Groningen at NEC Nijmegen

Updated

Groningen

20.1%23.9%55.9%
Groningen WinDrawNEC Nijmegen Win
0.92Projected Goals 1.70
0Final Score 2

NEC Nijmegen

Last 5 Games

Groningen
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Twente
W 2-1 at Fortuna Sittard
L 2-0 vs Sparta Rotterdam
W 2-1 at NAC Breda
L 1-0 vs Feyenoord
NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
L 0-1 at Utrecht
T 2-2 at Zwolle
T 3-3 vs Twente
T 1-1 at Go Ahead Eagles
W 1-2 vs AZ Alkmaar

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Groningen+269+268+255+225+225+225+268+254.5
NEC Nijmegen-105+101+102+101+101+101+102+119.3
Draw+289+270+250+250+250+250+270+281.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Groningen-----+254.5
NEC Nijmegen-----+119.3
Draw-----+281.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Groningen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Groningen: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Groningen: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Groningen: 20.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Groningen ML moved from +260 to +250
NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +103 to -101

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+114o3+118o2¾-122o2¾-128o2¾-126o2¾-128o3+118o2¾-117
Underu3-134u3-138u2¾+102u2¾+108u2¾+106u2¾+108u2¾+108u2¾+117
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-117
Under-----u2¾+117

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.1%
 
No50.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.27%
Exactly 224.98%
Exactly 414.30%
Exactly 63.27%
Exactly 80.40%
 
Exactly 119.06%
Exactly 321.83%
Exactly 57.50%
Exactly 71.23%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Groningen
Exactly 039.97%
Exactly 136.65%
Exactly 216.80%
Exactly 35.14%
Exactly 41.18%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 018.19%
Exactly 131.00%
Exactly 226.42%
Exactly 315.01%
Exactly 46.39%
Exactly 52.18%
Exactly 60.62%
Exactly 70.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.71%
Exactly 221.88%
Exactly 42.69%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.06%
Exactly 38.85%
Exactly 50.65%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Groningen
Exactly 065.41%
Exactly 127.77%
Exactly 25.89%
Exactly 30.83%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 045.43%
Exactly 135.84%
Exactly 214.14%
Exactly 33.72%
Exactly 40.73%
Exactly 50.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Groningen
Wins by 2+ goals6.67%
Wins by 3+ goals1.68%
Wins by 4+ goals0.32%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals30.95%
Wins by 3+ goals13.69%
Wins by 4+ goals4.95%
Wins by 5+ goals1.49%
Wins by 6+ goals0.36%

Exact Winning Margin

Groningen
NEC Nijmegen
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Groningen
Wins by 1 goal13.43%
Wins by 2 goals4.99%
Wins by 3 goals1.36%
Wins by 4 goals0.28%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal24.95%
Wins by 2 goals17.25%
Wins by 3 goals8.74%
Wins by 4 goals3.47%
Wins by 5 goals1.12%
Wins by 6 goals0.30%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.73%7.27%
1.573.66%26.34%
2.548.68%51.32%
3.526.86%73.14%
4.512.56%87.44%
5.55.06%94.94%
6.51.78%98.22%

Total Goals Groningen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.03%39.97%
1.523.37%76.63%
2.56.57%93.43%
3.51.43%98.57%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.81%18.19%
1.550.80%49.20%
2.524.38%75.62%
3.59.38%90.62%
4.52.99%97.01%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.29%29.71%
1.534.23%65.77%
2.512.35%87.65%
3.53.50%96.50%

Score Props

Correct Score

Groningen
NEC Nijmegen
Score012345
0
7.27%
12.39%
10.56%
6.00%
2.56%
0.87%
1
6.67%
11.36%
9.68%
5.50%
2.34%
0.80%
2
3.06%
5.21%
4.44%
2.52%
1.07%
0.37%
3
0.93%
1.59%
1.36%
0.77%
0.33%
0.11%
4
0.21%
0.37%
0.31%
0.18%
0.08%
0.03%
Groningen
1-06.67%
2-03.06%
2-15.21%
3-00.93%
3-11.59%
3-21.36%
4-00.21%
4-10.37%
4-20.31%
4-30.18%
Draw
0-07.27%
1-111.36%
2-24.44%
3-30.77%
NEC Nijmegen
0-112.39%
0-210.56%
1-29.68%
0-36.00%
1-35.50%
2-32.52%
0-42.56%
1-42.34%
2-41.07%
3-40.33%
0-50.87%
1-50.80%
2-50.37%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Groningen
NEC Nijmegen
Score01234
0
29.71%
23.44%
9.25%
2.43%
0.48%
1
12.62%
9.95%
3.93%
1.03%
0.20%
2
2.68%
2.11%
0.83%
0.22%
0.04%
3
0.38%
0.30%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
Groningen
1-012.62%
2-02.68%
2-12.11%
3-00.38%
3-10.30%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-029.71%
1-19.95%
2-20.83%
NEC Nijmegen
0-123.44%
0-29.25%
1-23.93%
0-32.43%
1-31.03%
2-30.22%
0-40.48%
1-40.20%
Ajax at Utrecht
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