NCAA FBS College Football Ratings


Below are listed the current NCAA FBS college football ratings as computed by the Donchess Inference Index. More information on how these NCAA computer ratings are computed can be found on the Methodology page and we do our predictions on each game at College Football game predictions.

DII Rating– This is a NCAA football ratings system that is a combination of the Standard Rating and the Aegis Rating. The Aegis Rating is weighted more highly in the beginning of the season whereas the Standard Rating is weighted more highly at the end of the season. This is the final rating that is used to rank the teams. We also use the Vegas Rating to help create our preseason rankings, but these place a much lesser roll as the season goes on.

Standard Rating– Looks at game outcome, date and score differential only. Record is the most important factor in this rating system. Further, this rating system is heavily based on the outcomes of games in the current season and is totally based on that come season end. This rating has the least amount of bias and shows what teams are “most politically correct” to make the top 4 playoff.

Aegis Rating– Replacing the Inference Rating, this uses mostly the same the same criteria as the Standard Rating, but heavily weighs the margin of victory of the game. Data from previous seasons weighs into this algorithm (especially, early in the season). This is system is a much better predictor of future game outcomes.

Vegas Rating– This is our newest rating. The Vegas rating takes into account what the Vegas line on each game is. More recent games are weighed the most heavily, and outcome and score differential are also of factor. This rating system is also a very good predictor of future outcomes. Overall, this rating tells us which teams are the best regardless of win-loss record.

It’s also important to note that the ratings early in the season are very unstable as there is not a lot of data on the games yet.

Updated 1/9/2018.

