NAC Breda at RKC Waalwijk

Updated

NAC Breda

36.4%25.3%38.3%
NAC Breda WinDrawRKC Waalwijk Win
1.37Projected Goals 1.42
0Final Score 5

RKC Waalwijk

Last 5 Games

NAC Breda
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Heracles Almelo
L 2-3 at PSV Eindhoven
W 1-2 vs Twente
L 4-2 vs Heerenveen
L 1-2 at Go Ahead Eagles+500
RKC Waalwijk
Money Line
W 4-1 at Almere City
W 0-2 vs Willem II
T 1-1 at Sparta Rotterdam
L 1-2 at Ajax
T 1-1 vs Zwolle+175

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NAC Breda+161+205+195+210+207+210+210+225.8
RKC Waalwijk+166+128+125+120+117+120+128+131.2
Draw+254+265+240+265+266+265+266+283.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NAC Breda-----+225.8
RKC Waalwijk-----+131.2
Draw-----+283.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NAC Breda: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
RKC Waalwijk: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NAC Breda: 20.0%
RKC Waalwijk: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NAC Breda: 0.0%
RKC Waalwijk: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On NAC Breda ML
RKC Waalwijk ML moved from +126 to +120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+113o3+101o3+100o2¾-120o3+101o2¾-120o2¾-120o2¾-109
Underu3-132u3-118u3-120u2¾+100u3-123u2¾+100u3-118u2¾+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-109
Under-----u2¾+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-120 to u2¾-112

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes56.6%
 
No43.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.14%
Exactly 223.91%
Exactly 415.50%
Exactly 64.02%
Exactly 80.56%
 
Exactly 117.14%
Exactly 322.23%
Exactly 58.65%
Exactly 71.60%
Exactly 90.17%
Exact Goals Scored - NAC Breda
Exactly 025.32%
Exactly 134.78%
Exactly 223.89%
Exactly 310.94%
Exactly 43.76%
Exactly 51.03%
Exactly 60.24%
Exact Goals Scored - RKC Waalwijk
Exactly 024.27%
Exactly 134.37%
Exactly 224.33%
Exactly 311.48%
Exactly 44.06%
Exactly 51.15%
Exactly 60.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.48%
Exactly 222.92%
Exactly 43.19%
Exactly 60.18%
 
Exactly 135.50%
Exactly 39.87%
Exactly 50.82%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NAC Breda
Exactly 052.94%
Exactly 133.67%
Exactly 210.71%
Exactly 32.27%
Exactly 40.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - RKC Waalwijk
Exactly 051.92%
Exactly 134.03%
Exactly 211.16%
Exactly 32.44%
Exactly 40.40%

Alternate Props

Spread

NAC Breda
Wins by 2+ goals16.54%
Wins by 3+ goals5.94%
Wins by 4+ goals1.71%
Wins by 5+ goals0.39%
RKC Waalwijk
Wins by 2+ goals17.83%
Wins by 3+ goals6.57%
Wins by 4+ goals1.95%
Wins by 5+ goals0.45%

Exact Winning Margin

NAC Breda
RKC Waalwijk
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
NAC Breda
Wins by 1 goal19.79%
Wins by 2 goals10.60%
Wins by 3 goals4.22%
Wins by 4 goals1.32%
Wins by 5 goals0.33%
RKC Waalwijk
Wins by 1 goal20.39%
Wins by 2 goals11.26%
Wins by 3 goals4.62%
Wins by 4 goals1.49%
Wins by 5 goals0.39%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.86%6.14%
1.576.72%23.28%
2.552.81%47.19%
3.530.58%69.42%
4.515.07%84.93%
5.56.42%93.58%
6.52.40%97.60%

Total Goals NAC Breda Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.68%25.32%
1.539.91%60.09%
2.516.02%83.98%
3.55.08%94.92%
4.51.32%98.68%

Total Goals RKC Waalwijk Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.73%24.27%
1.541.36%58.64%
2.517.04%82.96%
3.55.55%94.45%
4.51.49%98.51%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.52%27.48%
1.537.02%62.98%
2.514.10%85.90%
3.54.23%95.77%
4.51.04%98.96%

Score Props

Correct Score

NAC Breda
RKC Waalwijk
Score012345
0
6.14%
8.70%
6.16%
2.91%
1.03%
0.29%
1
8.44%
11.95%
8.46%
3.99%
1.41%
0.40%
2
5.80%
8.21%
5.81%
2.74%
0.97%
0.27%
3
2.65%
3.76%
2.66%
1.26%
0.44%
0.13%
4
0.91%
1.29%
0.91%
0.43%
0.15%
0.04%
5
0.25%
0.35%
0.25%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
NAC Breda
1-08.44%
2-05.80%
2-18.21%
3-02.65%
3-13.76%
3-22.66%
4-00.91%
4-11.29%
4-20.91%
4-30.43%
5-00.25%
5-10.35%
5-20.25%
5-30.12%
Draw
0-06.14%
1-111.95%
2-25.81%
3-31.26%
4-40.15%
RKC Waalwijk
0-18.70%
0-26.16%
1-28.46%
0-32.91%
1-33.99%
2-32.74%
0-41.03%
1-41.41%
2-40.97%
3-40.44%
0-50.29%
1-50.40%
2-50.27%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

NAC Breda
RKC Waalwijk
Score01234
0
27.48%
18.02%
5.91%
1.29%
0.21%
1
17.48%
11.46%
3.76%
0.82%
0.13%
2
5.56%
3.64%
1.19%
0.26%
0.04%
3
1.18%
0.77%
0.25%
0.06%
0.01%
4
0.19%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
NAC Breda
1-017.48%
2-05.56%
2-13.64%
3-01.18%
3-10.77%
3-20.25%
4-00.19%
4-10.12%
Draw
0-027.48%
1-111.46%
2-21.19%
RKC Waalwijk
0-118.02%
0-25.91%
1-23.76%
0-31.29%
1-30.82%
2-30.26%
0-40.21%
1-40.13%