Telstar at Excelsior

Updated

Telstar

23.1%26.7%50.2%
Telstar WinDrawExcelsior Win
0.89Projected Goals 1.45
2Final Score 2

Excelsior

Last 5 Games

Telstar
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Ajax
W 1-0 at NAC Breda
T 2-2 vs NEC Nijmegen
T 1-1 at Heracles Almelo
L 2-1 vs Feyenoord
Excelsior
Money Line
L 1-5 at PSV Eindhoven
W 1-2 vs Zwolle
L 2-0 vs Groningen
W 0-1 vs NAC Breda
W 2-1 at Ajax

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Telstar+212-+215+174+183+183+215+206.1
Excelsior+120-+124+131+126+126+126+144.4
Draw+245-+235+250+250+250+250+278.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Telstar-----+206.1
Excelsior-----+144.4
Draw-----+278.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Telstar: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Telstar: 0.0%
Excelsior: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Telstar: 40.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Telstar ML moved from +189 to +183
Excelsior ML moved from +126 to +117

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-112-o2¾+100o2¾+100o2¾+100o2¾+100o2¾+100o2¾+109
Underu2¾-108-u2¾-120u2¾-120u2¾-120u2¾-120u2¾-120u2¾-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+109
Under-----u2¾-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.1%
 
No54.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.64%
Exactly 226.38%
Exactly 412.03%
Exactly 62.19%
Exactly 80.21%
 
Exactly 122.55%
Exactly 320.57%
Exactly 55.63%
Exactly 70.73%
Exact Goals Scored - Telstar
Exactly 041.10%
Exactly 136.54%
Exactly 216.25%
Exactly 34.81%
Exactly 41.07%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 023.46%
Exactly 134.01%
Exactly 224.66%
Exactly 311.92%
Exactly 44.32%
Exactly 51.25%
Exactly 60.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.86%
Exactly 219.86%
Exactly 41.94%
 
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 37.17%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Telstar
Exactly 066.25%
Exactly 127.27%
Exactly 25.61%
Exactly 30.77%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 051.10%
Exactly 134.31%
Exactly 211.52%
Exactly 32.58%
Exactly 40.43%

Alternate Props

Spread

Telstar
Wins by 2+ goals7.64%
Wins by 3+ goals1.90%
Wins by 4+ goals0.36%
Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals24.99%
Wins by 3+ goals9.73%
Wins by 4+ goals3.03%
Wins by 5+ goals0.75%
Wins by 6+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Telstar
Excelsior
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Telstar
Wins by 1 goal15.42%
Wins by 2 goals5.73%
Wins by 3 goals1.54%
Wins by 4 goals0.32%
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal25.15%
Wins by 2 goals15.26%
Wins by 3 goals6.70%
Wins by 4 goals2.28%
Wins by 5 goals0.63%
Wins by 6 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.36%9.64%
1.567.81%32.19%
2.541.43%58.57%
3.520.87%79.13%
4.58.84%91.16%
5.53.21%96.79%
6.51.02%98.98%

Total Goals Telstar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.90%41.10%
1.522.35%77.65%
2.56.11%93.89%
3.51.29%98.71%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.54%23.46%
1.542.53%57.47%
2.517.87%82.13%
3.55.95%94.05%
4.51.63%98.37%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.14%33.86%
1.529.48%70.52%
2.59.62%90.38%
3.52.45%97.55%

Score Props

Correct Score

Telstar
Excelsior
Score012345
0
9.64%
13.98%
10.14%
4.90%
1.78%
0.52%
1
8.57%
12.43%
9.01%
4.36%
1.58%
0.46%
2
3.81%
5.53%
4.01%
1.94%
0.70%
0.20%
3
1.13%
1.64%
1.19%
0.57%
0.21%
0.06%
4
0.25%
0.36%
0.26%
0.13%
0.05%
0.01%
Telstar
1-08.57%
2-03.81%
2-15.53%
3-01.13%
3-11.64%
3-21.19%
4-00.25%
4-10.36%
4-20.26%
4-30.13%
Draw
0-09.64%
1-112.43%
2-24.01%
3-30.57%
Excelsior
0-113.98%
0-210.14%
1-29.01%
0-34.90%
1-34.36%
2-31.94%
0-41.78%
1-41.58%
2-40.70%
3-40.21%
0-50.52%
1-50.46%
2-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Telstar
Excelsior
Score01234
0
33.86%
22.73%
7.63%
1.71%
0.29%
1
13.94%
9.36%
3.14%
0.70%
0.12%
2
2.87%
1.93%
0.65%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.39%
0.26%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Telstar
1-013.94%
2-02.87%
2-11.93%
3-00.39%
3-10.26%
Draw
0-033.86%
1-19.36%
2-20.65%
Excelsior
0-122.73%
0-27.63%
1-23.14%
0-31.71%
1-30.70%
2-30.14%
0-40.29%
1-40.12%