Zwolle at AZ Alkmaar

Updated

Zwolle

8.4%14.1%77.4%
WinDrawAZ Alkmaar Win
0.78Projected Goals 2.68
0Final Score 2

AZ Alkmaar

Last 5 Games

Zwolle
Money Line
T 3-3 vs Utrecht
W 4-1 at Fortuna Sittard
W 1-3 vs PSV Eindhoven
L 1-0 vs NEC Nijmegen
T 1-1 at RKC Waalwijk+150
AZ Alkmaar
Money Line
W 2-0 at Willem II
L 2-1 vs Sparta Rotterdam
T 0-0 at Utrecht
T 2-2 at PSV Eindhoven
W 0-1 vs Twente+110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Zwolle+588+770+700+680+749+680+770+720.8
AZ Alkmaar-222-284-300-278-308-278-278-232.1
Draw+388+439+400+430+434+430+439+457.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Zwolle-----+720.8
AZ Alkmaar------232.1
Draw-----+457.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Zwolle: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Zwolle: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Zwolle: 20.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Zwolle ML moved from +690 to +640
AZ Alkmaar ML moved from -270 to -278

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+106o3-107o3-102o3-106o3-103o3-106o3-102o3+104
Underu3-125u3-110u3-118u3-114u3-117u3-114u3-110u3-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+104
Under-----u3-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.5%
 
No49.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.15%
Exactly 218.84%
Exactly 418.76%
Exactly 67.47%
Exactly 81.59%
Exactly 100.21%
 
Exactly 110.90%
Exactly 321.71%
Exactly 512.97%
Exactly 73.69%
Exactly 90.61%
Exact Goals Scored - Zwolle
Exactly 045.80%
Exactly 135.76%
Exactly 213.96%
Exactly 33.64%
Exactly 40.71%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 06.89%
Exactly 118.43%
Exactly 224.65%
Exactly 321.98%
Exactly 414.70%
Exactly 57.87%
Exactly 63.51%
Exactly 71.34%
Exactly 80.45%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.18%
Exactly 225.84%
Exactly 45.52%
Exactly 60.47%
 
Exactly 132.30%
Exactly 313.79%
Exactly 51.77%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Zwolle
Exactly 069.66%
Exactly 125.19%
Exactly 24.55%
Exactly 30.55%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 028.98%
Exactly 135.89%
Exactly 222.23%
Exactly 39.18%
Exactly 42.84%
Exactly 50.70%
Exactly 60.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Zwolle
Wins by 2+ goals2.32%
Wins by 3+ goals0.49%
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 2+ goals56.49%
Wins by 3+ goals34.98%
Wins by 4+ goals18.41%
Wins by 5+ goals8.32%
Wins by 6+ goals3.26%
Wins by 7+ goals1.11%
Wins by 8+ goals0.31%

Exact Winning Margin

Zwolle
AZ Alkmaar
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Zwolle
Wins by 1 goal6.11%
Wins by 2 goals1.83%
Wins by 3 goals0.41%
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 1 goal20.92%
Wins by 2 goals21.52%
Wins by 3 goals16.56%
Wins by 4 goals10.09%
Wins by 5 goals5.06%
Wins by 6 goals2.15%
Wins by 7 goals0.79%
Wins by 8 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.85%3.15%
1.585.94%14.06%
2.567.10%32.90%
3.545.39%54.61%
4.526.63%73.37%
5.513.67%86.33%
6.56.20%93.80%
7.52.51%97.49%

Total Goals Zwolle Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.20%45.80%
1.518.44%81.56%
2.54.47%95.53%

Total Goals AZ Alkmaar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.11%6.89%
1.574.68%25.32%
2.550.03%49.97%
3.528.05%71.95%
4.513.34%86.66%
5.55.48%94.52%
6.51.97%98.03%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.82%20.18%
1.547.51%52.49%
2.521.67%78.33%
3.57.88%92.12%
4.52.37%97.63%

Score Props

Correct Score

Zwolle
AZ Alkmaar
Score012345
0
3.15%
8.44%
11.29%
10.07%
6.73%
3.60%
1
2.46%
6.59%
8.82%
7.86%
5.26%
2.81%
2
0.96%
2.57%
3.44%
3.07%
2.05%
1.10%
3
0.25%
0.67%
0.90%
0.80%
0.53%
0.29%
Zwolle
1-02.46%
2-00.96%
2-12.57%
3-00.25%
3-10.67%
3-20.90%
Draw
0-03.15%
1-16.59%
2-23.44%
3-30.80%
4-40.10%
AZ Alkmaar
0-18.44%
0-211.29%
1-28.82%
0-310.07%
1-37.86%
2-33.07%
0-46.73%
1-45.26%
2-42.05%
3-40.53%
0-53.60%
1-52.81%
2-51.10%
3-50.29%

Correct Score - First Half

Zwolle
AZ Alkmaar
Score0123456
0
20.18%
25.00%
15.48%
6.39%
1.98%
0.49%
0.10%
1
7.30%
9.04%
5.60%
2.31%
0.72%
0.18%
0.04%
2
1.32%
1.63%
1.01%
0.42%
0.13%
0.03%
0.01%
3
0.16%
0.20%
0.12%
0.05%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Zwolle
1-07.30%
2-01.32%
2-11.63%
3-00.16%
3-10.20%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-020.18%
1-19.04%
2-21.01%
AZ Alkmaar
0-125.00%
0-215.48%
1-25.60%
0-36.39%
1-32.31%
2-30.42%
0-41.98%
1-40.72%
2-40.13%
0-50.49%
1-50.18%
0-60.10%