Telstar at AZ Alkmaar

Updated

Telstar

8.9%15.8%75.3%
WinDrawAZ Alkmaar Win
0.70Projected Goals 2.41
1Final Score 2

AZ Alkmaar

Last 5 Games

Telstar
Money Line
W 2-4 vs Go Ahead Eagles
L 0-2 at Groningen
L 3-1 vs Fortuna Sittard
W 2-0 at PSV Eindhoven
T 2-2 vs Volendam
AZ Alkmaar
Money Line
L 1-2 at NEC Nijmegen
T 2-2 vs Zwolle
T 3-3 vs Feyenoord
W 2-1 at Heracles Almelo
W 1-0 at NAC Breda

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Telstar+750+696+625+650+666+650+696+712.2
AZ Alkmaar-375-271-290-312-288-312-271-232.6
Draw+525+443+440+420+434+420+443+463.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Telstar-----+712.2
AZ Alkmaar------232.6
Draw-----+463.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Telstar: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Telstar: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Telstar: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Telstar ML moved from +680 to +666
AZ Alkmaar ML moved from -290 to -300

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-112o3-124o3¼+105o3-125o3¼+100o3-125o3-124o3-114
Underu3¼-108u3+106u3¼-125u3+105u3¼-122u3+105u3¼-122u3+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3-114
Under-----u3+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3¼-112 to o3½-105
The Under moved from u3¼-114 to u3-103

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.6%
 
No54.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.48%
Exactly 221.61%
Exactly 417.36%
Exactly 65.58%
Exactly 80.96%
Exactly 100.10%
 
Exactly 113.92%
Exactly 322.36%
Exactly 510.78%
Exactly 72.48%
Exactly 90.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Telstar
Exactly 049.84%
Exactly 134.71%
Exactly 212.08%
Exactly 32.80%
Exactly 40.49%
Exact Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 08.99%
Exactly 121.66%
Exactly 226.09%
Exactly 320.95%
Exactly 412.62%
Exactly 56.08%
Exactly 62.44%
Exactly 70.84%
Exactly 80.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.75%
Exactly 224.54%
Exactly 44.23%
Exactly 60.29%
 
Exactly 134.14%
Exactly 311.76%
Exactly 51.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Telstar
Exactly 072.44%
Exactly 123.35%
Exactly 23.76%
Exactly 30.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 032.78%
Exactly 136.56%
Exactly 220.39%
Exactly 37.58%
Exactly 42.11%
Exactly 50.47%

Alternate Props

Spread

Telstar
Wins by 2+ goals2.22%
Wins by 3+ goals0.40%
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 2+ goals52.48%
Wins by 3+ goals30.50%
Wins by 4+ goals14.87%
Wins by 5+ goals6.16%
Wins by 6+ goals2.17%
Wins by 7+ goals0.63%
Wins by 8+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Telstar
AZ Alkmaar
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Telstar
Wins by 1 goal6.57%
Wins by 2 goals1.82%
Wins by 3 goals0.36%
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 1 goal22.76%
Wins by 2 goals21.98%
Wins by 3 goals15.63%
Wins by 4 goals8.72%
Wins by 5 goals3.98%
Wins by 6 goals1.54%
Wins by 7 goals0.51%
Wins by 8 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.52%4.48%
1.581.60%18.40%
2.560.00%40.00%
3.537.63%62.37%
4.520.27%79.73%
5.59.49%90.51%
6.53.91%96.09%
7.51.43%98.57%

Total Goals Telstar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.550.16%49.84%
1.515.45%84.55%
2.53.37%96.63%

Total Goals AZ Alkmaar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.01%8.99%
1.569.35%30.65%
2.543.26%56.74%
3.522.31%77.69%
4.59.70%90.30%
5.53.62%96.38%
6.51.18%98.82%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.25%23.75%
1.542.11%57.89%
2.517.57%82.43%
3.55.81%94.19%
4.51.58%98.42%

Score Props

Correct Score

Telstar
AZ Alkmaar
Score012345
0
4.48%
10.80%
13.00%
10.44%
6.29%
3.03%
1
3.12%
7.52%
9.05%
7.27%
4.38%
2.11%
2
1.09%
2.62%
3.15%
2.53%
1.52%
0.73%
3
0.25%
0.61%
0.73%
0.59%
0.35%
0.17%
Telstar
1-03.12%
2-01.09%
2-12.62%
3-00.25%
3-10.61%
3-20.73%
Draw
0-04.48%
1-17.52%
2-23.15%
3-30.59%
AZ Alkmaar
0-110.80%
0-213.00%
1-29.05%
0-310.44%
1-37.27%
2-32.53%
0-46.29%
1-44.38%
2-41.52%
3-40.35%
0-53.03%
1-52.11%
2-50.73%
3-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Telstar
AZ Alkmaar
Score012345
0
23.75%
26.49%
14.77%
5.49%
1.53%
0.34%
1
7.66%
8.54%
4.76%
1.77%
0.49%
0.11%
2
1.23%
1.38%
0.77%
0.29%
0.08%
0.02%
3
0.13%
0.15%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Telstar
1-07.66%
2-01.23%
2-11.38%
3-00.13%
3-10.15%
Draw
0-023.75%
1-18.54%
2-20.77%
AZ Alkmaar
0-126.49%
0-214.77%
1-24.76%
0-35.49%
1-31.77%
2-30.29%
0-41.53%
1-40.49%
0-50.34%
1-50.11%