based on that come season end. This rating has the least amount of bias and shows what teams are “most politically correct” to make the top 4 playoff.

Aegis Rating– Replacing the Inference Rating, this uses mostly the same the same criteria as the Standard Rating, but heavily weighs the margin of victory of the game. Data from previous seasons weighs into this algorithm (especially, early in the season). This is system is a much better predictor of future game outcomes.

Vegas Rating– This is our newest rating. The Vegas rating takes into account what the Vegas line on each game is. More recent games are weighed the most heavily, and outcome and score differential are also of factor. This rating system is also a very good predictor of future outcomes. Overall, this rating tells us which teams are the best regardless of win-loss record.

It’s also important to note that the ratings early in the season are very unstable as there is not a lot of data on the games yet.

Updated 12/8/2019.

FBS College Football Rankings

Rank Team Rec Rating Chg SOS (Rank) Standard (Rank) Aegis (Rank) Vegas (Rank)
1
Ohio St
13-0
4.071
0
1.155 (12)
4.480 (1)
3.842 (1)
3.896 (1)
2
LSU
13-0
3.893
0
1.060 (17)
4.244 (2)
3.706 (2)
3.733 (3)
3
Clemson
13-0
3.563
0
0.444 (69)
3.371 (3)
3.432 (3)
3.879 (2)
4
Alabama
10-2
3.213
0
0.554 (61)
2.725 (13)
3.240 (4)
3.661 (4)
5
Oklahoma
12-1
2.769
1
0.982 (26)
3.258 (4)
2.567 (8)
2.489 (7)
6
Georgia
11-2
2.767
1
1.018 (21)
2.788 (11)
2.678 (6)
2.835 (5)
7
Auburn
9-3
2.612
2
1.314 (1)
2.633 (15)
2.683 (5)
2.523 (6)
8
Wisconsin
10-3
2.577
0
1.308 (3)
2.865 (7)
2.565 (9)
2.308 (8)
9
Florida
10-2
2.565
1
0.972 (28)
2.734 (12)
2.673 (7)
2.295 (9)
10
Penn St
10-2
2.540
1
0.927 (33)
2.867 (6)
2.475 (13)
2.286 (10)
11
Oregon
11-2
2.502
3
0.977 (27)
2.789 (10)
2.544 (10)
2.181 (12)
12
Michigan
9-3
2.440
0
1.209 (6)
2.794 (9)
2.486 (12)
2.051 (14)
13
Utah
11-2
2.397
6
0.658 (52)
2.444 (17)
2.508 (11)
2.242 (11)
14
Notre Dame
10-2
2.384
1
0.832 (41)
2.684 (14)
2.363 (14)
2.113 (13)
15
Memphis
12-1
2.140
1
0.469 (66)
2.967 (5)
2.114 (16)
1.365 (22)
16
Baylor
11-2
2.124
1
0.712 (50)
2.808 (8)
2.178 (15)
1.406 (20)
17
Iowa
9-3
1.947
0
0.938 (32)
2.299 (20)
2.046 (18)
1.508 (17)
18
Texas A&M
7-5
1.876
1
1.018 (20)
1.673 (32)
2.103 (17)
1.852 (15)
19
Boise St
12-1
1.851
2
0.100 (90)
2.533 (16)
1.889 (27)
1.151 (26)
20
Minnesota
10-2
1.848
2
0.667 (51)
2.201 (24)
1.975 (20)
1.383 (21)
21
UCF
9-3
1.828
1
0.159 (84)
2.022 (25)
1.945 (22)
1.527 (16)
22
Appalachian St
12-1
1.752
1
-0.05 (103)
