Telstar at NEC Nijmegen

Updated

Telstar

11.3%19.1%69.6%
WinDrawNEC Nijmegen Win
0.70Projected Goals 2.08
1Final Score 1

NEC Nijmegen

Last 5 Games

Telstar
Money Line
W 1-4 vs Sparta Rotterdam
L 1-4 at Utrecht
L 2-0 vs Groningen
W 1-3 vs PSV Eindhoven
L 0-3 at Heerenveen
NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
T 1-1 at Twente
T 1-1 vs Feyenoord
W 2-0 at Excelsior
T 2-2 vs Heerenveen
W 3-2 at PSV Eindhoven

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.2%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Telstar+500-+425+420+420+420+425+450.6
NEC Nijmegen-235--192-185-185-185-185-158.4
Draw+410-+365+360+360+360+365+387.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Telstar-----+450.6
NEC Nijmegen------158.4
Draw-----+387.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Telstar: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Telstar: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Telstar: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Telstar: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Telstar ML moved from +400 to +380
NEC Nijmegen ML moved from -179 to -185

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+100-o3½+102o3½+108o3½+108o3½+108o3½+108o3½+117
Underu3½-120-u3½-122u3½-128u3½-128u3½-128u3½-122u3½-117
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3½+117
Under-----u3½-117

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.0%
 
No56.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.19%
Exactly 223.96%
Exactly 415.46%
Exactly 63.99%
Exactly 80.55%
 
Exactly 117.22%
Exactly 322.22%
Exactly 58.60%
Exactly 71.59%
Exactly 90.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Telstar
Exactly 049.72%
Exactly 134.74%
Exactly 212.14%
Exactly 32.83%
Exactly 40.49%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 012.44%
Exactly 125.93%
Exactly 227.02%
Exactly 318.77%
Exactly 49.78%
Exactly 54.08%
Exactly 61.42%
Exactly 70.42%
Exactly 80.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.57%
Exactly 222.88%
Exactly 43.17%
Exactly 60.18%
 
Exactly 135.52%
Exactly 39.83%
Exactly 50.82%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Telstar
Exactly 072.36%
Exactly 123.41%
Exactly 23.79%
Exactly 30.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 038.10%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 217.74%
Exactly 35.70%
Exactly 41.38%
Exactly 50.27%

Alternate Props

Spread

Telstar
Wins by 2+ goals2.92%
Wins by 3+ goals0.54%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals44.73%
Wins by 3+ goals23.47%
Wins by 4+ goals10.20%
Wins by 5+ goals3.74%
Wins by 6+ goals1.17%
Wins by 7+ goals0.30%

Exact Winning Margin

Telstar
NEC Nijmegen
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Telstar
Wins by 1 goal8.33%
Wins by 2 goals2.38%
Wins by 3 goals0.48%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal24.86%
Wins by 2 goals21.26%
Wins by 3 goals13.27%
Wins by 4 goals6.46%
Wins by 5 goals2.57%
Wins by 6 goals0.86%
Wins by 7 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.81%6.19%
1.576.59%23.41%
2.552.64%47.36%
3.530.42%69.58%
4.514.96%85.04%
5.56.36%93.64%
6.52.37%97.63%

Total Goals Telstar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.550.28%49.72%
1.515.54%84.46%
2.53.40%96.60%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.56%12.44%
1.561.62%38.38%
2.534.60%65.40%
3.515.83%84.17%
4.56.05%93.95%
5.51.98%98.02%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.43%27.57%
1.536.90%63.10%
2.514.02%85.98%
3.54.19%95.81%
4.51.03%98.97%

Score Props

Correct Score

Telstar
NEC Nijmegen
Score012345
0
6.19%
12.89%
13.43%
9.33%
4.86%
2.03%
1
4.32%
9.01%
9.39%
6.52%
3.40%
1.42%
2
1.51%
3.15%
3.28%
2.28%
1.19%
0.49%
3
0.35%
0.73%
0.76%
0.53%
0.28%
0.12%
Telstar
1-04.32%
2-01.51%
2-13.15%
3-00.35%
3-10.73%
3-20.76%
Draw
0-06.19%
1-19.01%
2-23.28%
3-30.53%
NEC Nijmegen
0-112.89%
0-213.43%
1-29.39%
0-39.33%
1-36.52%
2-32.28%
0-44.86%
1-43.40%
2-41.19%
3-40.28%
0-52.03%
1-51.42%
2-50.49%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Telstar
NEC Nijmegen
Score012345
0
27.57%
26.60%
12.83%
4.13%
1.00%
0.19%
1
8.92%
8.61%
4.15%
1.34%
0.32%
0.06%
2
1.44%
1.39%
0.67%
0.22%
0.05%
0.01%
3
0.16%
0.15%
0.07%
0.02%
0.01%
0.00%
Telstar
1-08.92%
2-01.44%
2-11.39%
3-00.16%
3-10.15%
Draw
0-027.57%
1-18.61%
2-20.67%
NEC Nijmegen
0-126.60%
0-212.83%
1-24.15%
0-34.13%
1-31.34%
2-30.22%
0-41.00%
1-40.32%
0-50.19%
PSV Eindhoven at Ajax
Heerenveen at Volendam