Ajax at Twente

Updated

Ajax

32.0%25.9%42.0%
Ajax WinDrawTwente Win
1.22Projected Goals 1.43
3Final Score 2

Twente

Last 5 Games

Ajax
Money Line
L 2-0 vs AZ Alkmaar
T 3-3 at Sparta Rotterdam
W 1-2 vs NAC Breda
T 2-2 at PSV Eindhoven
W 1-3 vs Zwolle
Twente
Money Line
T 3-3 at NEC Nijmegen
W 1-2 vs Heracles Almelo
W 2-3 vs Fortuna Sittard
W 5-1 at Sparta Rotterdam
T 2-2 vs NAC Breda

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax+168+182+178+180+180+180+182+194.8
Twente+149+147+139+144+144+144+147+156.9
Draw+277+258+250+250+250+250+258+268.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-----+194.8
Twente-----+156.9
Draw-----+268.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 0.0%
Twente: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Twente: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from +188 to +182
Twente ML moved from +135 to +128

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-109o3+116o2¾-125o2¾-110o2¾-110o2¾-110o2¾-110o2¾+100
Underu3-107u3-136u2¾+105u2¾-110u2¾-110u2¾-110u2¾+105u2¾+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+100
Under-----u2¾+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-120 to u2¾-110

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.5%
 
No46.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.08%
Exactly 224.82%
Exactly 414.50%
Exactly 63.39%
Exactly 80.42%
 
Exactly 118.75%
Exactly 321.91%
Exactly 57.68%
Exactly 71.28%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 029.65%
Exactly 136.05%
Exactly 221.91%
Exactly 38.88%
Exactly 42.70%
Exactly 50.66%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Twente
Exactly 023.89%
Exactly 134.20%
Exactly 224.48%
Exactly 311.68%
Exactly 44.18%
Exactly 51.20%
Exactly 60.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.36%
Exactly 222.05%
Exactly 42.76%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.98%
Exactly 39.01%
Exactly 50.68%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 056.96%
Exactly 132.06%
Exactly 29.02%
Exactly 31.69%
Exactly 40.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Twente
Exactly 051.54%
Exactly 134.16%
Exactly 211.32%
Exactly 32.50%
Exactly 40.41%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals13.37%
Wins by 3+ goals4.36%
Wins by 4+ goals1.14%
Wins by 5+ goals0.23%
Twente
Wins by 2+ goals20.04%
Wins by 3+ goals7.54%
Wins by 4+ goals2.28%
Wins by 5+ goals0.54%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
Twente
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal18.62%
Wins by 2 goals9.01%
Wins by 3 goals3.22%
Wins by 4 goals0.90%
Wins by 5 goals0.20%
Twente
Wins by 1 goal21.93%
Wins by 2 goals12.50%
Wins by 3 goals5.26%
Wins by 4 goals1.73%
Wins by 5 goals0.46%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.92%7.08%
1.574.16%25.84%
2.549.34%50.66%
3.527.43%72.57%
4.512.94%87.06%
5.55.26%94.74%
6.51.87%98.13%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.35%29.65%
1.534.30%65.70%
2.512.39%87.61%
3.53.51%96.49%

Total Goals Twente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.11%23.89%
1.541.90%58.10%
2.517.42%82.58%
3.55.74%94.26%
4.51.55%98.45%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.64%29.36%
1.534.66%65.34%
2.512.61%87.39%
3.53.60%96.40%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
Twente
Score012345
0
7.08%
10.14%
7.26%
3.46%
1.24%
0.36%
1
8.61%
12.33%
8.83%
4.21%
1.51%
0.43%
2
5.23%
7.49%
5.36%
2.56%
0.92%
0.26%
3
2.12%
3.04%
2.17%
1.04%
0.37%
0.11%
4
0.64%
0.92%
0.66%
0.32%
0.11%
0.03%
5
0.16%
0.22%
0.16%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
Ajax
1-08.61%
2-05.23%
2-17.49%
3-02.12%
3-13.04%
3-22.17%
4-00.64%
4-10.92%
4-20.66%
4-30.32%
5-00.16%
5-10.22%
5-20.16%
Draw
0-07.08%
1-112.33%
2-25.36%
3-31.04%
4-40.11%
Twente
0-110.14%
0-27.26%
1-28.83%
0-33.46%
1-34.21%
2-32.56%
0-41.24%
1-41.51%
2-40.92%
3-40.37%
0-50.36%
1-50.43%
2-50.26%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
Twente
Score01234
0
29.36%
19.46%
6.45%
1.42%
0.24%
1
16.52%
10.95%
3.63%
0.80%
0.13%
2
4.65%
3.08%
1.02%
0.23%
0.04%
3
0.87%
0.58%
0.19%
0.04%
0.01%
4
0.12%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Ajax
1-016.52%
2-04.65%
2-13.08%
3-00.87%
3-10.58%
3-20.19%
4-00.12%
Draw
0-029.36%
1-110.95%
2-21.02%
Twente
0-119.46%
0-26.45%
1-23.63%
0-31.42%
1-30.80%
2-30.23%
0-40.24%
1-40.13%