Virginia at Louisville

Updated
Rank32
P/G30.8
PA/G19.6
25.1%74.9%
Virginia WinLouisville Win
24.8Projected Points 32.3
30Final Score 27
Rank31
P/G29.9
PA/G21.2
Rank32
P/G30.8
PA/G19.6
Rank31
P/G29.9
PA/G21.2

Last 5 Games

Virginia Cavaliers
Money Line
W 38-46 vs Florida State Seminoles+240
W 20-48 vs Stanford Cardinal-670
W 16-55 vs William & Mary Tribe
L 31-35 at NC State Wolfpack+130
W 7-48 vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers-460
Louisville Cardinals
Money Line
W 34-27 at Pittsburgh Panthers-150
W 17-40 vs Bowling Green Falcons-3400
W 14-28 vs James Madison Dukes-600
W 17-51 vs Eastern Kentucky Colonels
W 35-34 vs Washington Huskies+110

Injuries

Virginia Cavaliers

Status
  • WRTriston WardOut
  • WRTrevor LaddOut
  • DTTyler SimmonsOut
  • CBJam JacksonOut
  • OLBrady WilsonOut
  • OLMonroe MillsOut
  • OLWallace UnambaOut
  • DBJa'Maric MorrisOut
  • CBDre WalkerOut
  • WRAndre Greene Jr.Out
  • RBNoah VaughnOut
  • OLMakilan ThomasOut
  • SArmstrong JonesOut
  • OLDavid Wohlabaugh Jr.Out
  • RBDavis Lane Jr.Out

Louisville Cardinals

Status
  • LBStanquan ClarkOut
  • RBIsaac BrownProbable
  • OLTyler FolmarOut
  • DBJustin AguQuestionable
  • DBRodney JohnsonOut
  • QBTravis EganOut
  • RBKeyjuan BrownQuestionable
  • RBJamarice WilderOut
  • RBShammai GatesOut
WSW 4 mph
Cardinal Stadium, Louisville, KY
O/U Effect
Very Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)82°83°82°81°
Humidity53%51%51%54%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindWSW 4 mphSW 3 mphSSW 3 mphS 4 mph

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Virginia+185+200+195+189+195+189+200+200.1
Louisville-225-240-235-225-235-225-225-200.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Virginia+225+210+190+200+190+200+210+200.1
Louisville-265-250-220-250-230-240-220-200.1

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Virginia+7-115+6½-108+6½-105+6-105+6½-110+6-105+6½-105+6+104
Louisville-7-105-6½-108-6½-115-6-115-6½-110-6-115-6½-108-6-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Virginia+7-110+6½-110+6½-110+7-110+7-120+6½-109+7-110+6+104
Louisville-7-110-6½-110-6½-110-7-110-7+100-6½-109-6½-109-6-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Virginia: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Louisville: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Virginia: 0.0%
Louisville: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Virginia: 0.0%
Louisville: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Virginia Spread moved from +6+101 to +6-105
Louisville Spread moved from -7½-103 to -7½-108

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Virginia: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Louisville: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Virginia: 0.0%
Louisville: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Virginia: 70.0%
Louisville: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Virginia Spread moved from +7-110 to +7-120
Louisville Spread moved from -7-110 to -7½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo61-110o60½-108o60-110o60-110o60-110o60-110o60-110o60+100
Underu61-110u60½-108u60-110u60-110u60-110u60-110u60-105u60+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo62½-110o60½-110o60-110o60-110o61-110o60-110o60-110o60+100
Underu62½-110u60½-110u60-110u60-110u61-110u60-110u61-110u60+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o59½-110 to o60-110
The Under moved from u60-105 to u60-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o60½-110 to o61-110
The Under moved from u60½-110 to u60-110