Virginia at Louisville

Updated

Virginia Cavaliers

(3-9)
Rank89
P/G23.2
PA/G33.8
4.8%95.2%
WinLouisville Win
12.3Projected Points 36.8
24Final Score 31

Louisville Cardinals

(10-4)
Rank19
P/G30.7
PA/G21.3
Rank89
P/G23.2
PA/G33.8
Rank19
P/G30.7
PA/G21.3

Last 5 Games

Virginia Cavaliers
Money Line
L 45-17 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets-110
L 26-29 at Miami Hurricanes+800
W 31-27 at North Carolina Tar Heels+1400
W 13-27 vs William & Mary Tribe-310
L 24-27 at Boston College Eagles+180
Louisville Cardinals
Money Line
W 3-34 vs Virginia Tech Hokies-350
W 0-23 vs Duke Blue Devils-190
L 21-38 at Pittsburgh Panthers-300
W 20-33 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish+210
W 13-10 at NC State Wolfpack-160

Injuries

Virginia Cavaliers

Status
  • TESackett Wood Jr.Questionable
  • WRSuderian HarrisonQuestionable
  • QBTony MuskettOut

Louisville Cardinals

Status
  • RBJawhar JordanProbable
  • WRJamari ThrashProbable
  • OLRenato BrownOut for Season
  • OLWillie TylerQuestionable
  • OLBryan HudsonQuestionable
  • CBJarvis BrownleeOut
N 7 mph
Cardinal Stadium, Louisville, KY
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)58°57°55°54°
Humidity50%50%51%51%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindN 7 mphN 6 mphNNE 6 mphNNE 6 mph

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Virginia+725+814+750+790+825+790+825+826.4
Louisville-1300-1330-1400-1300-1200-1300-1200-826.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Virginia+800+800+800+800+775+750+800+826.4
Louisville-1400-1400-1210-1400-1300-1400-1210-826.4

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Virginia+19½-110+19½-108+20-110+20-111+20-110+20-111+20-110+20-101
Louisville-19½-110-19½-108-20-110-20-109-20-110-20-109-19½-108-20+101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Virginia+21-110+20½-110+20-110+20-110+20½-110+20-110+20½-110+20-101
Louisville-21-110-20½-110-20-110-20-110-20½-110-20-110-20-110-20+101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Virginia: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Louisville: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Virginia: 0.0%
Louisville: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Virginia: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Virginia: 0.0%
Louisville: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Virginia Spread moved from +20½-108 to +19½-108
Louisville Spread moved from -20-110 to -21-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Virginia: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Louisville: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Virginia: 0.0%
Louisville: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Virginia: 40.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Virginia: 0.0%
Louisville: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Virginia Spread moved from +21-110 to +20½-110
Louisville Spread moved from -20½-110 to -21-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo50½-110o50-108o49½-110o50-110o50-110o50-110o49½-110o50+100
Underu50½-110u50-108u49½-110u50-110u50-110u50-110u50-108u50+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo56½-110o50-110o50-110o50-110o50½-110o49½-110o49½-110o50+100
Underu56½-110u50-110u50-110u50-110u50½-110u49½-110u50½-110u50+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o49½-110 to o50-110
The Under moved from u50-110 to u50-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o50½-110 to o52-110
The Under moved from u50½-110 to u49½-110
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