Ajax at NAC Breda

Updated

Ajax

48.1%22.3%29.6%
Ajax WinDrawNAC Breda Win
1.89Projected Goals 1.45
2Final Score 0

NAC Breda

Last 5 Games

Ajax
Money Line
W 3-0 at Heracles Almelo
L 2-1 vs Twente
T 1-1 at Feyenoord
W 0-4 vs Sparta Rotterdam
L 1-3 at Groningen
NAC Breda
Money Line
T 1-1 at Fortuna Sittard
T 0-0 vs Sparta Rotterdam
L 1-2 at Zwolle
L 0-6 at Go Ahead Eagles
T 3-3 vs Feyenoord

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.1%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-106-+107+108+108+108+108+119.9
NAC Breda+240-+225+235+235+235+235+254.1
Draw+285-+265+260+260+260+265+280.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-----+119.9
NAC Breda-----+254.1
Draw-----+280.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NAC Breda: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 0.0%
NAC Breda: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Ajax: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
NAC Breda: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -104 to -111
NAC Breda ML moved from +240 to +230

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-118-o3-105o3-109o3-109o3-109o3-105o3+101
Underu2¾-102-u3-115u3-111u3-111u3-111u3-111u3-101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+101
Under-----u3-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes65.0%
 
No35.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.54%
Exactly 219.76%
Exactly 418.38%
Exactly 66.84%
Exactly 81.36%
Exactly 100.17%
 
Exactly 111.83%
Exactly 322.00%
Exactly 512.28%
Exactly 73.26%
Exactly 90.51%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 015.07%
Exactly 128.52%
Exactly 226.99%
Exactly 317.02%
Exactly 48.05%
Exactly 53.05%
Exactly 60.96%
Exactly 70.26%
Exact Goals Scored - NAC Breda
Exactly 023.49%
Exactly 134.03%
Exactly 224.65%
Exactly 311.90%
Exactly 44.31%
Exactly 51.25%
Exactly 60.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 021.29%
Exactly 225.47%
Exactly 45.08%
Exactly 60.41%
 
Exactly 132.94%
Exactly 313.13%
Exactly 51.57%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 041.64%
Exactly 136.48%
Exactly 215.98%
Exactly 34.67%
Exactly 41.02%
Exactly 50.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NAC Breda
Exactly 051.14%
Exactly 134.30%
Exactly 211.50%
Exactly 32.57%
Exactly 40.43%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals26.82%
Wins by 3+ goals12.29%
Wins by 4+ goals4.68%
Wins by 5+ goals1.48%
Wins by 6+ goals0.38%
NAC Breda
Wins by 2+ goals13.33%
Wins by 3+ goals4.82%
Wins by 4+ goals1.41%
Wins by 5+ goals0.32%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
NAC Breda
6
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal21.18%
Wins by 2 goals14.52%
Wins by 3 goals7.61%
Wins by 4 goals3.20%
Wins by 5 goals1.11%
Wins by 6 goals0.31%
NAC Breda
Wins by 1 goal16.21%
Wins by 2 goals8.51%
Wins by 3 goals3.41%
Wins by 4 goals1.09%
Wins by 5 goals0.27%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.46%3.54%
1.584.63%15.37%
2.564.87%35.13%
3.542.87%57.13%
4.524.49%75.51%
5.512.21%87.79%
6.55.37%94.63%
7.52.11%97.89%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.93%15.07%
1.556.40%43.60%
2.529.42%70.58%
3.512.40%87.60%
4.54.35%95.65%
5.51.30%98.70%

Total Goals NAC Breda Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.51%23.49%
1.542.48%57.52%
2.517.84%82.16%
3.55.94%94.06%
4.51.63%98.37%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.71%21.29%
1.545.77%54.23%
2.520.30%79.70%
3.57.17%92.83%
4.52.09%97.91%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
NAC Breda
Score012345
0
3.54%
5.13%
3.71%
1.79%
0.65%
0.19%
1
6.70%
9.71%
7.03%
3.39%
1.23%
0.36%
2
6.34%
9.18%
6.65%
3.21%
1.16%
0.34%
3
4.00%
5.79%
4.20%
2.03%
0.73%
0.21%
4
1.89%
2.74%
1.98%
0.96%
0.35%
0.10%
5
0.72%
1.04%
0.75%
0.36%
0.13%
0.04%
6
0.23%
0.33%
0.24%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
Ajax
1-06.70%
2-06.34%
2-19.18%
3-04.00%
3-15.79%
3-24.20%
4-01.89%
4-12.74%
4-21.98%
4-30.96%
5-00.72%
5-11.04%
5-20.75%
5-30.36%
5-40.13%
6-00.23%
6-10.33%
6-20.24%
6-30.11%
Draw
0-03.54%
1-19.71%
2-26.65%
3-32.03%
4-40.35%
NAC Breda
0-15.13%
0-23.71%
1-27.03%
0-31.79%
1-33.39%
2-33.21%
0-40.65%
1-41.23%
2-41.16%
3-40.73%
0-50.19%
1-50.36%
2-50.34%
3-50.21%
4-50.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
NAC Breda
Score01234
0
21.29%
14.28%
4.79%
1.07%
0.18%
1
18.65%
12.51%
4.20%
0.94%
0.16%
2
8.17%
5.48%
1.84%
0.41%
0.07%
3
2.39%
1.60%
0.54%
0.12%
0.02%
4
0.52%
0.35%
0.12%
0.03%
0.00%
Ajax
1-018.65%
2-08.17%
2-15.48%
3-02.39%
3-11.60%
3-20.54%
4-00.52%
4-10.35%
4-20.12%
Draw
0-021.29%
1-112.51%
2-21.84%
3-30.12%
NAC Breda
0-114.28%
0-24.79%
1-24.20%
0-31.07%
1-30.94%
2-30.41%
0-40.18%
1-40.16%
Fortuna Sittard at Heerenveen
NEC Nijmegen at Twente