FBS College Football Rankings

Rank Team Rec Rating Chg SOS (Rank) Standard (Rank) Aegis (Rank) Vegas (Rank)
1
Alabama
13-1
3.394
4
1.114 (17)
3.435 (2)
3.133 (1)
3.706 (1)
2
Georgia
13-2
3.137
0
1.424 (3)
3.132 (3)
3.085 (2)
3.246 (3)
3
UCF
13-0
3.119
0
0.591 (68)
3.674 (1)
2.626 (9)
2.039 (13)
4
Ohio St
12-2
2.991
2
1.314 (6)
3.003 (4)
2.886 (6)
3.135 (5)
5
Wisconsin
13-1
2.932
4
1.026 (26)
3.001 (5)
2.852 (7)
2.834 (8)
6
Penn St
11-2
2.889
1
1.170 (13)
2.760 (7)
2.963 (3)
3.211 (4)
7
Clemson
12-2
2.886
-6
1.242 (11)
2.743 (8)
2.923 (4)
3.323 (2)
8
Oklahoma
12-2
2.861
-4
1.062 (21)
2.777 (6)
2.917 (5)
3.059 (6)
9
Auburn
10-4
2.710
-1
1.367 (5)
2.615 (9)
2.744 (8)
2.987 (7)
10
Notre Dame
10-3
2.462
0
1.451 (2)
2.486 (10)
2.371 (10)
2.537 (9)
11
TCU
11-3
2.275
3
0.830 (51)
2.320 (12)
2.266 (12)
2.131 (12)
12
Michigan St
10-3
2.180
5
1.286 (8)
2.434 (11)
2.028 (16)
1.557 (23)
13
Oklahoma St
10-3
2.143
6
0.861 (48)
1.984 (16)
2.303 (11)
2.421 (11)
14
Miami FL
10-3
2.081
-2
1.156 (15)
2.094 (15)
2.089 (15)
2.021 (14)
15
USC
11-3
2.042
-4
1.029 (25)
2.152 (14)
1.853 (26)
1.988 (15)
16
Washington
10-3
1.995
-3
0.680 (63)
1.713 (23)
2.257 (13)
2.521 (10)
17
Northwestern
10-3
1.990
3
0.954 (37)
2.204 (13)
1.956 (19)
1.299 (27)
18
NC State
9-4
1.887
3
1.152 (16)
1.900 (17)
2.023 (17)
1.600 (22)
19
Iowa
8-5
1.875
7
1.380 (4)
1.859 (18)
2.110 (14)
1.517 (25)
20
LSU
9-4
1.790
4
0.940 (40)
1.733 (21)
1.924 (22)
1.753 (19)
21
Mississippi St
9-4
1.782
7
1.011 (30)
1.730 (22)
1.926 (21)
1.710 (21)
22
Virginia Tech
9-4
1.759
-6
0.942 (39)
1.637 (27)
1.954 (20)
1.846 (16)
23
Stanford
9-5
1.750
-5
1.019 (29)
1.679 (25)
1.899 (23)
1.739 (20)
24
Michigan
8-5
1.720
-2
1.255 (10)
1.642 (26)
1.856 (25)
1.756 (18)
25
Iowa St
8-5
1.678
4
1.053 (22)
1.692 (24)
1.960 (18)
1.135 (33)
26
Memphis
10-3
1.659
-11
0.589 (69)
1.747 (19)
1.754 (28)
1.182 (31)
27
Louisville
8-5
1.594
-4
0.812 (53)
1.412 (33)
1.857 (24)
1.772 (17)
28
South Carolina
9-4
1.530
6
1.001 (33)
1.733 (20)
1.553 (36)
0.778 (41)
29
South Florida
10-2
1.508
3
0.163 (85)
1.517 (28)
1.649 (33)
1.232 (29)
30
Wake Forest
8-5
1.502
1
1.071 (19)
1.473 (31)
1.740 (29)
1.188 (30)
31
Florida St
7-6
1.488
-1
1.004 (32)
1.367 (37)
1.698 (31)
1.544 (24)
32
Kansas St
8-5
1.442
3
0.706 (61)
1.452 (32)
1.694 (32)
0.965 (35)
33
Texas
7-6
1.414
4
0.955 (36)
1.245 (38)
1.778 (27)
1.369 (26)
34
Washington St
9-4
1.401
-9
0.698 (62)
1.508 (30)
1.337 (45)
1.140 (32)
35
Boston College
7-6
1.387
-8
1.294 (7)
1.371 (36)
1.739 (30)
0.827 (39)
36
Boise St
11-3
1.332
4
0.308 (79)
1.398 (34)
1.428 (40)
0.934 (36)
37
Purdue
7-6
1.240
5
1.070 (20)
1.190 (40)
1.591 (35)
0.798 (40)
38
FL Atlantic
11-3
1.233
8
0.091 (91)
1.378 (35)
1.518 (38)
0.228 (59)
39
Georgia Tech
5-6
1.222
-3
1.236 (12)
1.004 (49)
1.638 (34)
1.259 (28)
40
Duke
7-6
1.170
10
0.805 (54)
1.120 (42)
1.545 (37)
0.692 (46)
41
Texas A&M
7-6
1.151
2
0.895 (45)
1.171 (41)
1.340 (44)
0.747 (43)
42
Army
10-3
1.114
21
0.072 (92)
1.51 (29)
1.061 (56)
-0.17 (73)
43
West Virginia
7-6
1.101
-5
0.742 (57)
1.034 (47)
1.377 (42)
0.854 (38)
44
Utah
7-6
1.063
5
0.571 (71)
0.862 (57)
1.492 (39)
1.018 (34)
45
Missouri
7-6
1.027
3
0.713 (60)
0.943 (51)
1.371 (43)
0.720 (44)
46
Texas Tech
6-7
