NCAA FBS College Football Ratings


Below are listed the current NCAA FBS college football ratings as computed by the Donchess Inference Index. More information on how these NCAA computer ratings are computed can be found on the Methodology page and we do our predictions on each game at College Football game predictions.

DII Rating– This is a NCAA football ratings system that is a combination of the Standard Rating and the Aegis Rating. The Aegis Rating is weighted more highly in the beginning of the season whereas the Standard Rating is weighted more highly at the end of the season. This is the final rating that is used to rank the teams. We also use the Vegas Rating to help create our preseason rankings, but these place a much lesser roll as the season goes on.

Standard Rating– Looks at game outcome, date and score differential only. Record is the most important factor in this rating system. Further, this rating system is heavily based on the outcomes of games in the current season and is totally based on that come season end. This rating has the least amount of bias and shows what teams are “most politically correct” to make the top 4 playoff.

Aegis Rating– Replacing the Inference Rating, this uses mostly the same the same criteria as the Standard Rating, but heavily weighs the margin of victory of the game. Data from previous seasons weighs into this algorithm (especially, early in the season). This is system is a much better predictor of future game outcomes.

Vegas Rating– This is our newest rating. The Vegas rating takes into account what the Vegas line on each game is. More recent games are weighed the most heavily, and outcome and score differential are also of factor. This rating system is also a very good predictor of future outcomes. Overall, this rating tells us which teams are the best regardless of win-loss record.

It’s also important to note that the ratings early in the season are very unstable as there is not a lot of data on the games yet.

Final: Updated 1/14/2020.

