Go Ahead Eag at Excelsior

Updated

Go Ahead Eagles

34.0%28.3%37.7%
Go Ahead Eag WinDrawExcelsior Win
1.12Projected Goals 1.19
1Final Score 0

Excelsior

Last 5 Games

Go Ahead Eagles
Money Line
W 0-4 vs Heracles Almelo
L 0-1 at Feyenoord
L 3-1 vs Heerenveen
T 1-1 vs Telstar
T 1-1 at Volendam
Excelsior
Money Line
L 1-2 at Fortuna Sittard
L 2-1 vs AZ Alkmaar
W 2-0 at NAC Breda
T 2-2 vs Ajax
T 0-0 at Twente

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Go Ahead Eag+178-+188+200+200+200+200+210.7
Excelsior+143-+135+140+140+140+140+148.6
Draw+240-+245+250+250+250+250+262.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Go Ahead Eag-----+210.7
Excelsior-----+148.6
Draw-----+262.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Go Ahead Eag: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Go Ahead Eag: 20.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Go Ahead Eag ML moved from +190 to +175
Excelsior ML moved from +148 to +140

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.3%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-112-o2¾-112o2¾-111o2¾-111o2¾-111o2¾-111o2¾-101
Underu2¾-108-u2¾-108u2¾-109u2¾-109u2¾-109u2¾-108u2¾+101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-101
Under-----u2¾+101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.9%
 
No53.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.91%
Exactly 226.48%
Exactly 411.79%
Exactly 62.10%
Exactly 80.20%
 
Exactly 122.91%
Exactly 320.40%
Exactly 55.45%
Exactly 70.69%
Exact Goals Scored - Go Ahead Eagles
Exactly 032.70%
Exactly 136.55%
Exactly 220.43%
Exactly 37.61%
Exactly 42.13%
Exactly 50.48%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 030.32%
Exactly 136.18%
Exactly 221.59%
Exactly 38.59%
Exactly 42.56%
Exactly 50.61%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.30%
Exactly 219.64%
Exactly 41.87%
 
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 37.01%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Go Ahead Eagles
Exactly 059.59%
Exactly 130.85%
Exactly 27.98%
Exactly 31.38%
Exactly 40.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 057.55%
Exactly 131.80%
Exactly 28.79%
Exactly 31.62%
Exactly 40.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Go Ahead Eagles
Wins by 2+ goals13.59%
Wins by 3+ goals4.14%
Wins by 4+ goals0.96%
Wins by 5+ goals0.14%
Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals16.02%
Wins by 3+ goals5.25%
Wins by 4+ goals1.37%
Wins by 5+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Go Ahead Eagles
Excelsior
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Go Ahead Eagles
Wins by 1 goal20.31%
Wins by 2 goals9.45%
Wins by 3 goals3.18%
Wins by 4 goals0.82%
Wins by 5 goals0.14%
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal21.69%
Wins by 2 goals10.77%
Wins by 3 goals3.88%
Wins by 4 goals1.09%
Wins by 5 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.09%9.91%
1.567.18%32.82%
2.540.70%59.30%
3.520.30%79.70%
4.58.51%91.49%
5.53.06%96.94%

Total Goals Go Ahead Eagles Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.30%32.70%
1.530.75%69.25%
2.510.32%89.68%
3.52.71%97.29%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.68%30.32%
1.533.50%66.50%
2.511.91%88.09%
3.53.32%96.68%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.70%34.30%
1.529.00%71.00%
2.59.36%90.64%
3.52.36%97.64%

Score Props

Correct Score

Go Ahead Eag
Excelsior
Score012345
0
9.91%
11.83%
7.06%
2.81%
0.84%
0.20%
1
11.08%
13.23%
7.89%
3.14%
0.94%
0.22%
2
6.19%
7.39%
4.41%
1.75%
0.52%
0.12%
3
2.31%
2.75%
1.64%
0.65%
0.20%
0.05%
4
0.65%
0.77%
0.46%
0.18%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.14%
0.17%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Go Ahead Eagles
1-011.08%
2-06.19%
2-17.39%
3-02.31%
3-12.75%
3-21.64%
4-00.65%
4-10.77%
4-20.46%
4-30.18%
5-00.14%
5-10.17%
5-20.10%
Draw
0-09.91%
1-113.23%
2-24.41%
3-30.65%
Excelsior
0-111.83%
0-27.06%
1-27.89%
0-32.81%
1-33.14%
2-31.75%
0-40.84%
1-40.94%
2-40.52%
3-40.20%
0-50.20%
1-50.22%
2-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Go Ahead Eag
Excelsior
Score01234
0
34.30%
18.95%
5.24%
0.96%
0.13%
1
17.75%
9.81%
2.71%
0.50%
0.07%
2
4.59%
2.54%
0.70%
0.13%
0.02%
3
0.79%
0.44%
0.12%
0.02%
0.00%
4
0.10%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Go Ahead Eagles
1-017.75%
2-04.59%
2-12.54%
3-00.79%
3-10.44%
3-20.12%
4-00.10%
Draw
0-034.30%
1-19.81%
2-20.70%
Excelsior
0-118.95%
0-25.24%
1-22.71%
0-30.96%
1-30.50%
2-30.13%
0-40.13%
AZ Alkmaar at Utrecht
Utrecht at Heracles Almelo