1.026
5
1.024 (27)
0.978 (50)
1.311 (46)
0.695 (45)
47
Navy
7-6
1.026
5
0.927 (41)
1.057 (46)
1.241 (49)
0.541 (48)
48
Oregon
7-6
0.977
-9
0.719 (59)
0.901 (55)
1.253 (48)
0.763 (42)
49
Troy
11-2
0.969
17
-0.35 (122)
1.195 (39)
1.022 (64)
0.084 (64)
50
Fresno St
10-4
0.968
10
0.139 (87)
1.065 (45)
1.208 (50)
0.211 (60)
51
Toledo
11-3
0.964
-18
0.014 (96)
1.090 (43)
1.039 (59)
0.389 (53)
52
San Diego St
10-3
0.962
-8
-0.01 (98)
1.073 (44)
1.032 (62)
0.455 (51)
53
Arizona St
7-6
0.944
-12
0.871 (46)
1.006 (48)
1.153 (52)
0.364 (55)
54
Indiana
5-7
0.935
1
1.036 (24)
0.767 (61)
1.286 (47)
0.908 (37)
55
Pittsburgh
5-7
0.919
-1
1.005 (31)
0.804 (60)
1.425 (41)
0.434 (52)
56
Houston
7-5
0.908
-9
0.467 (74)
0.859 (58)
1.172 (51)
0.621 (47)
57
Mississippi
6-6
0.890
2
0.784 (56)
0.919 (53)
1.143 (53)
0.344 (56)
58
Kentucky
7-6
0.869
0
0.813 (52)
0.942 (52)
1.028 (63)
0.338 (57)
59
UCLA
6-7
0.827
-14
1.040 (23)
0.834 (59)
0.986 (65)
0.525 (49)
60
Arizona
7-6
0.772
-7
0.411 (76)
0.687 (63)
1.112 (54)
0.476 (50)
61
Maryland
4-8
0.763
3
1.623 (1)
0.898 (56)
0.944 (68)
-0.02 (68)
62
Virginia
6-7
0.672
-6
0.833 (49)
0.736 (62)
0.860 (69)
0.123 (62)
63
Florida
4-7
0.658
4
1.105 (18)
0.593 (66)
0.945 (67)
0.383 (54)
64
Syracuse
4-8
0.650
1
1.166 (14)
0.587 (68)
1.035 (61)
0.196 (61)
65
Minnesota
5-7
0.629
4
0.903 (43)
0.526 (73)
1.055 (58)
0.240 (58)
66
Appalachian St
9-4
0.624
18
-0.28 (119)
0.570 (70)
1.059 (57)
0.055 (65)
67
Temple
7-6
0.601
6
0.554 (72)
0.677 (64)
0.963 (66)
-0.29 (77)
68
California
5-7
0.596
-7
0.832 (50)
0.547 (71)
1.073 (55)
-0.06 (69)
69
Ohio
9-4
0.593
-1
-0.31 (121)
0.546 (72)
1.039 (60)
-0.02 (67)
70
Nebraska
4-8
0.586
0
1.255 (9)
0.584 (69)
0.860 (70)
0.111 (63)
71
N Illinois
8-5
0.510
-9
0.009 (97)
0.622 (65)
0.702 (72)
-0.21 (74)
72
SMU
7-6
0.503
-15
0.469 (73)
0.588 (67)
0.692 (73)
-0.12 (71)
73
North Texas
9-5
0.450
-1
-0.07 (102)
0.910 (54)
0.361 (90)
-1.00 (96)
74
Vanderbilt
5-7
0.442
1
0.721 (58)
0.493 (74)
0.679 (74)
-0.15 (72)
75
Arkansas
4-8
0.413
3
0.994 (34)
0.458 (75)
0.612 (79)
-0.09 (70)
76
North Carolina
3-9
0.321
-2
0.976 (35)
0.257 (83)
0.828 (71)
-0.34 (78)
77
Tulane
5-7
0.313
0
0.624 (65)
0.386 (78)
0.648 (77)
-0.53 (80)
78
Wyoming
8-5
0.247
11
-0.28 (118)
0.292 (80)
0.673 (75)
-0.65 (84)
79
Rutgers
4-8
0.224
2
0.903 (44)
0.392 (77)
0.496 (85)
-0.83 (89)
80
Marshall
8-5
0.221
3
-0.11 (106)
0.262 (82)
0.597 (80)
-0.57 (82)
81
Colorado
5-7
0.208
-5
0.328 (78)
0.053 (90)
0.629 (78)
0.011 (66)
82
C Michigan
8-5
0.202
-11
-0.06 (101)
0.399 (76)
0.449 (89)
-0.91 (91)
83
Louisiana Tech
7-6
0.187
10
-0.24 (114)
0.194 (85)
0.668 (76)
-0.68 (85)
84
Tennessee
4-8
0.176
-2
0.803 (55)
0.149 (87)
0.481 (87)
-0.26 (76)
85
W Michigan
6-6
0.148
-6
0.034 (94)
0.150 (86)
0.535 (83)
-0.53 (81)
86
Southern Miss
8-5
0.078
2
-0.43 (126)
0.275 (81)
0.279 (94)
-0.96 (95)
87
Buffalo
6-6
0.070
-2
-0.06 (100)
0.113 (89)
0.559 (82)
-0.93 (92)
88
MTSU
7-6
0.066
4
-0.22 (112)
0.124 (88)
0.466 (88)
-0.83 (88)
89
Arkansas St
7-5
0.062
-2
-0.60 (128)
-0.03 (94)
0.561 (81)
-0.48 (79)
90
Akron
7-7
0.034
-10
0.122 (88)
0.355 (79)
0.191 (97)
-1.36 (101)
91
E Michigan
5-7
0.013
-5
0.112 (89)
-0.02 (93)
0.498 (84)
-0.71 (86)
92
Colorado St
7-6
-0.05
-2
