NCAA FBS College Football Ratings


Below are listed the current NCAA FBS college football ratings as computed by the Donchess Inference Index. More information on how these NCAA computer ratings are computed can be found on the Methodology page and we do our predictions on each game at College Football game predictions.

DII Rating– This is a NCAA football ratings system that is a combination of the Standard Rating and the Aegis Rating. The Aegis Rating is weighted more highly in the beginning of the season whereas the Standard Rating is weighted more highly at the end of the season. This is the final rating that is used to rank the teams. We also use the Vegas Rating to help create our preseason rankings, but these place a much lesser roll as the season goes on.

Standard Rating– Looks at game outcome, date and score differential only. Record is the most important factor in this rating system. Further, this rating system is heavily based on the outcomes of games in the current season and is totally based on that come season end. This rating has the least amount of bias and shows what teams are “most politically correct” to make the top 4 playoff.

Aegis Rating– Replacing the Inference Rating, this uses mostly the same the same criteria as the Standard Rating, but heavily weighs the margin of victory of the game. Data from previous seasons weighs into this algorithm (especially, early in the season). This is system is a much better predictor of future game outcomes.

Vegas Rating– This is our newest rating. The Vegas rating takes into account what the Vegas line on each game is. More recent games are weighed the most heavily, and outcome and score differential are also of factor. This rating system is also a very good predictor of future outcomes. Overall, this rating tells us which teams are the best regardless of win-loss record.

It’s also important to note that the ratings early in the season are very unstable as there is not a lot of data on the games yet.

Updated 10/13/2019.

