Heerenveen at NEC Nijmegen

Updated

Heerenveen

22.9%24.1%53.0%
Heerenveen WinDrawNEC Nijmegen Win
1.03Projected Goals 1.69
2Final Score 2

NEC Nijmegen

Last 5 Games

Heerenveen
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Telstar
W 2-1 at Excelsior
W 1-2 vs Sparta Rotterdam
L 1-3 at PSV Eindhoven
W 2-4 vs Zwolle
NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
W 3-2 at PSV Eindhoven
W 0-3 vs Volendam
L 3-2 vs Fortuna Sittard
T 1-1 at Ajax
L 3-1 vs Utrecht

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heerenveen+300-+345+340+340+340+345+355.6
NEC Nijmegen-138--158-143-143-143-143-131.6
Draw+325-+340+355+355+355+355+371.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heerenveen-----+355.6
NEC Nijmegen------131.6
Draw-----+371.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heerenveen: 20.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Heerenveen: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heerenveen: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heerenveen ML moved from +340 to +325
NEC Nijmegen ML moved from -146 to -157

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+100-o3½-108o3¼-129o3¼-129o3¼-129o3¼-129o3¼-118
Underu3½-120-u3½-112u3¼+109u3¼+109u3¼+109u3½-112u3¼+118
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼-118
Under-----u3¼+118

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3¼-126 to o3¾+118
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.4%
 
No47.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.59%
Exactly 224.37%
Exactly 415.02%
Exactly 63.71%
Exactly 80.49%
 
Exactly 117.92%
Exactly 322.09%
Exactly 58.17%
Exactly 71.44%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Heerenveen
Exactly 035.83%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.87%
Exactly 36.46%
Exactly 41.66%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 018.39%
Exactly 131.14%
Exactly 226.37%
Exactly 314.89%
Exactly 46.30%
Exactly 52.13%
Exactly 60.60%
Exactly 70.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.38%
Exactly 222.51%
Exactly 42.98%
Exactly 60.16%
 
Exactly 135.74%
Exactly 39.45%
Exactly 50.75%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heerenveen
Exactly 062.17%
Exactly 129.55%
Exactly 27.02%
Exactly 31.11%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 045.65%
Exactly 135.80%
Exactly 214.04%
Exactly 33.67%
Exactly 40.72%
Exactly 50.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Heerenveen
Wins by 2+ goals8.23%
Wins by 3+ goals2.27%
Wins by 4+ goals0.47%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals28.86%
Wins by 3+ goals12.60%
Wins by 4+ goals4.50%
Wins by 5+ goals1.34%
Wins by 6+ goals0.32%

Exact Winning Margin

Heerenveen
NEC Nijmegen
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Heerenveen
Wins by 1 goal14.61%
Wins by 2 goals5.97%
Wins by 3 goals1.79%
Wins by 4 goals0.41%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal24.11%
Wins by 2 goals16.26%
Wins by 3 goals8.10%
Wins by 4 goals3.17%
Wins by 5 goals1.01%
Wins by 6 goals0.27%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.41%6.59%
1.575.50%24.50%
2.551.13%48.87%
3.529.03%70.97%
4.514.01%85.99%
5.55.84%94.16%
6.52.13%97.87%

Total Goals Heerenveen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.17%35.83%
1.527.40%72.60%
2.58.52%91.48%
3.52.07%97.93%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.61%18.39%
1.550.48%49.52%
2.524.11%75.89%
3.59.22%90.78%
4.52.92%97.08%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.62%28.38%
1.535.87%64.13%
2.513.36%86.64%
3.53.92%96.08%

Score Props

Correct Score

Heerenveen
NEC Nijmegen
Score012345
0
6.59%
11.16%
9.45%
5.33%
2.26%
0.76%
1
6.76%
11.45%
9.70%
5.47%
2.32%
0.79%
2
3.47%
5.88%
4.98%
2.81%
1.19%
0.40%
3
1.19%
2.01%
1.70%
0.96%
0.41%
0.14%
4
0.30%
0.52%
0.44%
0.25%
0.10%
0.04%
Heerenveen
1-06.76%
2-03.47%
2-15.88%
3-01.19%
3-12.01%
3-21.70%
4-00.30%
4-10.52%
4-20.44%
4-30.25%
Draw
0-06.59%
1-111.45%
2-24.98%
3-30.96%
4-40.10%
NEC Nijmegen
0-111.16%
0-29.45%
1-29.70%
0-35.33%
1-35.47%
2-32.81%
0-42.26%
1-42.32%
2-41.19%
3-40.41%
0-50.76%
1-50.79%
2-50.40%
3-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Heerenveen
NEC Nijmegen
Score01234
0
28.38%
22.26%
8.73%
2.28%
0.45%
1
13.49%
10.58%
4.15%
1.08%
0.21%
2
3.21%
2.51%
0.99%
0.26%
0.05%
3
0.51%
0.40%
0.16%
0.04%
0.01%
Heerenveen
1-013.49%
2-03.21%
2-12.51%
3-00.51%
3-10.40%
3-20.16%
Draw
0-028.38%
1-110.58%
2-20.99%
NEC Nijmegen
0-122.26%
0-28.73%
1-24.15%
0-32.28%
1-31.08%
2-30.26%
0-40.45%
1-40.21%
NAC Breda at Zwolle
Ajax at Feyenoord