2.222 (22)
2.006 (19)
1.049 (27)
23
USC
8-4
1.729
1
1.159 (10)
1.946 (26)
1.975 (21)
1.280 (24)
24
Iowa St
7-5
1.728
0
1.129 (14)
1.784 (30)
1.912 (25)
1.495 (19)
25
Washington
7-5
1.673
0
0.867 (39)
1.591 (34)
1.933 (23)
1.502 (18)
26
Texas
7-5
1.660
2
1.301 (4)
1.802 (29)
1.879 (28)
1.308 (23)
27
Oklahoma St
8-4
1.659
1
0.994 (24)
1.918 (27)
1.904 (26)
1.172 (25)
28
Navy
9-2
1.653
1
0.407 (72)
2.380 (19)
1.857 (29)
0.748 (37)
29
Cincinnati
10-3
1.619
0
0.815 (44)
2.427 (18)
1.646 (33)
0.807 (34)
30
SMU
10-2
1.572
1
0.465 (67)
2.268 (21)
1.765 (30)
0.710 (40)
31
Air Force
10-2
1.558
1
0.111 (88)
2.216 (23)
1.738 (31)
0.745 (38)
32
Kansas St
8-4
1.533
0
0.882 (38)
1.821 (28)
1.919 (24)
0.881 (32)
33
Indiana
8-4
1.318
0
0.441 (70)
1.500 (35)
1.641 (34)
0.827 (33)
34
Louisiana
10-3
1.267
1
-0.14 (111)
1.7 (31)
1.558 (35)
0.565 (46)
35
Virginia
9-4
1.265
1
0.560 (60)
1.595 (33)
1.411 (42)
0.804 (35)
36
TCU
5-7
1.238
0
0.997 (23)
1.14 (48)
1.653 (32)
0.931 (30)
37
Mississippi St
6-6
1.231
0
1.178 (8)
1.245 (41)
1.492 (37)
0.962 (28)
38
Michigan St
6-6
1.145
1
1.174 (9)
1.176 (46)
1.311 (46)
0.954 (29)
39
Arizona St
7-5
1.142
1
0.908 (35)
1.372 (37)
1.452 (41)
0.618 (42)
40
Tennessee
7-5
1.137
0
0.794 (46)
1.370 (38)
1.513 (36)
0.547 (47)
41
Washington St
6-6
1.121
0
0.578 (58)
0.959 (58)
1.486 (39)
0.924 (31)
42
FL Atlantic
10-3
1.091
4
-0.10 (106)
1.441 (36)
1.487 (38)
0.366 (53)
43
Kentucky
7-5
1.047
1
0.530 (63)
1.224 (42)
1.461 (40)
0.473 (49)
44
California
7-5
1.000
1
0.959 (30)
1.214 (43)
1.370 (43)
0.433 (52)
45
Virginia Tech
8-4
0.992
1
0.143 (87)
1.088 (51)
1.289 (48)
0.611 (43)
46
Missouri
6-6
0.990
1
0.612 (56)
0.863 (65)
1.307 (47)
0.804 (36)
47
South Carolina
4-8
0.959
0
1.313 (2)
1.001 (54)
1.248 (51)
0.639 (41)
48
North Carolina
6-6
0.917
0
0.639 (55)
0.931 (61)
1.235 (54)
0.594 (44)
49
Wake Forest
8-4
0.902
0
0.531 (62)
1.108 (50)
1.086 (59)
0.524 (48)
50
Miami FL
6-6
0.880
0
0.453 (68)
0.854 (67)
1.070 (60)
0.722 (39)
51
Tulane
6-6
0.861
1
0.511 (64)
0.982 (55)
1.264 (50)
0.352 (54)
52
Florida St
6-6
0.852
1
0.766 (48)
0.969 (57)
1.157 (56)
0.444 (51)
53
Nebraska
5-7
0.852
2
0.962 (29)
0.873 (63)
1.244 (52)
0.451 (50)
54
Louisville
7-5
0.831
1
0.825 (42)
1.161 (47)
1.041 (66)
0.306 (56)
55
BYU
7-5
0.818
1
0.326 (77)
1.25 (40)
1.090 (58)
0.134 (59)
56
Texas Tech
4-8
0.810
0
0.946 (31)
0.836 (68)
1.331 (45)
0.280 (57)
57
Temple
8-4
0.804
0
0.161 (83)
1.284 (39)
1.181 (55)
-0.02 (64)
58
Mississippi
4-8
0.737
0
1.061 (16)
0.296 (95)
1.355 (44)
0.565 (45)
59
Pittsburgh
7-5
0.690
2