FBS College Football Rankings

Rank Team Rec Rating Chg SOS (Rank) Standard (Rank) Aegis (Rank) Vegas (Rank)
1
Alabama
6-0
3.945
0
0.576 (46)
3.316 (9)
4.208 (1)
4.301 (1)
2
LSU
6-0
3.736
1
0.248 (68)
4.272 (1)
3.610 (2)
3.338 (3)
3
Clemson
6-0
3.617
1
0.516 (50)
3.578 (2)
3.603 (3)
3.669 (2)
4
Ohio St
6-0
3.456
0
0.929 (24)
3.575 (3)
3.577 (4)
3.224 (4)
5
Oklahoma
6-0
3.258
1
0.361 (58)
3.418 (5)
3.367 (5)
2.998 (5)
6
Auburn
5-1
2.877
2
1.567 (1)
3.259 (10)
2.847 (7)
2.536 (7)
7
Wisconsin
6-0
2.863
5
0.416 (55)
3.391 (7)
2.819 (8)
2.393 (9)
8
Penn St
6-0
2.752
2
0.277 (66)
2.938 (12)
2.880 (6)
2.448 (8)
9
Florida
6-1
2.750
2
0.752 (34)
3.409 (6)
2.781 (10)
2.081 (12)
10
Oregon
5-1
2.583
3
1.100 (13)
2.918 (13)
2.710 (12)
2.133 (10)
11
Texas
4-2
2.417
2
1.522 (3)
2.610 (16)
2.640 (13)
2.014 (13)
12
Notre Dame
5-1
2.353
1
0.533 (49)
2.405 (18)
2.580 (15)
2.083 (11)
13
Georgia
5-1
2.324
8
0.080 (84)
1.660 (43)
2.760 (11)
2.544 (6)
14
Boise St
6-0
2.243
10
0.166 (73)
3.497 (4)
2.200 (20)
1.069 (26)
15
UCF
4-2
2.236
1
0.217 (69)
1.973 (25)
2.784 (9)
1.960 (14)
16
Washington
5-2
2.154
2
0.771 (32)
1.953 (26)
2.626 (14)
1.891 (15)
17
Missouri
5-1
2.036
1
0.116 (77)
1.722 (40)
2.528 (16)
1.864 (16)
18
Michigan
5-1
2.036
3
0.416 (56)
2.367 (19)
2.184 (21)
1.569 (19)
19
Baylor
6-0
2.017
0
-0.28 (104)
3.318 (8)
1.855 (32)
0.912 (32)
20
Cincinnati
5-1
1.979
3
1.047 (18)
2.549 (17)
2.318 (18)
1.097 (24)
21
Minnesota
6-0
1.934
7
0.304 (65)
2.885 (14)
1.876 (30)
1.068 (27)
22
Appalachian St
5-0
1.899
3
-0.51 (120)
2.973 (11)
2.016 (26)
0.745 (38)
23
Iowa
4-2
1.887
6
0.743 (35)
1.938 (28)
2.250 (19)
1.486 (21)
24
Iowa St
4-2
1.868
9
0.920 (25)
1.764 (38)
2.183 (22)
1.663 (18)
25
Utah
5-1
1.831
7
0.345 (60)
1.435 (50)
2.503 (17)
1.562 (20)
26
Oklahoma St
4-2
1.807
6
0.671 (37)
1.842 (33)
2.127 (23)
1.462 (22)
27
Texas A&M
3-3
1.783
6
1.072 (16)
1.393 (54)
2.124 (24)
1.831 (17)
28
SMU
6-0
1.731
1
0.188 (71)
2.869 (15)
1.835 (33)
0.526 (46)
29
Michigan St
4-3
1.677
2
1.428 (6)
1.701 (41)
1.955 (28)
1.383 (23)
30
Arizona St
5-1
1.626
4
0.665 (38)
2.152 (21)
1.874 (31)
0.876 (34)
31
Memphis
5-1
1.598
9
-0.07 (92)
1.787 (37)
1.961 (27)
1.063 (28)
32
USC
3-3
1.486
6
1.496 (4)
1.285 (57)
2.103 (25)
1.082 (25)
33
South Carolina
3-3
1.451
22
1.103 (12)
1.524 (48)
1.828 (34)
1.013 (29)
34
California
4-2
1.426
10
1.064 (17)
1.825 (36)
1.753 (39)
0.722 (39)
35
Utah St
3-2
1.420
4
0.813 (30)
1.837 (34)
1.821 (35)
0.625 (42)
36
Duke
4-2
1.409
7
0.593 (43)
1.597 (46)
1.773 (38)
0.874 (35)
37
Virginia
4-2
1.409
6
0.313 (64)
1.832 (35)
1.522 (48)
0.888 (33)
38
Stanford
3-3
1.405
4
1.555 (2)
1.498 (49)
1.944 (29)
0.791 (37)
39
Tulane
5-1
1.403
4
-0.42 (111)
1.986 (24)
1.751 (40)
0.500 (47)
40
TCU
3-2
1.348
5
0.137 (76)
1.305 (56)
1.779 (37)
0.970 (30)
41
Pittsburgh
4-2
1.315
1
0.936 (22)
1.875 (32)
1.515 (49)
0.576 (44)
42
Texas Tech
3-3
1.313
6
0.917 (26)
1.630 (45)
1.693 (41)
0.638 (41)
43
Air Force
4-2
1.302
11
0.114 (78)
1.998 (23)
1.593 (44)
0.344 (55)
44
Navy
4-1
1.279
14
0.104 (80)
2.046 (22)
1.637 (43)
0.186 (61)
