Twente at Groningen

Updated

Twente

34.0%27.8%38.2%
Twente WinDrawGroningen Win
1.14Projected Goals 1.23
1Final Score 1

Groningen

Last 5 Games

Twente
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Ajax
T 3-3 at NEC Nijmegen
W 1-2 vs Heracles Almelo
W 2-3 vs Fortuna Sittard
W 5-1 at Sparta Rotterdam
Groningen
Money Line
W 2-1 at Fortuna Sittard
L 2-0 vs Sparta Rotterdam
W 2-1 at NAC Breda
L 1-0 vs Feyenoord
W 0-2 vs Telstar

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twente+147+132+138+141+130+130+138+143.7
Groningen+187+212+190+188+195+195+212+212.5
Draw+248+246+235+250+250+250+250+270.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twente-----+143.7
Groningen-----+212.5
Draw-----+270.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Groningen: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twente: 0.0%
Groningen: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Twente: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twente: 0.0%
Groningen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twente ML moved from +142 to +130
Groningen ML moved from +205 to +193

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-120o2½-119o2¾+100o2½-125o2½-125o2½-125o2½-119o2½-114
Underu2½+102u2½+101u2¾-120u2½+105u2½+105u2½+105u2¾-120u2½+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-114
Under-----u2½+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.2%
 
No51.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.33%
Exactly 226.25%
Exactly 412.30%
Exactly 62.31%
Exactly 80.23%
 
Exactly 122.13%
Exactly 320.75%
Exactly 55.84%
Exactly 70.78%
Exact Goals Scored - Twente
Exactly 031.90%
Exactly 136.45%
Exactly 220.82%
Exactly 37.93%
Exactly 42.26%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - Groningen
Exactly 029.25%
Exactly 135.96%
Exactly 222.10%
Exactly 39.06%
Exactly 42.78%
Exactly 50.68%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.35%
Exactly 220.11%
Exactly 42.02%
 
Exactly 136.62%
Exactly 37.36%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Twente
Exactly 058.92%
Exactly 131.17%
Exactly 28.24%
Exactly 31.45%
Exactly 40.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Groningen
Exactly 056.60%
Exactly 132.21%
Exactly 29.17%
Exactly 31.74%
Exactly 40.25%

Alternate Props

Spread

Twente
Wins by 2+ goals13.73%
Wins by 3+ goals4.25%
Wins by 4+ goals1.00%
Wins by 5+ goals0.15%
Groningen
Wins by 2+ goals16.53%
Wins by 3+ goals5.54%
Wins by 4+ goals1.48%
Wins by 5+ goals0.31%

Exact Winning Margin

Twente
Groningen
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Twente
Wins by 1 goal20.12%
Wins by 2 goals9.49%
Wins by 3 goals3.25%
Wins by 4 goals0.85%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%
Groningen
Wins by 1 goal21.65%
Wins by 2 goals10.99%
Wins by 3 goals4.06%
Wins by 4 goals1.17%
Wins by 5 goals0.27%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.67%9.33%
1.568.54%31.46%
2.542.29%57.71%
3.521.54%78.46%
4.59.24%90.76%
5.53.40%96.60%
6.51.09%98.91%

Total Goals Twente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.10%31.90%
1.531.65%68.35%
2.510.83%89.17%
3.52.90%97.10%

Total Goals Groningen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.75%29.25%
1.534.79%65.21%
2.512.69%87.31%
3.53.64%96.36%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.65%33.35%
1.530.03%69.97%
2.59.92%90.08%
3.52.56%97.44%

Score Props

Correct Score

Twente
Groningen
Score012345
0
9.33%
11.47%
7.05%
2.89%
0.89%
0.22%
1
10.66%
13.11%
8.06%
3.30%
1.01%
0.25%
2
6.09%
7.49%
4.60%
1.89%
0.58%
0.14%
3
2.32%
2.85%
1.75%
0.72%
0.22%
0.05%
4
0.66%
0.81%
0.50%
0.21%
0.06%
0.02%
5
0.15%
0.19%
0.11%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Twente
1-010.66%
2-06.09%
2-17.49%
3-02.32%
3-12.85%
3-21.75%
4-00.66%
4-10.81%
4-20.50%
4-30.21%
5-00.15%
5-10.19%
5-20.11%
Draw
0-09.33%
1-113.11%
2-24.60%
3-30.72%
Groningen
0-111.47%
0-27.05%
1-28.06%
0-32.89%
1-33.30%
2-31.89%
0-40.89%
1-41.01%
2-40.58%
3-40.22%
0-50.22%
1-50.25%
2-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Twente
Groningen
Score01234
0
33.35%
18.98%
5.40%
1.02%
0.15%
1
17.64%
10.04%
2.86%
0.54%
0.08%
2
4.67%
2.66%
0.76%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.82%
0.47%
0.13%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.11%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Twente
1-017.64%
2-04.67%
2-12.66%
3-00.82%
3-10.47%
3-20.13%
4-00.11%
Draw
0-033.35%
1-110.04%
2-20.76%
Groningen
0-118.98%
0-25.40%
1-22.86%
0-31.02%
1-30.54%
2-30.14%
0-40.15%
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