0.608 (57)
0.872 (64)
0.885 (74)
0.323 (55)
60
San Diego St
9-3
0.688
1
0.024 (97)
1.193 (44)
1.060 (63)
-0.16 (67)
61
Oregon St
5-8
0.686
1
0.897 (37)
0.884 (62)
1.242 (53)
-0.04 (65)
62
Utah St
7-5
0.681
0
0.568 (59)
1.074 (52)
0.963 (69)
0.025 (61)
63
West Virginia
5-7
0.662
0
1.291 (5)
0.953 (59)
1.275 (49)
-0.21 (70)
64
Ga Southern
7-5
0.642
0
0.398 (73)
1.134 (49)
1.070 (60)
-0.25 (72)
65
Wyoming
7-5
0.618
0
0.103 (89)
0.940 (60)
1.116 (57)
-0.17 (68)
66
Boston College
6-6
0.608
1
0.643 (53)
0.787 (73)
1.063 (62)
-0.00 (62)
67
UCLA
4-8
0.587
1
1.201 (7)
0.756 (75)
1.045 (65)
-0.02 (63)
68
Duke
5-7
0.577
1
0.759 (49)
0.612 (81)
0.866 (76)
0.261 (58)
69
Hawaii
10-5
0.548
1
0.359 (76)
1.188 (45)
0.922 (71)
-0.43 (83)
70
Stanford
4-8
0.538
0
1.158 (11)
0.520 (85)
0.972 (68)
0.134 (60)
71
Illinois
6-6
0.487
0
0.433 (71)
0.665 (77)
1.034 (67)
-0.21 (69)
72
Colorado
5-7
0.458
0
1.142 (13)
0.759 (74)
0.888 (73)
-0.24 (71)
73
Marshall
8-4
0.436
1
-0.12 (107)
0.975 (56)
0.699 (83)
-0.34 (76)
74
Purdue
4-8
0.425
1
0.998 (22)
0.386 (91)
1.049 (64)
-0.14 (66)
75
WKU
8-4
0.402
0
-0.16 (112)
0.790 (72)
0.835 (78)
-0.39 (81)
76
Tulsa
4-8
0.394
0
1.037 (19)
0.644 (78)
0.932 (70)
-0.36 (78)
77
W Michigan
7-5
0.384
0
-0.12 (110)
0.834 (69)
0.705 (81)
-0.36 (77)
78
Buffalo
7-5
0.355
0
-0.35 (122)
0.820 (70)
0.867 (75)
-0.59 (89)
79
Houston
4-8
0.347
0
0.769 (47)
0.619 (80)
0.865 (77)
-0.41 (82)
80
Arkansas St
7-5
0.305
0
0.197 (81)
0.855 (66)
0.743 (79)
-0.65 (91)
81
Syracuse
5-7
0.293
0
0.508 (65)
0.512 (87)
0.717 (80)
-0.33 (75)
82
Arizona
4-8
0.266
0
0.901 (36)
0.389 (90)
0.687 (85)
-0.26 (73)
83
Northwestern
3-9
0.258
0
0.909 (34)
0.262 (98)
0.904 (72)
-0.37 (79)
84
Louisiana Tech
9-3
0.247
0
-0.80 (130)
0.687 (76)
0.595 (91)
-0.51 (86)
85
Southern Miss
7-5
0.241
0
0.004 (99)
0.579 (82)
0.657 (88)
-0.49 (85)
86
Ohio
6-6
0.187
2
-0.31 (119)
0.445 (89)
0.622 (90)
-0.48 (84)
87
Fresno St
4-8
0.150
0
0.316 (78)
0.172 (100)
0.689 (84)
-0.39 (80)
88
C Michigan
8-5
0.149
2
-0.25 (118)
0.807 (71)
0.678 (86)
-1.00 (100)
89
Maryland
3-9
0.133
0
0.847 (40)
0.055 (102)
0.666 (87)
-0.30 (74)
90
Miami OH
8-5
0.119
3
0.151 (86)
1.027 (53)
0.472 (98)
-1.10 (104)
91
Kansas
3-9
0.114
1
0.992 (25)
0.328 (94)
0.701 (82)
-0.66 (92)
92
South Florida
4-8
0.041
0
0.642 (54)
0.532 (84)
0.523 (95)
-0.90 (96)
93
ULM
5-7
0.022
1
0.373 (75)
0.452 (88)
0.644 (89)
-0.99 (99)
94
Georgia St
7-5
0.019
1
0.026 (96)
0.637 (79)
0.548 (94)
-1.09 (103)
95
Ball St
5-7
-0.00
1
-0.10 (105)
0.334 (93)
0.576 (93)
-0.89 (95)
96
UAB
9-4
-0.04
5