45
Wake Forest
5-1
1.275
19
0.106 (79)
1.914 (29)
1.447 (51)
0.487 (48)
46
Kansas St
3-2
1.269
5
0.590 (44)
1.675 (42)
1.569 (46)
0.582 (43)
47
Mississippi St
3-3
1.208
17
1.013 (19)
0.976 (67)
1.688 (42)
0.967 (31)
48
Florida St
3-3
1.177
4
1.449 (5)
1.901 (30)
1.204 (65)
0.448 (50)
49
North Carolina
3-3
1.156
2
1.375 (8)
1.648 (44)
1.404 (54)
0.437 (52)
50
Arizona
4-2
1.143
13
0.483 (54)
1.759 (39)
1.407 (53)
0.289 (59)
51
West Virginia
3-3
0.982
4
1.151 (11)
1.151 (59)
1.582 (45)
0.234 (60)
52
Miami FL
3-3
0.966
15
0.361 (57)
1.008 (65)
1.256 (63)
0.643 (40)
53
Syracuse
3-3
0.962
7
0.564 (47)
0.891 (70)
1.560 (47)
0.449 (49)
54
Hawaii
5-2
0.938
5
0.810 (31)
2.194 (20)
1.118 (70)
-0.45 (81)
55
NC State
4-2
0.926
9
-0.46 (116)
1.126 (61)
1.265 (61)
0.403 (53)
56
Kentucky
3-3
0.925
7
0.756 (33)
1.029 (64)
1.377 (56)
0.386 (54)
57
Indiana
4-2
0.911
12
-0.59 (121)
1.100 (63)
1.323 (58)
0.329 (56)
58
Louisville
4-2
0.909
20
0.319 (63)
1.946 (27)
0.814 (81)
-0.00 (67)
59
Washington St
3-3
0.902
2
-0.17 (99)
0.030 (101)
1.814 (36)
0.863 (36)
60
Nebraska
4-3
0.875
7
0.585 (45)
1.005 (66)
1.188 (67)
0.446 (51)
61
FL Atlantic
4-2
0.865
12
0.153 (74)
1.428 (51)
1.154 (69)
0.039 (65)
62
Colorado
3-3
0.860
1
1.072 (15)
1.549 (47)
1.118 (70)
-0.05 (69)
63
Louisiana Tech
5-1
0.825
9
-0.80 (126)
1.893 (31)
0.714 (84)
-0.10 (72)
64
Wyoming
4-2
0.818
14
0.036 (85)
1.189 (58)
1.230 (64)
0.058 (64)
65
Fresno St
2-3
0.816
5
0.551 (48)
0.872 (73)
1.514 (50)
0.085 (63)
66
San Diego St
5-1
0.790
0
-0.07 (91)
1.416 (52)
1.159 (68)
-0.17 (73)
67
Maryland
3-3
0.771
19
-0.11 (95)
0.365 (88)
1.382 (55)
0.572 (45)
68
Temple
5-1
0.762
3
-0.63 (124)
1.119 (62)
1.195 (66)
-0.00 (66)
69
Louisiana
4-2
0.699
13
-0.47 (117)
0.879 (72)
1.263 (62)
-0.02 (68)
70
Mississippi
3-4
0.680
7
0.885 (27)
0.419 (86)
1.303 (59)
0.328 (57)
71
Purdue
2-4
0.639
8
0.988 (20)
0.429 (84)
1.343 (57)
0.160 (62)
72
Northwestern
1-4
0.633
4
1.304 (9)
0.152 (96)
1.434 (52)
0.324 (58)
73
Virginia Tech
4-2
0.504
3
-0.43 (113)
0.856 (74)
0.733 (83)
-0.05 (70)
74
Southern Miss
4-2
0.455
3
0.181 (72)
0.909 (69)
0.944 (76)
-0.46 (82)
75
W Michigan
4-3
0.424
9
-0.03 (89)
0.804 (75)
0.880 (78)
-0.38 (78)
76
Army
3-3
0.421
14
-0.48 (118)
0.463 (83)
1.015 (73)
-0.19 (75)
77
BYU
2-4
0.420
3
0.933 (23)
0.421 (85)
1.049 (72)
-0.19 (74)
78
Tulsa
2-4
0.383
13
1.157 (10)
0.922 (68)
0.734 (82)
-0.47 (83)
79
Houston
2-4
0.359
9
0.837 (28)
-0.08 (104)
1.282 (60)
-0.10 (71)
80
Arkansas St
3-3
0.321
1
0.319 (62)
0.660 (79)
0.884 (77)
-0.55 (86)
81
Nevada
4-2
0.287
4
0.191 (70)
1.412 (53)
0.576 (93)
-1.08 (100)
82
UCLA
1-5
0.248
0
1.385 (7)
-0.04 (103)
1.012 (74)
-0.20 (76)
83
WKU
4-2
0.237
14
-0.15 (97)
1.145 (60)
0.393 (102)
-0.79 (93)
84
Oregon St
2-5
0.235
4
0.646 (39)
0.305 (90)
0.955 (75)
-0.52 (85)
85
UAB
5-1
0.211
7
-1.57 (130)
0.729 (78)
0.535 (95)
-0.60 (87)
86
Toledo
4-2
0.193
11
-0.41 (110)
0.775 (76)
0.656 (86)
-0.81 (95)
87
ULM
3-3
0.193
9
0.004 (87)
0.735 (77)
0.611 (89)
-0.73 (90)
88
Boston College
3-3
0.181
1
-0.34 (107)
0.089 (98)
0.815 (80)
-0.34 (77)
