Ajax at Groningen

Updated

Ajax

61.2%21.2%17.6%
Ajax WinDrawWin
1.98Projected Goals 0.96
2Final Score 2

Groningen

Last 5 Games

Ajax
Money Line
L 3-0 vs NEC Nijmegen
T 1-1 vs Sparta Rotterdam
L 0-4 at Utrecht
W 2-1 at Willem II
W 1-3 vs NAC Breda
Groningen
Money Line
L 0-3 at AZ Alkmaar
W 1-6 vs RKC Waalwijk
W 1-4 vs Heracles Almelo
L 1-3 at Utrecht
L 3-1 vs PSV Eindhoven

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-225-158-160-170-172-165-158-141.2
Groningen+480+444+420+350+446+400+446+431.8
Draw+350+310+280+315+308+315+315+341.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax------141.2
Groningen-----+431.8
Draw-----+341.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Groningen: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 0.0%
Groningen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Groningen: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -172 to -178
Groningen ML moved from +450 to +433

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-117o2½-117o2½-118o2½-120o2¾+102o2½-120o2½-117o2½-109
Underu3-103u2½+100u2½-102u2½+100u2¾-124u2½+100u2¾-124u2½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-109
Under-----u2½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-103 to u2¾-110

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.2%
 
No46.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.28%
Exactly 222.84%
Exactly 416.47%
Exactly 64.75%
Exactly 80.73%
 
Exactly 115.53%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 59.69%
Exactly 72.00%
Exactly 90.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 013.76%
Exactly 127.30%
Exactly 227.07%
Exactly 317.89%
Exactly 48.87%
Exactly 53.52%
Exactly 61.16%
Exactly 70.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Groningen
Exactly 038.35%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 217.61%
Exactly 35.63%
Exactly 41.35%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.62%
Exactly 223.76%
Exactly 43.67%
Exactly 60.23%
 
Exactly 134.89%
Exactly 310.78%
Exactly 51.00%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 039.92%
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 216.83%
Exactly 35.15%
Exactly 41.18%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Groningen
Exactly 064.16%
Exactly 128.47%
Exactly 26.32%
Exactly 30.93%
Exactly 40.10%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals36.99%
Wins by 3+ goals18.26%
Wins by 4+ goals7.45%
Wins by 5+ goals2.53%
Groningen
Wins by 2+ goals5.88%
Wins by 3+ goals1.50%
Wins by 4+ goals0.29%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
Groningen
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal24.12%
Wins by 2 goals18.73%
Wins by 3 goals10.81%
Wins by 4 goals4.92%
Wins by 5 goals1.83%
Groningen
Wins by 1 goal11.65%
Wins by 2 goals4.37%
Wins by 3 goals1.21%
Wins by 4 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.72%5.28%
1.579.19%20.81%
2.556.36%43.64%
3.533.97%66.03%
4.517.50%82.50%
5.57.81%92.19%
6.53.06%96.94%
7.51.07%98.93%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.24%13.76%
1.558.94%41.06%
2.531.87%68.13%
3.513.98%86.02%
4.55.11%94.89%
5.51.60%98.40%

Total Goals Groningen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.65%38.35%
1.524.89%75.11%
2.57.28%92.72%
3.51.65%98.35%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.38%25.62%
1.539.49%60.51%
2.515.74%84.26%
3.54.95%95.05%
4.51.28%98.72%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
Groningen
Score01234
0
5.28%
5.06%
2.42%
0.77%
0.19%
1
10.47%
10.03%
4.81%
1.54%
0.37%
2
10.38%
9.95%
4.77%
1.52%
0.36%
3
6.86%
6.58%
3.15%
1.01%
0.24%
4
3.40%
3.26%
1.56%
0.50%
0.12%
5
1.35%
1.29%
0.62%
0.20%
0.05%
Ajax
1-010.47%
2-010.38%
2-19.95%
3-06.86%
3-16.58%
3-23.15%
4-03.40%
4-13.26%
4-21.56%
4-30.50%
5-01.35%
5-11.29%
5-20.62%
5-30.20%
Draw
0-05.28%
1-110.03%
2-24.77%
3-31.01%
4-40.12%
Groningen
0-15.06%
0-22.42%
1-24.81%
0-30.77%
1-31.54%
2-31.52%
0-40.19%
1-40.37%
2-40.36%
3-40.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
Groningen
Score0123
0
25.62%
11.37%
2.52%
0.37%
1
23.52%
10.44%
2.32%
0.34%
2
10.80%
4.79%
1.06%
0.16%
3
3.30%
1.47%
0.33%
0.05%
4
0.76%
0.34%
0.07%
0.01%
5
0.14%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Ajax
1-023.52%
2-010.80%
2-14.79%
3-03.30%
3-11.47%
3-20.33%
4-00.76%
4-10.34%
5-00.14%
Draw
0-025.62%
1-110.44%
2-21.06%
Groningen
0-111.37%
0-22.52%
1-22.32%
0-30.37%
1-30.34%
2-30.16%