-0.75 (128)
0.362 (92)
0.341 (102)
-0.81 (93)
97
Troy
5-7
-0.07
1
-0.20 (114)
0.238 (99)
0.515 (96)
-0.95 (97)
98
Army
5-7
-0.07
1
-0.52 (125)
-0.26 (112)
0.585 (92)
-0.53 (87)
99
Kent
6-6
-0.13
1
0.151 (85)
0.572 (83)
0.376 (100)
-1.31 (111)
100
Nevada
7-5
-0.14
1
0.087 (91)
0.517 (86)
0.416 (99)
-1.33 (115)
101
NC State
4-8
-0.17
1
0.263 (80)
-0.17 (111)
0.222 (110)
-0.55 (88)
102
E Michigan
6-6
-0.17
1
-0.18 (113)
0.284 (96)
0.316 (105)
-1.10 (105)
103
San Jose St
5-7
-0.21
0
-0.00 (101)
0.028 (105)
0.497 (97)
-1.15 (106)
104
Charlotte
7-5
-0.22
0
-0.39 (123)
0.275 (97)
0.311 (106)
-1.24 (109)
105
Florida Intl
6-6
-0.23
0
-0.44 (124)
0.040 (104)
0.241 (108)
-0.97 (98)
106
Georgia Tech
3-9
-0.29
0
0.801 (45)
-0.13 (109)
0.161 (112)
-0.88 (94)
107
Arkansas
2-10
-0.30
0
1.073 (15)
-0.61 (118)
0.304 (107)
-0.59 (90)
108
Coastal Car
5-7
-0.32
0
-0.22 (117)
0.014 (106)
0.368 (101)
-1.32 (114)
109
Liberty
7-5
-0.35
0
-0.78 (129)
0.069 (101)
0.227 (109)
-1.32 (113)
110
N Illinois
5-7
-0.35
0
0.013 (98)
0.005 (107)
0.152 (113)
-1.19 (108)
111
MTSU
4-8
-0.35
1
0.004 (100)
-0.29 (113)
0.324 (104)
-1.07 (102)
112
Colorado St
4-8
-0.36
1
-0.02 (102)
-0.14 (110)
0.329 (103)
-1.24 (110)
113
Toledo
6-6
-0.42
0
-0.22 (116)
0.054 (103)
0.003 (115)
-1.32 (112)
114
Vanderbilt
3-9
-0.47
0
0.822 (43)
-0.40 (114)
0.161 (111)
-1.17 (107)
115
North Texas
4-8
-0.55
0
-0.33 (120)
-0.60 (117)
0.002 (116)
-1.03 (101)
116
UNLV
4-8
-0.66
0
0.051 (93)
-0.10 (108)
0.051 (114)
-1.91 (118)
117
East Carolina
4-8
-0.77
0
-0.08 (104)
-0.56 (116)
-0.01 (117)
-1.71 (116)
118
Rice
3-9
-0.86
0
0.026 (95)
-0.62 (119)
-0.10 (118)
-1.85 (117)
119
Texas St
3-9
-0.88
0
0.395 (74)
-0.43 (115)
-0.13 (119)
-2.03 (119)
120
South Alabama
2-10
-1.02
0
0.191 (82)
-0.63 (120)
-0.16 (120)
-2.24 (121)
121
Rutgers
2-10
-1.05
0
1.047 (18)
-0.77 (121)
-0.28 (121)
-2.06 (120)
122
New Mexico
2-10
-1.26
0
0.274 (79)
-1.02 (124)
-0.44 (122)
-2.29 (122)
123
UT San Antonio
4-8
-1.35
0
-0.21 (115)
-0.97 (123)
-0.52 (123)
-2.52 (124)
124
Bowling Green
3-9
-1.55
0
-0.12 (109)
-0.80 (122)
-0.83 (126)
-2.97 (126)
125
New Mexico St
2-10
-1.60
0
0.030 (94)
-1.32 (125)
-0.73 (125)
-2.70 (125)
126
Old Dominion
1-11
-1.65
0
-0.12 (108)
-1.78 (127)
-0.73 (124)
-2.40 (123)
127
Connecticut
2-10
-1.83
0
0.078 (92)
-1.39 (126)
-1.04 (127)
-3.03 (127)
128
UTEP
1-11
-2.31
0
-0.55 (127)
-2.20 (128)
-1.30 (128)
-3.38 (128)
129
Akron
0-12
-2.62
0
-0.33 (121)
-2.84 (130)
-1.53 (129)
-3.48 (129)
130
Massachusetts
1-11
-3.02
0
-0.53 (126)
-2.44 (129)
-2.09 (130)
-4.48 (130)