Heerenveen at Telstar

Updated

Heerenveen

36.2%28.7%35.1%
Heerenveen WinDrawTelstar Win
1.14Projected Goals 1.12
3Final Score 2

Telstar

Last 5 Games

Heerenveen
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Excelsior
T 2-2 at Utrecht
W 2-3 vs NEC Nijmegen
L 0-1 at Feyenoord
T 2-2 vs Go Ahead Eagles
Telstar
Money Line
L 1-2 at AZ Alkmaar
W 2-4 vs Go Ahead Eagles
L 0-2 at Groningen
L 3-1 vs Fortuna Sittard
W 2-0 at PSV Eindhoven

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heerenveen+146+125+122+120+120+120+125+131.6
Telstar+175+206+200+205+205+205+206+221.1
Draw+272+272+255+270+270+270+272+289.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heerenveen-----+131.6
Telstar-----+221.1
Draw-----+289.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Telstar: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heerenveen: 0.0%
Telstar: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heerenveen: 0.0%
Telstar: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heerenveen ML moved from +131 to +120
Telstar ML moved from +200 to +193

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+118o3-107o3-112o3-112o3-112o3-112o3-107o3-102
Underu3-138u3-109u3-108u3-108u3-108u3-108u3-108u3+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3-102
Under-----u3+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.8%
 
No54.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.44%
Exactly 226.65%
Exactly 411.34%
Exactly 61.93%
Exactly 80.18%
 
Exactly 123.59%
Exactly 320.07%
Exactly 55.13%
Exactly 70.62%
Exact Goals Scored - Heerenveen
Exactly 031.96%
Exactly 136.46%
Exactly 220.79%
Exactly 37.91%
Exactly 42.25%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - Telstar
Exactly 032.66%
Exactly 136.55%
Exactly 220.45%
Exactly 37.63%
Exactly 42.13%
Exactly 50.48%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.13%
Exactly 219.22%
Exactly 41.75%
 
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 36.70%
Exactly 50.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heerenveen
Exactly 058.97%
Exactly 131.14%
Exactly 28.22%
Exactly 31.45%
Exactly 40.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Telstar
Exactly 059.56%
Exactly 130.86%
Exactly 28.00%
Exactly 31.38%
Exactly 40.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Heerenveen
Wins by 2+ goals14.78%
Wins by 3+ goals4.60%
Wins by 4+ goals1.09%
Wins by 5+ goals0.17%
Telstar
Wins by 2+ goals14.12%
Wins by 3+ goals4.32%
Wins by 4+ goals1.01%
Wins by 5+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Heerenveen
Telstar
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Heerenveen
Wins by 1 goal21.30%
Wins by 2 goals10.18%
Wins by 3 goals3.51%
Wins by 4 goals0.92%
Wins by 5 goals0.17%
Telstar
Wins by 1 goal20.90%
Wins by 2 goals9.80%
Wins by 3 goals3.32%
Wins by 4 goals0.86%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.56%10.44%
1.565.98%34.02%
2.539.33%60.67%
3.519.25%80.75%
4.57.91%92.09%
5.52.79%97.21%

Total Goals Heerenveen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.04%31.96%
1.531.58%68.42%
2.510.79%89.21%
3.52.88%97.12%

Total Goals Telstar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.34%32.66%
1.530.79%69.21%
2.510.35%89.65%
3.52.72%97.28%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.87%35.13%
1.528.13%71.87%
2.58.90%91.10%
3.52.20%97.80%

Score Props

Correct Score

Heerenveen
Telstar
Score012345
0
10.44%
11.68%
6.54%
2.44%
0.68%
0.15%
1
11.91%
13.32%
7.46%
2.78%
0.78%
0.17%
2
6.79%
7.60%
4.25%
1.59%
0.44%
0.10%
3
2.58%
2.89%
1.62%
0.60%
0.17%
0.04%
4
0.74%
0.82%
0.46%
0.17%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.17%
0.19%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Heerenveen
1-011.91%
2-06.79%
2-17.60%
3-02.58%
3-12.89%
3-21.62%
4-00.74%
4-10.82%
4-20.46%
4-30.17%
5-00.17%
5-10.19%
5-20.11%
Draw
0-010.44%
1-113.32%
2-24.25%
3-30.60%
Telstar
0-111.68%
0-26.54%
1-27.46%
0-32.44%
1-32.78%
2-31.59%
0-40.68%
1-40.78%
2-40.44%
3-40.17%
0-50.15%
1-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Heerenveen
Telstar
Score01234
0
35.13%
18.20%
4.71%
0.81%
0.11%
1
18.55%
9.61%
2.49%
0.43%
0.06%
2
4.90%
2.54%
0.66%
0.11%
0.01%
3
0.86%
0.45%
0.12%
0.02%
0.00%
4
0.11%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Heerenveen
1-018.55%
2-04.90%
2-12.54%
3-00.86%
3-10.45%
3-20.12%
4-00.11%
Draw
0-035.13%
1-19.61%
2-20.66%
Telstar
0-118.20%
0-24.71%
1-22.49%
0-30.81%
1-30.43%
2-30.11%
0-40.11%