FBS College Football Rankings

Rank Team Rec Rating Chg SOS (Rank) Standard (Rank) Aegis (Rank) Vegas (Rank)
1
LSU
15-0
4.459
0
1.375 (6)
5.056 (1)
4.064 (1)
4.261 (1)
2
Ohio St
13-1
3.845
1
1.364 (7)
3.892 (3)
3.657 (2)
3.983 (2)
3
Clemson
14-1
3.772
1
0.940 (32)
3.957 (2)
3.494 (3)
3.862 (4)
4
Alabama
11-2
3.497
0
0.742 (51)
3.176 (4)
3.390 (4)
3.914 (3)
5
Georgia
12-2
2.974
0
1.175 (13)
3.137 (5)
2.785 (5)
2.999 (5)
6
Penn St
11-2
2.747
0
1.032 (25)
3.131 (6)
2.615 (7)
2.504 (8)
7
Oklahoma
12-2
2.700
3
1.209 (12)
3.071 (7)
2.481 (12)
2.551 (6)
8
Florida
11-2
2.676
1
1.060 (22)
2.978 (8)
2.654 (6)
2.405 (10)
9
Auburn
9-4
2.556
2
1.487 (1)
2.568 (12)
2.551 (9)
2.551 (6)
10
Wisconsin
10-4
2.550
2
1.394 (4)
2.659 (11)
2.572 (8)
2.425 (9)
11
Oregon
12-2
2.539
1
1.050 (24)
2.883 (9)
2.485 (11)
2.257 (12)
12
Notre Dame
11-2
2.524
1
0.897 (37)
2.791 (10)
2.492 (10)
2.295 (11)
13
Michigan
9-4
2.390
2
1.399 (3)
2.541 (15)
2.444 (13)
2.191 (13)
14
Iowa
10-3
2.165
1
1.008 (28)
2.543 (14)
2.249 (14)
1.716 (16)
15
Utah
11-3
2.164
1
0.731 (53)
2.133 (22)
2.182 (16)
2.175 (14)
16
Minnesota
11-2
2.096
2
0.824 (47)
2.488 (17)
2.205 (15)
1.610 (19)
17
Texas A&M
8-5
2.040
1
1.141 (17)
2.049 (25)
2.134 (17)
1.939 (15)
18
Baylor
11-3
2.032
1
0.851 (44)
2.527 (16)
2.118 (18)
1.469 (22)
19
Memphis
12-2
1.990
0
0.581 (62)
2.562 (13)
2.013 (21)
1.413 (23)
20
Texas
8-5
1.901
7
1.386 (5)
2.096 (23)
2.101 (19)
1.517 (20)
21
UCF
10-3
1.890
0
0.166 (86)
2.059 (24)
1.978 (22)
1.641 (18)
22
Washington
8-5
1.820
2
0.876 (41)
1.806 (28)
2.017 (20)
1.642 (17)
23
Navy
11-2
1.745
1
0.416 (72)
2.404 (18)
1.932 (23)
0.924 (31)
24
Appalachian St
13-1
1.723
2
-0.10 (108)
2.207 (20)
1.909 (24)
1.074 (26)
25
Iowa St
7-6
1.650
1
1.233 (10)
1.643 (34)
1.812 (27)
1.499 (21)
26
Cincinnati
11-3
1.640
4
0.721 (56)
2.295 (19)
1.718 (30)
0.928 (30)
27
USC
8-5
1.616
4
1.231 (11)
1.830 (27)
1.789 (29)
1.239 (24)
28
Air Force
11-2
1.614
3
0.135 (87)
2.189 (21)
1.790 (28)
0.884 (33)
29
Oklahoma St
8-5
1.599
0
1.052 (23)
1.714 (31)
1.877 (25)
1.217 (25)
30
Boise St
12-2
1.543
2
0.184 (85)
1.913 (26)
1.667 (32)
1.062 (27)
31
Kansas St
8-5
1.455
0
0.923 (33)
1.648 (33)
1.865 (26)
0.870 (34)
32
SMU
10-3
1.334
2
0.506 (68)
1.783 (29)
1.565 (35)
0.676 (41)
33
Virginia
9-5
1.291
0
0.738 (52)
1.634 (35)
1.476 (39)
0.780 (38)
34
FL Atlantic
11-3
1.278
2
-0.06 (103)
1.685 (32)
1.702 (31)
0.471 (51)
35
Louisiana
11-3
1.269
3
-0.17 (113)
1.757 (30)
1.496 (38)
0.575 (45)
36
Indiana
8-5
1.249
4
0.496 (69)
1.275 (41)
1.649 (33)
0.838 (37)
37
Tennessee
8-5
1.241
2
0.865 (43)
1.575 (36)
1.552 (37)
0.615 (43)
38
TCU
5-7
1.213
3
0.948 (31)
1.054 (49)
1.625 (34)
0.966 (29)
39
Michigan St
7-6
1.206
4
1.126 (18)
1.238 (44)
1.359 (44)
1.027 (28)
40
Arizona St
8-5
1.183
0
0.880 (40)
1.444 (38)
1.428 (40)
0.692 (40)
41
Kentucky
8-5
1.178
2
0.603 (60)
1.452 (37)
1.554 (36)
0.547 (47)
42
Mississippi St
6-7
1.108
5
1.237 (9)
1.137 (47)
1.299 (48)
0.894 (32)
43
North Carolina
7-6
1.105
1
0.621 (59)
1.242 (43)
1.418 (41)
0.669 (42)
44
South Carolina
4-8
1.068
1
1.433 (2)
