Ajax at Feyenoord

Updated

Ajax

28.5%23.6%47.9%
Ajax WinDrawFeyenoord Win
1.28Projected Goals 1.73
1Final Score 1

Feyenoord

Last 5 Games

Ajax
Money Line
W 0-4 vs Sparta Rotterdam
L 1-3 at Groningen
T 0-0 at Zwolle
T 1-1 vs NEC Nijmegen
W 1-4 vs Fortuna Sittard
Feyenoord
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Excelsior
T 3-3 at NAC Breda
L 0-2 at Twente
W 1-2 vs Telstar
W 0-1 vs Go Ahead Eagles

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.9%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax+235-+250+280+270+270+270+287.3
Feyenoord-102--111-116-114-114-111-103.6
Draw+285-+295+310+310+310+310+329.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-----+287.3
Feyenoord------103.6
Draw-----+329.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Feyenoord: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 20.0%
Feyenoord: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Ajax: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Feyenoord: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from +280 to +270
Feyenoord ML moved from -105 to -116

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-122-o3-125o3¼+105o3¼+105o3¼+105o3-125o3¼+114
Underu3+102-u3+105u3¼-125u3¼-125u3¼-125u3¼-125u3¼-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼+114
Under-----u3¼-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes59.4%
 
No40.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.93%
Exactly 222.33%
Exactly 416.86%
Exactly 65.09%
Exactly 80.82%
 
Exactly 114.84%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.15%
Exactly 72.19%
Exactly 90.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 027.73%
Exactly 135.57%
Exactly 222.81%
Exactly 39.75%
Exactly 43.13%
Exactly 50.80%
Exactly 60.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Feyenoord
Exactly 017.78%
Exactly 130.71%
Exactly 226.52%
Exactly 315.27%
Exactly 46.59%
Exactly 52.28%
Exactly 60.66%
Exactly 70.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.82%
Exactly 224.10%
Exactly 43.90%
Exactly 60.25%
 
Exactly 134.59%
Exactly 311.20%
Exactly 51.09%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 055.22%
Exactly 132.79%
Exactly 29.74%
Exactly 31.93%
Exactly 40.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Feyenoord
Exactly 044.95%
Exactly 135.94%
Exactly 214.37%
Exactly 33.83%
Exactly 40.77%
Exactly 50.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals12.02%
Wins by 3+ goals4.01%
Wins by 4+ goals1.07%
Wins by 5+ goals0.23%
Feyenoord
Wins by 2+ goals25.69%
Wins by 3+ goals11.16%
Wins by 4+ goals3.99%
Wins by 5+ goals1.19%
Wins by 6+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
Feyenoord
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal16.45%
Wins by 2 goals8.01%
Wins by 3 goals2.93%
Wins by 4 goals0.85%
Wins by 5 goals0.20%
Feyenoord
Wins by 1 goal22.15%
Wins by 2 goals14.53%
Wins by 3 goals7.17%
Wins by 4 goals2.80%
Wins by 5 goals0.90%
Wins by 6 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.07%4.93%
1.580.23%19.77%
2.557.91%42.09%
3.535.50%64.50%
4.518.64%81.36%
5.58.49%91.51%
6.53.40%96.60%
7.51.21%98.79%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.27%27.73%
1.536.71%63.29%
2.513.89%86.11%
3.54.14%95.86%
4.51.01%98.99%

Total Goals Feyenoord Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.22%17.78%
1.551.52%48.48%
2.525.00%75.00%
3.59.73%90.27%
4.53.14%96.86%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.18%24.82%
1.540.60%59.40%
2.516.50%83.50%
3.55.30%94.70%
4.51.40%98.60%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
Feyenoord
Score012345
0
4.93%
8.51%
7.35%
4.23%
1.83%
0.63%
1
6.32%
10.92%
9.43%
5.43%
2.34%
0.81%
2
4.06%
7.00%
6.05%
3.48%
1.50%
0.52%
3
1.73%
3.00%
2.59%
1.49%
0.64%
0.22%
4
0.56%
0.96%
0.83%
0.48%
0.21%
0.07%
5
0.14%
0.25%
0.21%
0.12%
0.05%
0.02%
Ajax
1-06.32%
2-04.06%
2-17.00%
3-01.73%
3-13.00%
3-22.59%
4-00.56%
4-10.96%
4-20.83%
4-30.48%
5-00.14%
5-10.25%
5-20.21%
5-30.12%
Draw
0-04.93%
1-110.92%
2-26.05%
3-31.49%
4-40.21%
Feyenoord
0-18.51%
0-27.35%
1-29.43%
0-34.23%
1-35.43%
2-33.48%
0-41.83%
1-42.34%
2-41.50%
3-40.64%
0-50.63%
1-50.81%
2-50.52%
3-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
Feyenoord
Score01234
0
24.82%
19.85%
7.94%
2.12%
0.42%
1
14.74%
11.79%
4.71%
1.26%
0.25%
2
4.38%
3.50%
1.40%
0.37%
0.07%
3
0.87%
0.69%
0.28%
0.07%
0.01%
4
0.13%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Ajax
1-014.74%
2-04.38%
2-13.50%
3-00.87%
3-10.69%
3-20.28%
4-00.13%
4-10.10%
Draw
0-024.82%
1-111.79%
2-21.40%
Feyenoord
0-119.85%
0-27.94%
1-24.71%
0-32.12%
1-31.26%
2-30.37%
0-40.42%
1-40.25%
Heerenveen at NEC Nijmegen
Go Ahead Eag at Utrecht