Utrecht at Ajax

Updated

Utrecht

12.7%17.7%69.6%
WinDrawAjax Win
0.89Projected Goals 2.33
0Final Score 2

Ajax

Last 5 Games

Utrecht
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Heracles Almelo-265
W 1-0 at Twente+395
W 0-4 vs Fortuna Sittard-145
W 2-4 vs Volendam-350
T 1-1 at Excelsior+120
Ajax
Money Line
L 0-2 at AZ Alkmaar+290
T 2-2 vs NEC Nijmegen-205
L 2-3 at Heerenveen-120
T 1-1 vs PSV Eindhoven+225
W 4-2 at Heracles Almelo-180

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Utrecht+331+250+240+258+258+258+258+275.8
Ajax-137+107+105+100+101+100+107+109.9
Draw+333+269+255+270+276+270+276+288.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Utrecht+295----+245+245+275.8
Ajax-125----+100+100+109.9
Draw+315----+285+285+288.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Utrecht: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Utrecht: 0.0%
Ajax: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Utrecht: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Utrecht ML moved from +252 to +246
Ajax ML moved from -122 to -135

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Utrecht: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Utrecht: 0.0%
Ajax: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Utrecht: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Utrecht ML moved from +275 to +245
No Steam Moves On Ajax ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-133o2½-136o2¾-105o2¾-106o2¾-105o2¾-106o2½-136o2¾+104
Underu3+113u2½+116u2¾-115u2¾-114u2¾-113u2¾-114u2¾-113u2¾-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+104
Under-----u2¾-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.2%
 
No46.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.99%
Exactly 220.69%
Exactly 417.91%
Exactly 66.20%
Exactly 81.15%
Exactly 100.13%
 
Exactly 112.84%
Exactly 322.23%
Exactly 511.54%
Exactly 72.85%
Exactly 90.41%
Exact Goals Scored - Utrecht
Exactly 041.04%
Exactly 136.55%
Exactly 216.27%
Exactly 34.83%
Exactly 41.08%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 09.71%
Exactly 122.64%
Exactly 226.40%
Exactly 320.52%
Exactly 411.97%
Exactly 55.58%
Exactly 62.17%
Exactly 70.72%
Exactly 80.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.49%
Exactly 225.04%
Exactly 44.64%
Exactly 60.34%
 
Exactly 133.56%
Exactly 312.45%
Exactly 51.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Utrecht
Exactly 066.21%
Exactly 127.30%
Exactly 25.63%
Exactly 30.77%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 033.97%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 219.80%
Exactly 37.13%
Exactly 41.92%
Exactly 50.42%

Alternate Props

Spread

Utrecht
Wins by 2+ goals3.93%
Wins by 3+ goals0.93%
Wins by 4+ goals0.17%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals46.60%
Wins by 3+ goals26.02%
Wins by 4+ goals12.20%
Wins by 5+ goals4.86%
Wins by 6+ goals1.65%
Wins by 7+ goals0.46%

Exact Winning Margin

Utrecht
Ajax
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Utrecht
Wins by 1 goal8.75%
Wins by 2 goals3.00%
Wins by 3 goals0.76%
Wins by 4 goals0.15%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal22.93%
Wins by 2 goals20.58%
Wins by 3 goals13.82%
Wins by 4 goals7.34%
Wins by 5 goals3.21%
Wins by 6 goals1.19%
Wins by 7 goals0.37%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.01%3.99%
1.583.17%16.83%
2.562.48%37.52%
3.540.25%59.75%
4.522.34%77.66%
5.510.80%89.20%
6.54.60%95.40%
7.51.75%98.25%

Total Goals Utrecht Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.96%41.04%
1.522.41%77.59%
2.56.13%93.87%
3.51.30%98.70%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.29%9.71%
1.567.65%32.35%
2.541.25%58.75%
3.520.72%79.28%
4.58.75%91.25%
5.53.17%96.83%
6.51.00%99.00%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.51%22.49%
1.543.95%56.05%
2.518.92%81.08%
3.56.47%93.53%
4.51.82%98.18%

Score Props

Correct Score

Utrecht
Ajax
Score012345
0
3.99%
9.29%
10.84%
8.42%
4.91%
2.29%
1
3.55%
8.28%
9.65%
7.50%
4.37%
2.04%
2
1.58%
3.69%
4.30%
3.34%
1.95%
0.91%
3
0.47%
1.09%
1.28%
0.99%
0.58%
0.27%
4
0.10%
0.24%
0.28%
0.22%
0.13%
0.06%
Utrecht
1-03.55%
2-01.58%
2-13.69%
3-00.47%
3-11.09%
3-21.28%
4-00.10%
4-10.24%
4-20.28%
4-30.22%
Draw
0-03.99%
1-18.28%
2-24.30%
3-30.99%
4-40.13%
Ajax
0-19.29%
0-210.84%
1-29.65%
0-38.42%
1-37.50%
2-33.34%
0-44.91%
1-44.37%
2-41.95%
3-40.58%
0-52.29%
1-52.04%
2-50.91%
3-50.27%

Correct Score - First Half

Utrecht
Ajax
Score012345
0
22.49%
24.28%
13.11%
4.72%
1.27%
0.28%
1
9.27%
10.01%
5.41%
1.95%
0.53%
0.11%
2
1.91%
2.06%
1.11%
0.40%
0.11%
0.02%
3
0.26%
0.28%
0.15%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Utrecht
1-09.27%
2-01.91%
2-12.06%
3-00.26%
3-10.28%
3-20.15%
Draw
0-022.49%
1-110.01%
2-21.11%
Ajax
0-124.28%
0-213.11%
1-25.41%
0-34.72%
1-31.95%
2-30.40%
0-41.27%
1-40.53%
2-40.11%
0-50.28%
1-50.11%