1.231 (45)
1.291 (50)
0.695 (39)
45
California
8-5
1.048
2
0.874 (42)
1.270 (42)
1.393 (42)
0.499 (49)
46
Washington St
6-7
1.042
2
0.648 (58)
0.912 (61)
1.366 (43)
0.854 (36)
47
Missouri
6-6
1.037
1
0.665 (57)
0.943 (55)
1.314 (46)
0.859 (35)
48
Louisville
8-5
0.952
3
0.848 (45)
1.322 (39)
1.193 (55)
0.360 (54)
49
Virginia Tech
8-5
0.916
3
0.206 (82)
0.979 (52)
1.243 (53)
0.537 (48)
50
Tulane
7-6
0.914
5
0.429 (71)
1.031 (51)
1.295 (49)
0.430 (53)
51
Nebraska
5-7
0.862
2
0.956 (30)
0.824 (67)
1.285 (51)
0.486 (50)
52
Wake Forest
8-5
0.804
2
0.574 (63)
0.957 (53)
1.025 (61)
0.440 (52)
53
Texas Tech
4-8
0.789
5
0.920 (35)
0.781 (70)
1.313 (47)
0.289 (56)
54
San Diego St
10-3
0.773
1
-0.01 (101)
1.283 (40)
1.168 (56)
-0.10 (63)
55
Mississippi
4-8
0.755
1
1.123 (19)
0.341 (92)
1.334 (45)
0.595 (44)
56
Miami FL
6-7
0.727
0
0.453 (70)
0.708 (75)
0.910 (71)
0.569 (46)
57
Florida St
6-7
0.719
5
0.760 (50)
0.796 (68)
1.063 (59)
0.311 (55)
58
BYU
7-6
0.697
1
0.325 (75)
1.063 (48)
1.026 (60)
0.023 (60)
59
Pittsburgh
8-5
0.694
2
0.556 (64)
0.932 (57)
0.878 (72)
0.283 (57)
60
Wyoming
8-5
0.681
6
0.030 (94)
1.044 (50)
1.160 (57)
-0.13 (66)
61
Oregon St
5-8
0.670
1
0.883 (38)
0.874 (64)
1.207 (54)
-0.04 (62)
62
West Virginia
5-7
0.635
1
1.276 (8)
0.902 (62)
1.251 (52)
-0.22 (69)
63
Temple
8-5
0.578
6
0.201 (83)
0.885 (63)
0.988 (65)
-0.11 (64)
64
UCLA
4-8
0.560
1
1.169 (14)
0.744 (73)
0.992 (64)
-0.03 (61)
65
Hawaii
11-5
0.558
1
0.316 (76)
1.178 (46)
0.912 (70)
-0.38 (78)
66
Duke
5-7
0.552
4
0.800 (49)
0.600 (79)
0.865 (74)
0.203 (58)
67
Stanford
4-8
0.529
1
1.169 (15)
0.526 (83)
0.942 (66)
0.130 (59)
68
Buffalo
8-5
0.493
2
-0.32 (121)
0.931 (58)
1.025 (62)
-0.44 (86)
69
Boston College
6-7
0.489
8
0.723 (55)
0.726 (74)
0.918 (69)
-0.15 (68)
70
WKU
9-4
0.466
6
-0.13 (111)
0.924 (59)
0.878 (73)
-0.37 (77)
71
Utah St
7-6
0.457
0
0.528 (66)
0.758 (71)
0.766 (79)
-0.13 (67)
72
Louisiana Tech
10-3
0.450
2
-0.69 (129)
0.933 (56)
0.809 (78)
-0.36 (75)
73
Colorado
5-7
0.429
0
1.122 (20)
0.747 (72)
0.838 (76)
-0.27 (71)
74
Illinois
6-7
0.429
7
0.532 (65)
0.562 (81)
1.006 (63)
-0.25 (70)
75
Purdue
4-8
0.424
3
1.029 (26)
0.326 (94)
1.087 (58)
-0.12 (65)
76
Ga Southern
7-6
0.419
1
0.371 (73)
0.832 (65)
0.855 (75)
-0.40 (81)
77
Marshall
8-5
0.406
1
0.023 (96)
0.914 (60)
0.700 (83)
-0.37 (76)
78
Tulsa
4-8
0.383
1
1.020 (27)
0.600 (78)
0.928 (68)
-0.35 (74)
79
W Michigan
7-6
0.328
2
-0.09 (107)
0.694 (76)
0.715 (81)
-0.40 (80)
80
Houston
4-8
0.319
3
0.726 (54)
0.555 (82)
0.838 (77)
-0.41 (84)
81
Ohio
7-6
0.303
5
-0.29 (118)
0.595 (80)
0.754 (80)
-0.41 (85)
82
Arkansas St
8-5
0.268
0
0.092 (89)
0.830 (66)
0.698 (84)
-0.69 (91)
83
Syracuse
5-7
0.266
2
0.513 (67)
0.516 (84)
0.709 (82)
-0.40 (82)
84
Northwestern
3-9
0.252
4
0.913 (36)
0.233 (97)
0.938 (67)
-0.39 (79)
85
Arizona
4-8
0.232
0
0.882 (39)
0.369 (90)
0.629 (89)
-0.28 (72)
86
Southern Miss
7-6
0.160
2
0.085 (91)
0.470 (85)
0.600 (91)
-0.56 (87)
87
Maryland
3-9
0.119
0
0.842 (46)
0.008 (103)
0.680 (86)
-0.31 (73)
88
Miami OH
8-6
0.116
0
0.250 (81)
0.943 (54)
0.531 (94)
