Sparta R'dam at NEC Nijmegen

Updated

Sparta Rotterdam

18.2%22.3%59.5%
WinDrawNEC Nijmegen Win
0.92Projected Goals 1.87
1Final Score 3

NEC Nijmegen

Last 5 Games

Sparta Rotterdam
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Fortuna Sittard
L 0-1 at Zwolle
L 1-0 vs AZ Alkmaar
W 0-1 vs Telstar
W 2-0 at Groningen
NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
W 4-2 at Feyenoord
W 0-2 vs Groningen
L 0-1 at Utrecht
T 2-2 at Zwolle
T 3-3 vs Twente

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sparta R'dam+375-+400+360+360+360+400+396.6
NEC Nijmegen-165--168-170-170-170-168-139.9
Draw+335-+325+330+330+330+330+364.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sparta R'dam-----+396.6
NEC Nijmegen------139.9
Draw-----+364.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sparta R'dam: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sparta R'dam: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sparta R'dam: 10.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sparta R'dam ML moved from +380 to +360
NEC Nijmegen ML moved from -161 to -170

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-102-o3¼-108o3¼-111o3¼-112o3¼-111o3¼-108o3¼-101
Underu3¼-118-u3¼-112u3¼-109u3¼-108u3¼-109u3¼-108u3¼+101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼-101
Under-----u3¼+101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.9%
 
No49.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.14%
Exactly 223.91%
Exactly 415.50%
Exactly 64.02%
Exactly 80.56%
 
Exactly 117.14%
Exactly 322.23%
Exactly 58.65%
Exactly 71.60%
Exactly 90.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Sparta Rotterdam
Exactly 039.74%
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 216.92%
Exactly 35.21%
Exactly 41.20%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 015.46%
Exactly 128.87%
Exactly 226.94%
Exactly 316.76%
Exactly 47.82%
Exactly 52.92%
Exactly 60.91%
Exactly 70.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.48%
Exactly 222.92%
Exactly 43.19%
Exactly 60.18%
 
Exactly 135.50%
Exactly 39.87%
Exactly 50.82%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sparta Rotterdam
Exactly 065.23%
Exactly 127.87%
Exactly 25.95%
Exactly 30.85%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 042.14%
Exactly 136.42%
Exactly 215.74%
Exactly 34.53%
Exactly 40.98%
Exactly 50.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sparta Rotterdam
Wins by 2+ goals5.98%
Wins by 3+ goals1.50%
Wins by 4+ goals0.28%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals34.84%
Wins by 3+ goals16.50%
Wins by 4+ goals6.43%
Wins by 5+ goals2.08%
Wins by 6+ goals0.55%

Exact Winning Margin

Sparta Rotterdam
NEC Nijmegen
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Sparta Rotterdam
Wins by 1 goal12.18%
Wins by 2 goals4.48%
Wins by 3 goals1.21%
Wins by 4 goals0.25%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal24.63%
Wins by 2 goals18.34%
Wins by 3 goals10.07%
Wins by 4 goals4.35%
Wins by 5 goals1.53%
Wins by 6 goals0.45%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.86%6.14%
1.576.71%23.29%
2.552.81%47.19%
3.530.57%69.43%
4.515.07%84.93%
5.56.42%93.58%
6.52.40%97.60%

Total Goals Sparta Rotterdam Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.26%39.74%
1.523.59%76.41%
2.56.67%93.33%
3.51.46%98.54%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.54%15.46%
1.555.67%44.33%
2.528.73%71.27%
3.511.97%88.03%
4.54.14%95.86%
5.51.22%98.78%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.52%27.48%
1.537.02%62.98%
2.514.09%85.91%
3.54.23%95.77%
4.51.04%98.96%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sparta R'dam
NEC Nijmegen
Score012345
0
6.14%
11.47%
10.71%
6.66%
3.11%
1.16%
1
5.67%
10.59%
9.88%
6.15%
2.87%
1.07%
2
2.62%
4.88%
4.56%
2.84%
1.32%
0.49%
3
0.81%
1.50%
1.40%
0.87%
0.41%
0.15%
4
0.19%
0.35%
0.32%
0.20%
0.09%
0.04%
Sparta Rotterdam
1-05.67%
2-02.62%
2-14.88%
3-00.81%
3-11.50%
3-21.40%
4-00.19%
4-10.35%
4-20.32%
4-30.20%
Draw
0-06.14%
1-110.59%
2-24.56%
3-30.87%
NEC Nijmegen
0-111.47%
0-210.71%
1-29.88%
0-36.66%
1-36.15%
2-32.84%
0-43.11%
1-42.87%
2-41.32%
3-40.41%
0-51.16%
1-51.07%
2-50.49%
3-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Sparta R'dam
NEC Nijmegen
Score012345
0
27.48%
23.75%
10.26%
2.96%
0.64%
0.11%
1
11.74%
10.15%
4.39%
1.26%
0.27%
0.05%
2
2.51%
2.17%
0.94%
0.27%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.36%
0.31%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Sparta Rotterdam
1-011.74%
2-02.51%
2-12.17%
3-00.36%
3-10.31%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-027.48%
1-110.15%
2-20.94%
NEC Nijmegen
0-123.75%
0-210.26%
1-24.39%
0-32.96%
1-31.26%
2-30.27%
0-40.64%
1-40.27%
0-50.11%