AZ Alkmaar at Excelsior

Updated

AZ Alkmaar

53.7%24.2%22.1%
AZ Alkmaar WinDrawExcelsior Win
1.68Projected Goals 0.99
2Final Score 1

Excelsior

Last 5 Games

AZ Alkmaar
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Ajax
L 3-1 vs NEC Nijmegen
W 1-0 at Telstar
T 1-1 vs Excelsior
L 1-3 at Zwolle
Excelsior
Money Line
W 2-0 at NAC Breda
T 2-2 vs Ajax
T 0-0 at Twente
T 1-1 at AZ Alkmaar
T 2-2 vs Telstar

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar-108-+127+131+131+131+131+139.4
Excelsior+245-+195+200+200+200+200+211.0
Draw+295-+250+270+270+270+270+283.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar-----+139.4
Excelsior-----+211.0
Draw-----+283.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

AZ Alkmaar: 40.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

AZ Alkmaar ML moved from +128 to +120
Excelsior ML moved from +200 to +190

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-125-o2¾+100o2¾-103o2¾-103o2¾-103o2¾+100o2¾+106
Underu2¾+105-u2¾-120u2¾-117u2¾-117u2¾-117u2¾-117u2¾-106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+106
Under-----u2¾-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.1%
 
No48.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.92%
Exactly 224.68%
Exactly 414.67%
Exactly 63.49%
Exactly 80.44%
 
Exactly 118.48%
Exactly 321.97%
Exactly 57.84%
Exactly 71.33%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 018.58%
Exactly 131.27%
Exactly 226.32%
Exactly 314.76%
Exactly 46.21%
Exactly 52.09%
Exactly 60.59%
Exactly 70.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 037.23%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.17%
Exactly 35.99%
Exactly 41.48%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.03%
Exactly 222.20%
Exactly 42.83%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.91%
Exactly 39.15%
Exactly 50.70%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 045.87%
Exactly 135.75%
Exactly 213.93%
Exactly 33.62%
Exactly 40.70%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 063.29%
Exactly 128.95%
Exactly 26.62%
Exactly 31.01%
Exactly 40.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 2+ goals29.23%
Wins by 3+ goals12.74%
Wins by 4+ goals4.54%
Wins by 5+ goals1.34%
Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals7.75%
Wins by 3+ goals2.07%
Wins by 4+ goals0.42%

Exact Winning Margin

AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 1 goal24.41%
Wins by 2 goals16.49%
Wins by 3 goals8.20%
Wins by 4 goals3.20%
Wins by 5 goals1.02%
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal14.33%
Wins by 2 goals5.68%
Wins by 3 goals1.65%
Wins by 4 goals0.37%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.08%6.92%
1.574.61%25.39%
2.549.93%50.07%
3.527.96%72.04%
4.513.28%86.72%
5.55.44%94.56%
6.51.95%98.05%

Total Goals AZ Alkmaar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.42%18.58%
1.550.15%49.85%
2.523.83%76.17%
3.59.07%90.93%
4.52.86%97.14%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.77%37.23%
1.525.99%74.01%
2.57.81%92.19%
3.51.83%98.17%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.97%29.03%
1.535.06%64.94%
2.512.86%87.14%
3.53.70%96.30%

Score Props

Correct Score

AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior
Score01234
0
6.92%
6.83%
3.38%
1.11%
0.27%
1
11.64%
11.50%
5.68%
1.87%
0.46%
2
9.80%
9.68%
4.78%
1.58%
0.39%
3
5.50%
5.43%
2.68%
0.88%
0.22%
4
2.31%
2.29%
1.13%
0.37%
0.09%
5
0.78%
0.77%
0.38%
0.13%
0.03%
AZ Alkmaar
1-011.64%
2-09.80%
2-19.68%
3-05.50%
3-15.43%
3-22.68%
4-02.31%
4-12.29%
4-21.13%
4-30.37%
5-00.78%
5-10.77%
5-20.38%
5-30.13%
Draw
0-06.92%
1-111.50%
2-24.78%
3-30.88%
Excelsior
0-16.83%
0-23.38%
1-25.68%
0-31.11%
1-31.87%
2-31.58%
0-40.27%
1-40.46%
2-40.39%
3-40.22%

Correct Score - First Half

AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior
Score0123
0
29.03%
13.28%
3.04%
0.46%
1
22.62%
10.35%
2.37%
0.36%
2
8.82%
4.03%
0.92%
0.14%
3
2.29%
1.05%
0.24%
0.04%
4
0.45%
0.20%
0.05%
0.01%
AZ Alkmaar
1-022.62%
2-08.82%
2-14.03%
3-02.29%
3-11.05%
3-20.24%
4-00.45%
4-10.20%
Draw
0-029.03%
1-110.35%
2-20.92%
Excelsior
0-113.28%
0-23.04%
1-22.37%
0-30.46%
1-30.36%
2-30.14%