Heracles Almelo at Telstar

Updated

Heracles Almelo

13.1%22.6%64.3%
WinDrawTelstar Win
0.64Projected Goals 1.75
0Final Score 3

Telstar

Last 5 Games

Heracles Almelo
Money Line
L 0-1 at Zwolle
L 2-0 vs Volendam
L 3-0 vs Ajax
L 1-4 at Heerenveen
T 1-1 vs Excelsior
Telstar
Money Line
T 1-1 at NEC Nijmegen
W 1-4 vs Sparta Rotterdam
L 1-4 at Utrecht
L 2-0 vs Groningen
W 1-3 vs PSV Eindhoven

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.9%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heracles Almelo+625-+525+500+500+500+525+544.8
Telstar-300--230-233-233-233-230-186.6
Draw+460-+385+380+380+380+385+415.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heracles Almelo-----+544.8
Telstar------186.6
Draw-----+415.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Telstar: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heracles Almelo: 10.0%
Telstar: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Heracles Almelo: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
Telstar: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heracles Almelo ML moved from +480 to +460
Telstar ML moved from -220 to -230

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-125-o3¼-112o3½+113o3½+113o3½+113o3¼-112o3½+122
Underu3¼+105-u3¼-108u3½-133u3½-133u3½-133u3½-133u3½-122
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3½+122
Under-----u3½-122

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes39.1%
 
No60.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.14%
Exactly 226.16%
Exactly 412.48%
Exactly 62.38%
Exactly 80.24%
 
Exactly 121.86%
Exactly 320.86%
Exactly 55.97%
Exactly 70.81%
Exact Goals Scored - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 052.77%
Exactly 133.73%
Exactly 210.78%
Exactly 32.30%
Exactly 40.37%
Exact Goals Scored - Telstar
Exactly 017.31%
Exactly 130.36%
Exactly 226.62%
Exactly 315.56%
Exactly 46.82%
Exactly 52.39%
Exactly 60.70%
Exactly 70.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.03%
Exactly 220.27%
Exactly 42.07%
 
Exactly 136.59%
Exactly 37.48%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 074.38%
Exactly 122.01%
Exactly 23.26%
Exactly 30.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Telstar
Exactly 044.40%
Exactly 136.05%
Exactly 214.63%
Exactly 33.96%
Exactly 40.80%
Exactly 50.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Heracles Almelo
Wins by 2+ goals3.24%
Wins by 3+ goals0.57%
Telstar
Wins by 2+ goals37.40%
Wins by 3+ goals17.31%
Wins by 4+ goals6.52%
Wins by 5+ goals2.04%
Wins by 6+ goals0.52%

Exact Winning Margin

Heracles Almelo
Telstar
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 1 goal9.78%
Wins by 2 goals2.66%
Wins by 3 goals0.51%
Telstar
Wins by 1 goal26.85%
Wins by 2 goals20.09%
Wins by 3 goals10.79%
Wins by 4 goals4.49%
Wins by 5 goals1.52%
Wins by 6 goals0.43%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.86%9.14%
1.569.00%31.00%
2.542.84%57.16%
3.521.98%78.02%
4.59.50%90.50%
5.53.52%96.48%
6.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals Heracles Almelo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.547.23%52.77%
1.513.50%86.50%
2.52.72%97.28%

Total Goals Telstar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.69%17.31%
1.552.32%47.68%
2.525.70%74.30%
3.510.14%89.86%
4.53.31%96.69%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.97%33.03%
1.530.39%69.61%
2.510.12%89.88%
3.52.63%97.37%

Score Props

Correct Score

Heracles Almelo
Telstar
Score012345
0
9.14%
16.02%
14.05%
8.21%
3.60%
1.26%
1
5.84%
10.24%
8.98%
5.25%
2.30%
0.81%
2
1.87%
3.27%
2.87%
1.68%
0.74%
0.26%
3
0.40%
0.70%
0.61%
0.36%
0.16%
0.05%
Heracles Almelo
1-05.84%
2-01.87%
2-13.27%
3-00.40%
3-10.70%
3-20.61%
Draw
0-09.14%
1-110.24%
2-22.87%
3-30.36%
Telstar
0-116.02%
0-214.05%
1-28.98%
0-38.21%
1-35.25%
2-31.68%
0-43.60%
1-42.30%
2-40.74%
3-40.16%
0-51.26%
1-50.81%
2-50.26%

Correct Score - First Half

Heracles Almelo
Telstar
Score01234
0
33.03%
26.81%
10.89%
2.95%
0.60%
1
9.77%
7.94%
3.22%
0.87%
0.18%
2
1.45%
1.17%
0.48%
0.13%
0.03%
3
0.14%
0.12%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Heracles Almelo
1-09.77%
2-01.45%
2-11.17%
3-00.14%
3-10.12%
Draw
0-033.03%
1-17.94%
2-20.48%
Telstar
0-126.81%
0-210.89%
1-23.22%
0-32.95%
1-30.87%
2-30.13%
0-40.60%
1-40.18%
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