89
Tennessee
2-4
0.152
16
0.491 (53)
0.074 (99)
0.819 (79)
-0.41 (79)
90
Marshall
3-3
0.116
2
-0.13 (96)
0.280 (91)
0.590 (91)
-0.50 (84)
91
Florida Intl
3-3
0.078
9
-0.42 (112)
0.599 (81)
0.415 (98)
-0.75 (91)
92
Georgia St
4-2
-0.02
9
-0.08 (94)
0.888 (71)
0.505 (96)
-1.41 (109)
93
Ball St
3-3
-0.02
19
-0.07 (90)
0.631 (80)
0.401 (100)
-1.07 (99)
94
Kent
3-3
-0.02
14
0.643 (40)
1.312 (55)
0.061 (114)
-1.41 (108)
95
Ga Southern
2-3
-0.02
8
0.596 (42)
-0.10 (106)
0.668 (85)
-0.62 (89)
96
Arkansas
2-4
-0.10
2
0.098 (81)
-0.45 (115)
0.587 (92)
-0.42 (80)
97
Miami OH
2-4
-0.13
14
0.818 (29)
0.204 (94)
0.575 (94)
-1.15 (104)
98
Ohio
2-4
-0.14
12
-0.17 (98)
-0.43 (113)
0.630 (87)
-0.60 (88)
99
MTSU
2-4
-0.15
8
0.320 (61)
0.273 (92)
0.371 (103)
-1.09 (102)
100
Troy
2-3
-0.16
7
-0.60 (122)
-0.29 (109)
0.629 (88)
-0.80 (94)
101
North Texas
2-4
-0.19
11
0.143 (75)
-0.39 (112)
0.606 (90)
-0.77 (92)
102
South Florida
3-3
-0.21
9
-0.19 (101)
0.100 (97)
0.400 (101)
-1.12 (103)
103
Kansas
2-4
-0.26
8
0.345 (59)
-0.14 (107)
0.446 (97)
-1.06 (98)
104
E Michigan
3-3
-0.36
10
-0.27 (103)
0.226 (93)
0.083 (113)
-1.36 (107)
105
San Jose St
3-3
-0.36
1
-0.45 (114)
0.184 (95)
0.270 (105)
-1.52 (110)
106
N Illinois
2-4
-0.38
9
0.275 (67)
-0.21 (108)
0.334 (104)
-1.25 (105)
107
C Michigan
4-3
-0.40
3
-0.45 (115)
0.313 (89)
0.208 (106)
-1.68 (115)
108
Buffalo
2-4
-0.46
2
-0.08 (93)
-0.49 (116)
0.401 (99)
-1.28 (106)
109
Texas St
2-4
-0.51
6
0.493 (52)
0.404 (87)
-0.04 (115)
-1.85 (118)
110
Liberty
4-2
-0.52
11
-1.12 (129)
0.010 (102)
0.194 (107)
-1.73 (117)
111
Vanderbilt
1-5
-0.56
9
0.965 (21)
-0.84 (118)
0.189 (108)
-1.01 (97)
112
Coastal Car
3-3
-0.56
5
-0.81 (127)
-0.09 (105)
0.092 (112)
-1.67 (114)
113
UNLV
2-4
-0.60
5
0.083 (82)
-0.34 (111)
0.167 (109)
-1.59 (113)
114
Illinois
2-4
-0.61
5
-0.19 (100)
-0.84 (119)
0.114 (111)
-1.08 (101)
115
East Carolina
3-3
-0.62
1
-0.75 (125)
0.033 (100)
-0.15 (117)
-1.72 (116)
116
Georgia Tech
1-5
-0.65
2
0.698 (36)
-1.08 (120)
0.115 (110)
-0.99 (96)
117
Charlotte
2-4
-0.72
4
0.032 (86)
-0.32 (110)
-0.24 (118)
-1.57 (111)
118
Colorado St
2-5
-0.79
3
-0.34 (106)
-0.69 (117)
-0.07 (116)
-1.58 (112)
119
Bowling Green
2-4
-0.83
7
0.081 (83)
0.487 (82)
-0.52 (120)
-2.42 (123)
120
Rice
0-6
-1.17
2
1.095 (14)
-1.21 (124)
-0.39 (119)
-1.89 (119)
121
UT San Antonio
2-4
-1.25
1
-0.21 (102)
-0.45 (114)
-0.56 (122)
-2.70 (124)
122
Rutgers
1-5
-1.30
3
0.511 (51)
-1.30 (125)
-0.57 (123)
-2.00 (120)
123
Old Dominion
1-5
-1.31
0
-0.29 (105)
-1.10 (122)
-0.70 (125)
-2.11 (121)
124
South Alabama
1-5
-1.48
0
-0.38 (108)
-1.49 (126)
-0.64 (124)
-2.28 (122)
125
New Mexico
2-4
-1.49
8
-0.51 (119)
-1.14 (123)
-0.55 (121)
-2.73 (125)
126
UTEP
1-4
-1.91
1
-0.41 (109)
-1.09 (121)
-1.26 (127)
-3.35 (128)
127
New Mexico St
0-7
-2.02
2
0.620 (41)
-2.32 (129)
-0.77 (126)
-2.93 (126)
128
Connecticut
1-5
-2.40
0
-0.02 (88)
-1.96 (127)
-1.67 (129)
-3.53 (129)
129
Akron
0-6
-2.65
0
-0.61 (123)
-3.03 (130)
-1.59 (128)
-3.31 (127)
130
Massachusetts
1-6
-2.72
0
-0.85 (128)
-2.20 (128)
-1.90 (130)
-4.01 (130)