Heerenveen at Groningen

Updated

Heerenveen

16.5%20.9%62.6%
WinDrawGroningen Win
0.92Projected Goals 2.00
1Final Score 2

Groningen

Last 5 Games

Heerenveen
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Volendam
L 1-4 at AZ Alkmaar
W 0-2 vs Feyenoord
L 0-1 at Go Ahead Eagles
L 1-3 at RKC Waalwijk
Groningen
Money Line
L 1-4 at AZ Alkmaar
L 0-2 at Zwolle
T 2-2 vs Ajax
L 0-3 at AZ Alkmaar
W 1-6 vs RKC Waalwijk

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heerenveen+228+234+225+215+233+215+234+231.3
Groningen+122+125+121+125+117+125+125+136.6
Draw+251+238+225+245+235+245+245+262.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heerenveen-----+231.3
Groningen-----+136.6
Draw-----+262.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Groningen: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heerenveen: 0.0%
Groningen: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heerenveen: 10.0%
Groningen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heerenveen ML moved from +242 to +234
Groningen ML moved from +114 to +103

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-106o2½-103o2½+100o2½-102o2½-102o2½-102o2½+100o2½+107
Underu2½-110u2½-114u2½-120u2½-118u2½-118u2½-118u2½-114u2½-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+107
Under-----u2½-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.9%
 
No48.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.42%
Exactly 223.03%
Exactly 416.31%
Exactly 64.62%
Exactly 80.70%
 
Exactly 115.80%
Exactly 322.38%
Exactly 59.51%
Exactly 71.92%
Exactly 90.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Heerenveen
Exactly 040.01%
Exactly 136.65%
Exactly 216.78%
Exactly 35.12%
Exactly 41.17%
Exactly 50.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Groningen
Exactly 013.54%
Exactly 127.08%
Exactly 227.07%
Exactly 318.04%
Exactly 49.02%
Exactly 53.60%
Exactly 61.20%
Exactly 70.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.93%
Exactly 223.62%
Exactly 43.59%
Exactly 60.22%
 
Exactly 135.00%
Exactly 310.63%
Exactly 50.97%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heerenveen
Exactly 065.44%
Exactly 127.75%
Exactly 25.88%
Exactly 30.83%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Groningen
Exactly 039.63%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 216.98%
Exactly 35.24%
Exactly 41.21%
Exactly 50.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Heerenveen
Wins by 2+ goals5.33%
Wins by 3+ goals1.32%
Wins by 4+ goals0.25%
Groningen
Wins by 2+ goals38.18%
Wins by 3+ goals19.02%
Wins by 4+ goals7.83%
Wins by 5+ goals2.68%
Wins by 6+ goals0.74%
Wins by 7+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Heerenveen
Groningen
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Heerenveen
Wins by 1 goal11.13%
Wins by 2 goals4.02%
Wins by 3 goals1.07%
Wins by 4 goals0.22%
Groningen
Wins by 1 goal24.29%
Wins by 2 goals19.15%
Wins by 3 goals11.19%
Wins by 4 goals5.15%
Wins by 5 goals1.94%
Wins by 6 goals0.61%
Wins by 7 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.58%5.42%
1.578.78%21.22%
2.555.75%44.25%
3.533.38%66.62%
4.517.07%82.93%
5.57.56%92.44%
6.52.94%97.06%
7.51.02%98.98%

Total Goals Heerenveen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.99%40.01%
1.523.34%76.66%
2.56.55%93.45%
3.51.43%98.57%

Total Goals Groningen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.46%13.54%
1.559.38%40.62%
2.532.31%67.69%
3.514.27%85.73%
4.55.26%94.74%
5.51.65%98.35%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.07%25.93%
1.539.07%60.93%
2.515.45%84.55%
3.54.82%95.18%
4.51.24%98.76%

Score Props

Correct Score

Heerenveen
Groningen
Score012345
0
5.42%
10.83%
10.83%
7.22%
3.61%
1.44%
1
4.96%
9.92%
9.92%
6.61%
3.30%
1.32%
2
2.27%
4.54%
4.54%
3.03%
1.51%
0.61%
3
0.69%
1.39%
1.39%
0.92%
0.46%
0.18%
4
0.16%
0.32%
0.32%
0.21%
0.11%
0.04%
Heerenveen
1-04.96%
2-02.27%
2-14.54%
3-00.69%
3-11.39%
3-21.39%
4-00.16%
4-10.32%
4-20.32%
4-30.21%
Draw
0-05.42%
1-19.92%
2-24.54%
3-30.92%
4-40.11%
Groningen
0-110.83%
0-210.83%
1-29.92%
0-37.22%
1-36.61%
2-33.03%
0-43.61%
1-43.30%
2-41.51%
3-40.46%
0-51.44%
1-51.32%
2-50.61%
3-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Heerenveen
Groningen
Score012345
0
25.93%
24.00%
11.11%
3.43%
0.79%
0.15%
1
11.00%
10.18%
4.71%
1.45%
0.34%
0.06%
2
2.33%
2.16%
1.00%
0.31%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.33%
0.31%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Heerenveen
1-011.00%
2-02.33%
2-12.16%
3-00.33%
3-10.31%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-025.93%
1-110.18%
2-21.00%
Groningen
0-124.00%
0-211.11%
1-24.71%
0-33.43%
1-31.45%
2-30.31%
0-40.79%
1-40.34%
0-50.15%