Heracles Almelo at Almere City

Updated

Heracles Almelo

25.8%25.7%48.5%
Heracles Almelo WinDrawAlmere City Win
1.04Projected Goals 1.52
2Final Score 0

Almere City

Last 5 Games

Heracles Almelo
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Sparta Rotterdam
L 2-5 at Feyenoord+1400
T 2-2 vs Fortuna Sittard+130
L 0-1 at AZ Alkmaar+700
T 2-2 vs RKC Waalwijk-130
Almere City
Money Line
T 0-0 at Groningen
W 0-3 vs Heerenveen+225
L 0-3 at Ajax+1500
L 3-1 vs Utrecht+360
L 0-1 at NAC Breda+390

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heracles Almelo+175+250+235+205+234+205+250+230.3
Almere City+145+126+120+126+123+126+126+144.7
Draw+230+220+210+220+220+220+220+246.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heracles Almelo-----+230.3
Almere City-----+144.7
Draw-----+246.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Almere City: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
Almere City: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heracles Almelo: 30.0%
Almere City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heracles Almelo ML moved from +246 to +234
Almere City ML moved from +127 to +121

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-112o2½+115o2¼-112o2¼-118o2¼-113o2¼-118o2¼-112o2¼-107
Underu2½-108u2½-136u2¼-108u2¼-102u2¼-107u2¼-102u2½-136u2¼+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-107
Under-----u2¼+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.4%
 
No49.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.76%
Exactly 225.36%
Exactly 413.80%
Exactly 63.00%
Exactly 80.35%
 
Exactly 119.84%
Exactly 321.60%
Exactly 57.05%
Exactly 71.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 035.55%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 219.01%
Exactly 36.56%
Exactly 41.70%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - Almere City
Exactly 021.84%
Exactly 133.23%
Exactly 225.28%
Exactly 312.82%
Exactly 44.87%
Exactly 51.48%
Exactly 60.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.63%
Exactly 221.44%
Exactly 42.50%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.24%
Exactly 38.46%
Exactly 50.59%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 061.95%
Exactly 129.67%
Exactly 27.10%
Exactly 31.13%
Exactly 40.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Almere City
Exactly 049.44%
Exactly 134.83%
Exactly 212.26%
Exactly 32.88%
Exactly 40.51%

Alternate Props

Spread

Heracles Almelo
Wins by 2+ goals9.45%
Wins by 3+ goals2.65%
Wins by 4+ goals0.56%
Almere City
Wins by 2+ goals24.53%
Wins by 3+ goals9.80%
Wins by 4+ goals3.15%
Wins by 5+ goals0.80%
Wins by 6+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Heracles Almelo
Almere City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 1 goal16.24%
Wins by 2 goals6.81%
Wins by 3 goals2.08%
Wins by 4 goals0.49%
Almere City
Wins by 1 goal23.89%
Wins by 2 goals14.73%
Wins by 3 goals6.65%
Wins by 4 goals2.35%
Wins by 5 goals0.67%
Wins by 6 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.24%7.76%
1.572.39%27.61%
2.547.04%52.96%
3.525.44%74.56%
4.511.64%88.36%
5.54.58%95.42%
6.51.58%98.42%

Total Goals Heracles Almelo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.45%35.55%
1.527.69%72.31%
2.58.67%91.33%
3.52.12%97.88%

Total Goals Almere City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.16%21.84%
1.544.93%55.07%
2.519.65%80.35%
3.56.83%93.17%
4.51.96%98.04%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.37%30.63%
1.533.13%66.87%
2.511.69%88.31%
3.53.23%96.77%

Score Props

Correct Score

Heracles Almelo
Almere City
Score012345
0
7.76%
11.81%
8.98%
4.56%
1.73%
0.53%
1
8.03%
12.22%
9.29%
4.71%
1.79%
0.55%
2
4.15%
6.32%
4.81%
2.44%
0.93%
0.28%
3
1.43%
2.18%
1.66%
0.84%
0.32%
0.10%
4
0.37%
0.56%
0.43%
0.22%
0.08%
0.03%
Heracles Almelo
1-08.03%
2-04.15%
2-16.32%
3-01.43%
3-12.18%
3-21.66%
4-00.37%
4-10.56%
4-20.43%
4-30.22%
Draw
0-07.76%
1-112.22%
2-24.81%
3-30.84%
Almere City
0-111.81%
0-28.98%
1-29.29%
0-34.56%
1-34.71%
2-32.44%
0-41.73%
1-41.79%
2-40.93%
3-40.32%
0-50.53%
1-50.55%
2-50.28%

Correct Score - First Half

Heracles Almelo
Almere City
Score01234
0
30.63%
21.57%
7.60%
1.78%
0.31%
1
14.67%
10.33%
3.64%
0.85%
0.15%
2
3.51%
2.47%
0.87%
0.20%
0.04%
3
0.56%
0.39%
0.14%
0.03%
0.01%
Heracles Almelo
1-014.67%
2-03.51%
2-12.47%
3-00.56%
3-10.39%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-030.63%
1-110.33%
2-20.87%
Almere City
0-121.57%
0-27.60%
1-23.64%
0-31.78%
1-30.85%
2-30.20%
0-40.31%
1-40.15%
Ajax at Heerenveen
Fortuna Sittard at NEC Nijmegen