AZ Alkmaar at NEC Nijmegen

Updated

AZ Alkmaar

49.1%25.2%25.7%
AZ Alkmaar WinDrawNEC Nijmegen Win
1.58Projected Goals 1.06
3Final Score 0

NEC Nijmegen

Last 5 Games

AZ Alkmaar
Money Line
W 2-3 vs RKC Waalwijk-335
L 1-5 at PSV Eindhoven+600
L 0-5 at Heracles Almelo-225
W 0-2 vs Vitesse-500
W 4-0 at Volendam-575
NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Zwolle-180
W 3-0 at Vitesse+130
T 1-1 at Fortuna Sittard+215
W 1-3 vs PSV Eindhoven+625
L 0-1 at Utrecht+280

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar+106+112+105+111+107+111+112+121.7
NEC Nijmegen+231+229+220+230+239+230+239+246.8
Draw+295+278+270+265+280+265+280+283.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar+105----+110+110+121.7
NEC Nijmegen+240----+220+220+246.8
Draw+270----+280+280+283.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

AZ Alkmaar: 20.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

AZ Alkmaar ML moved from +111 to +105
NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +224 to +217

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

AZ Alkmaar: 20.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

AZ Alkmaar ML moved from +120 to +110
NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +215 to +205

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+108o3+117o2¾-112o2¾-111o2¾-111o2¾-111o2¾-111o2¾-101
Underu3-126u3-137u2¾-108u2¾-109u2¾-107u2¾-109u3-137u2¾+101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-101
Under-----u2¾+101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.9%
 
No48.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.16%
Exactly 224.89%
Exactly 414.42%
Exactly 63.34%
Exactly 80.42%
 
Exactly 118.87%
Exactly 321.87%
Exactly 57.61%
Exactly 71.26%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 020.76%
Exactly 132.64%
Exactly 225.66%
Exactly 313.45%
Exactly 45.28%
Exactly 51.66%
Exactly 60.44%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 034.48%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 219.55%
Exactly 36.94%
Exactly 41.85%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.50%
Exactly 221.98%
Exactly 42.73%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 136.01%
Exactly 38.95%
Exactly 50.67%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 048.29%
Exactly 135.15%
Exactly 212.79%
Exactly 33.10%
Exactly 40.56%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 061.08%
Exactly 130.11%
Exactly 27.42%
Exactly 31.22%
Exactly 40.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 2+ goals25.27%
Wins by 3+ goals10.33%
Wins by 4+ goals3.40%
Wins by 5+ goals0.88%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals9.59%
Wins by 3+ goals2.74%
Wins by 4+ goals0.59%

Exact Winning Margin

AZ Alkmaar
NEC Nijmegen
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 1 goal23.70%
Wins by 2 goals14.94%
Wins by 3 goals6.93%
Wins by 4 goals2.52%
Wins by 5 goals0.73%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal16.05%
Wins by 2 goals6.85%
Wins by 3 goals2.14%
Wins by 4 goals0.51%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.84%7.16%
1.573.97%26.03%
2.549.08%50.92%
3.527.21%72.79%
4.512.79%87.21%
5.55.18%94.82%
6.51.84%98.16%

Total Goals AZ Alkmaar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.24%20.76%
1.546.60%53.40%
2.520.95%79.05%
3.57.50%92.50%
4.52.22%97.78%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.52%34.48%
1.528.81%71.19%
2.59.26%90.74%
3.52.32%97.68%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.50%29.50%
1.534.49%65.51%
2.512.51%87.49%
3.53.56%96.44%

Score Props

Correct Score

AZ Alkmaar
NEC Nijmegen
Score01234
0
7.16%
7.62%
4.06%
1.44%
0.38%
1
11.25%
11.98%
6.38%
2.26%
0.60%
2
8.85%
9.42%
5.01%
1.78%
0.47%
3
4.64%
4.94%
2.63%
0.93%
0.25%
4
1.82%
1.94%
1.03%
0.37%
0.10%
5
0.57%
0.61%
0.32%
0.12%
0.03%
AZ Alkmaar
1-011.25%
2-08.85%
2-19.42%
3-04.64%
3-14.94%
3-22.63%
4-01.82%
4-11.94%
4-21.03%
4-30.37%
5-00.57%
5-10.61%
5-20.32%
5-30.12%
Draw
0-07.16%
1-111.98%
2-25.01%
3-30.93%
NEC Nijmegen
0-17.62%
0-24.06%
1-26.38%
0-31.44%
1-32.26%
2-31.78%
0-40.38%
1-40.60%
2-40.47%
3-40.25%

Correct Score - First Half

AZ Alkmaar
NEC Nijmegen
Score0123
0
29.50%
14.54%
3.58%
0.59%
1
21.47%
10.59%
2.61%
0.43%
2
7.81%
3.85%
0.95%
0.16%
3
1.90%
0.93%
0.23%
0.04%
4
0.35%
0.17%
0.04%
0.01%
AZ Alkmaar
1-021.47%
2-07.81%
2-13.85%
3-01.90%
3-10.93%
3-20.23%
4-00.35%
4-10.17%
Draw
0-029.50%
1-110.59%
2-20.95%
NEC Nijmegen
0-114.54%
0-23.58%
1-22.61%
0-30.59%
1-30.43%
2-30.16%