-1.09 (101)
89
Fresno St
4-8
0.114
0
0.302 (77)
0.113 (101)
0.654 (87)
-0.40 (83)
90
Kent
7-6
0.075
0
0.194 (84)
0.791 (69)
0.616 (90)
-1.14 (105)
91
Kansas
3-9
0.062
2
0.961 (29)
0.243 (96)
0.681 (85)
-0.71 (92)
92
C Michigan
8-6
0.021
1
-0.19 (114)
0.606 (77)
0.576 (92)
-1.08 (100)
93
Ball St
5-7
0.014
1
-0.08 (106)
0.323 (95)
0.640 (88)
-0.89 (94)
94
UAB
9-5
-0.02
0
-0.56 (127)
0.39 (87)
0.406 (100)
-0.84 (93)
95
South Florida
4-8
-0.03
2
0.584 (61)
0.380 (89)
0.494 (96)
-0.95 (95)
96
ULM
5-7
-0.08
0
0.274 (78)
0.338 (93)
0.549 (93)
-1.10 (103)
97
Army
5-8
-0.12
2
-0.36 (124)
-0.28 (112)
0.528 (95)
-0.60 (88)
98
Liberty
8-5
-0.14
0
-0.70 (130)
0.384 (88)
0.445 (98)
-1.23 (109)
99
Georgia St
7-6
-0.14
4
0.015 (98)
0.445 (86)
0.395 (101)
-1.25 (110)
100
Troy
5-7
-0.16
0
-0.27 (117)
0.165 (99)
0.426 (99)
-1.04 (97)
101
E Michigan
6-7
-0.18
0
-0.11 (109)
0.214 (98)
0.362 (102)
-1.10 (102)
102
NC State
4-8
-0.20
1
0.260 (79)
-0.17 (110)
0.213 (109)
-0.63 (90)
103
San Jose St
5-7
-0.25
1
-0.04 (102)
-0.00 (104)
0.477 (97)
-1.20 (106)
104
Nevada
7-6
-0.26
2
0.089 (90)
0.354 (91)
0.334 (104)
-1.44 (115)
105
Arkansas
2-10
-0.31
0
1.156 (16)
-0.60 (116)
0.300 (106)
-0.62 (89)
106
Florida Intl
6-7
-0.31
0
-0.39 (125)
-0.04 (106)
0.196 (110)
-1.06 (98)
107
Georgia Tech
3-9
-0.35
0
0.802 (48)
-0.18 (111)
0.139 (113)
-0.99 (96)
108
Charlotte
7-6
-0.35
1
-0.31 (120)
0.116 (100)
0.236 (108)
-1.40 (113)
109
N Illinois
5-7
-0.36
1
0.004 (100)
-0.03 (105)
0.181 (111)
-1.22 (108)
110
MTSU
4-8
-0.38
0
0.005 (99)
-0.32 (113)
0.341 (103)
-1.13 (104)
111
Colorado St
4-8
-0.39
1
-0.06 (104)
-0.16 (109)
0.314 (105)
-1.29 (111)
112
Coastal Car
5-7
-0.40
1
-0.29 (119)
-0.05 (107)
0.295 (107)
-1.43 (114)
113
Toledo
6-6
-0.43
0
-0.21 (116)
0.016 (102)
0.039 (115)
-1.33 (112)
114
Vanderbilt
3-9
-0.47
0
0.920 (34)
-0.36 (114)
0.177 (112)
-1.20 (107)
115
North Texas
4-8
-0.56
0
-0.36 (123)
-0.62 (117)
0.010 (116)
-1.08 (99)
116
UNLV
4-8
-0.70
0
0.015 (97)
-0.13 (108)
0.040 (114)
-1.99 (118)
117
East Carolina
4-8
-0.82
0
-0.13 (112)
-0.62 (118)
-0.03 (117)
-1.79 (116)
118
Rice
3-9
-0.88
0
0.026 (95)
-0.62 (119)
-0.07 (118)
-1.93 (117)
119
Texas St
3-9
-0.97
0
0.342 (74)
-0.50 (115)
-0.20 (119)
-2.17 (120)
120
Rutgers
2-10
-1.04
0
1.075 (21)
-0.73 (121)
-0.22 (120)
-2.13 (119)
121
South Alabama
2-10
-1.11
0
0.109 (88)
-0.68 (120)
-0.22 (121)
-2.39 (122)
122
New Mexico
2-10
-1.30
0
0.252 (80)
-1.04 (124)
-0.45 (122)
-2.38 (121)
123
UT San Antonio
4-8
-1.37
0
-0.20 (115)
-0.97 (123)
-0.47 (123)
-2.62 (124)
124
Bowling Green
3-9
-1.53
0
-0.08 (105)
-0.76 (122)
-0.75 (126)
-3.03 (126)
125
New Mexico St
2-10
-1.61
0
0.046 (92)
-1.27 (125)
-0.71 (124)
-2.81 (125)
126
Old Dominion
1-11
-1.70
0
-0.13 (110)
-1.82 (127)
-0.72 (125)
-2.54 (123)
127
Connecticut
2-10
-1.90
0
0.045 (93)
-1.45 (126)
-1.05 (127)
-3.17 (127)
128
UTEP
1-11
-2.36
0
-0.58 (128)
-2.21 (128)
-1.28 (128)
-3.55 (128)
129
Akron
0-12
-2.64
0
-0.32 (122)
-2.81 (130)
-1.48 (129)
-3.60 (129)
130
Massachusetts
1-11
-3.08
0
-0.53 (126)
-2.44 (129)
-2.08 (130)
-4.68 (130)