-0.27 (117)
-0.27 (101)
0.496 (86)
-0.22 (75)
93
Florida Intl
8-5
-0.08
-2
-0.17 (108)
0.233 (84)
0.183 (98)
-1.65 (111)
94
Air Force
5-7
-0.14
3
-0.03 (99)
-0.14 (97)
0.220 (96)
-0.81 (87)
95
Cincinnati
4-8
-0.21
1
0.576 (70)
0.041 (91)
-0.05 (109)
-1.36 (102)
96
Miami OH
5-7
-0.24
-2
-0.10 (104)
-0.28 (102)
0.242 (95)
-0.93 (94)
97
Utah St
6-7
-0.26
-2
-0.08 (103)
-0.37 (103)
0.348 (93)
-0.93 (93)
98
New Mexico St
7-6
-0.26
8
-0.36 (123)
-0.13 (96)
0.079 (102)
-1.30 (100)
99
UAB
8-5
-0.27
-1
-0.73 (130)
-0.00 (92)
0.062 (103)
-1.78 (115)
100
East Carolina
3-9
-0.29
-1
0.868 (47)
-0.06 (95)
0.045 (104)
-1.69 (112)
101
UT San Antonio
6-5
-0.33
0
-0.70 (129)
-0.37 (104)
0.130 (100)
-1.00 (97)
102
Connecticut
3-9
-0.36
-2
0.610 (67)
-0.20 (98)
0.010 (105)
-1.56 (109)
103
Georgia St
7-5
-0.40
9
-0.37 (124)
-0.21 (99)
-0.10 (111)
-1.58 (110)
104
BYU
4-9
-0.45
0
0.171 (82)
-0.56 (109)
0.089 (101)
-1.00 (98)
105
UNLV
5-7
-0.45
0
-0.21 (111)
-0.45 (106)
-0.01 (107)
-1.24 (99)
106
Tulsa
2-10
-0.46
-4
0.636 (64)
-0.74 (115)
0.349 (92)
-0.90 (90)
107
Massachusetts
4-8
-0.49
1
-0.11 (105)
-0.51 (107)
0.154 (99)
-1.54 (108)
108
WKU
6-7
-0.53
-5
-0.54 (127)
-0.43 (105)
-0.17 (114)
-1.52 (106)
109
Old Dominion
5-7
-0.57
-2
-0.12 (107)
-0.23 (100)
-0.33 (118)
-2.20 (122)
110
ULM
4-8
-0.64
5
0.204 (81)
-0.58 (111)
-0.13 (112)
-1.72 (113)
111
Idaho
4-8
-0.64
3
-0.18 (109)
-0.64 (113)
-0.00 (106)
-1.74 (114)
112
Illinois
2-10
-0.66
-2
1.024 (28)
-0.69 (114)
-0.09 (110)
-1.51 (105)
113
South Alabama
4-8
-0.67
3
-0.24 (115)
-0.55 (108)
-0.25 (115)
-1.83 (116)
114
Coastal Car
3-9
-0.70
3
-0.25 (116)
-1.00 (119)
-0.31 (117)
-2.19 (121)
115
Bowling Green
2-10
-0.70
-6
0.429 (75)
-0.64 (112)
-0.15 (113)
-1.89 (117)
116
Baylor
1-11
-0.71
-5
0.945 (38)
-1.26 (123)
0.350 (91)
-0.62 (83)
117
ULL
5-7
-0.75
2
-0.28 (120)
-0.57 (110)
-0.35 (119)
-2.07 (119)
118
Nevada
3-9
-0.76
-5
0.170 (83)
-0.93 (116)
-0.04 (108)
-1.41 (103)
119
New Mexico
3-9
-0.87
-1
0.020 (95)
-1.00 (118)
-0.27 (116)
-1.48 (104)
120
Ga Southern
2-10
-1.06
3
0.167 (84)
-1.00 (117)
-0.47 (121)
-2.33 (123)
121
Hawaii
3-9
-1.07
-1
-0.20 (110)
-1.07 (121)
-0.54 (123)
-2.00 (118)
122
Kent
2-10
-1.31
-1
0.346 (77)
-1.04 (120)
-0.92 (125)
-2.96 (126)
123
Oregon St
1-11
-1.32
-1
0.617 (66)
-1.68 (127)
-0.47 (122)
-1.52 (107)
124
Kansas
1-11
-1.42
1
0.922 (42)
-1.73 (128)
-0.42 (120)
-2.07 (120)
125
Charlotte
1-11
-1.43
1
0.102 (90)
-1.26 (122)
-0.85 (124)
-3.05 (127)
126
Ball St
2-10
-1.48
-2
-0.22 (113)
-1.33 (125)
-1.05 (129)
-2.77 (124)
127
San Jose St
2-11
-1.50
0
0.062 (93)
-1.30 (124)
-1.00 (128)
-3.11 (129)
128
Texas St
2-10
-1.59
1
-0.37 (125)
-1.46 (126)
-0.96 (127)
-3.10 (128)
129
Rice
1-11
-1.70
-1
0.162 (86)
-1.74 (129)
-0.93 (126)
-2.90 (125)
130
UTEP
0-12
-2.49
0
0.251 (80)
-2.73 (130)
-1.38 (130)
-3.57 (130)

Top Conferences in College Football – Top to Bottom

The “top to bottom” approach gives the simple average of the rating for every team in the conference. In my opinion, this is the best and most unbiased way to rank conferences.

Rank Conference Rating
1
BIG10
1.449
2
SEC
1.426
3
ACC
1.396
4
BIG12
1.180
5
INDEP
1.042
6
PAC12
0.938
7
AAC
0.692
8
CUSA
-0.08
9
MAC
-0.14
10
MWC
-0.14
11
SUNBELT
-0.46