Willem II at Fortuna Sittard

Updated

Willem II

24.0%23.9%52.1%
Willem II WinDrawFortuna Sittard Win
1.09Projected Goals 1.71
0Final Score 1

Fortuna Sittard

Last 5 Games

Willem II
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Ajax
L 1-3 at Heerenveen
L 2-0 vs Almere City
L 0-1 at Go Ahead Eagles
L 3-2 vs Utrecht
Fortuna Sittard
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Feyenoord
T 1-1 at Twente
L 3-0 vs Sparta Rotterdam
L 0-1 at Groningen
W 0-1 vs Heracles Almelo

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Willem II+257+398+390+410+413+410+413+437.7
Fortuna Sittard+104-136-145-147-151-147-136-129.6
Draw+271+281+255+280+279+280+281+300.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Willem II-----+437.7
Fortuna Sittard------129.6
Draw-----+300.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Willem II: 20.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Willem II: 0.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Willem II ML moved from +390 to +370
Fortuna Sittard ML moved from -135 to -145

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-110o2½-110o2½-115o2½-110o2½-113o2½-110o2½-110o2½+100
Underu2½-107u2½-106u2½-105u2½-110u2½-107u2½-110u2½-105u2½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+100
Under-----u2½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.3%
 
No45.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.09%
Exactly 223.85%
Exactly 415.56%
Exactly 64.06%
Exactly 80.57%
 
Exactly 117.05%
Exactly 322.25%
Exactly 58.71%
Exactly 71.62%
Exactly 90.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Willem II
Exactly 033.79%
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 219.89%
Exactly 37.19%
Exactly 41.95%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 018.03%
Exactly 130.88%
Exactly 226.46%
Exactly 315.11%
Exactly 46.47%
Exactly 52.22%
Exactly 60.63%
Exactly 70.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.37%
Exactly 222.97%
Exactly 43.21%
Exactly 60.18%
 
Exactly 135.46%
Exactly 39.92%
Exactly 50.83%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Willem II
Exactly 060.51%
Exactly 130.40%
Exactly 27.63%
Exactly 31.28%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 045.24%
Exactly 135.88%
Exactly 214.23%
Exactly 33.76%
Exactly 40.75%
Exactly 50.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Willem II
Wins by 2+ goals8.96%
Wins by 3+ goals2.57%
Wins by 4+ goals0.56%
Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 2+ goals28.38%
Wins by 3+ goals12.44%
Wins by 4+ goals4.47%
Wins by 5+ goals1.34%
Wins by 6+ goals0.32%

Exact Winning Margin

Willem II
Fortuna Sittard
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Willem II
Wins by 1 goal14.98%
Wins by 2 goals6.39%
Wins by 3 goals2.01%
Wins by 4 goals0.48%
Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 1 goal23.65%
Wins by 2 goals15.94%
Wins by 3 goals7.97%
Wins by 4 goals3.14%
Wins by 5 goals1.01%
Wins by 6 goals0.27%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.91%6.09%
1.576.86%23.14%
2.553.01%46.99%
3.530.77%69.23%
4.515.21%84.79%
5.56.50%93.50%
6.52.43%97.57%

Total Goals Willem II Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.21%33.79%
1.529.54%70.46%
2.59.66%90.34%
3.52.46%97.54%

Total Goals Fortuna Sittard Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.97%18.03%
1.551.09%48.91%
2.524.63%75.37%
3.59.52%90.48%
4.53.05%96.95%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.63%27.37%
1.537.16%62.84%
2.514.19%85.81%
3.54.27%95.73%
4.51.05%98.95%

Score Props

Correct Score

Willem II
Fortuna Sittard
Score012345
0
6.09%
10.44%
8.94%
5.11%
2.19%
0.75%
1
6.61%
11.32%
9.70%
5.54%
2.37%
0.81%
2
3.58%
6.14%
5.26%
3.01%
1.29%
0.44%
3
1.30%
2.22%
1.90%
1.09%
0.47%
0.16%
4
0.35%
0.60%
0.52%
0.29%
0.13%
0.04%
Willem II
1-06.61%
2-03.58%
2-16.14%
3-01.30%
3-12.22%
3-21.90%
4-00.35%
4-10.60%
4-20.52%
4-30.29%
Draw
0-06.09%
1-111.32%
2-25.26%
3-31.09%
4-40.13%
Fortuna Sittard
0-110.44%
0-28.94%
1-29.70%
0-35.11%
1-35.54%
2-33.01%
0-42.19%
1-42.37%
2-41.29%
3-40.47%
0-50.75%
1-50.81%
2-50.44%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Willem II
Fortuna Sittard
Score01234
0
27.37%
21.71%
8.61%
2.28%
0.45%
1
13.75%
10.91%
4.33%
1.14%
0.23%
2
3.45%
2.74%
1.09%
0.29%
0.06%
3
0.58%
0.46%
0.18%
0.05%
0.01%
Willem II
1-013.75%
2-03.45%
2-12.74%
3-00.58%
3-10.46%
3-20.18%
Draw
0-027.37%
1-110.91%
2-21.09%
Fortuna Sittard
0-121.71%
0-28.61%
1-24.33%
0-32.28%
1-31.14%
2-30.29%
0-40.45%
1-40.23%