Utrecht at Excelsior

Updated

Utrecht

42.9%26.2%30.8%
Utrecht WinDrawExcelsior Win
1.42Projected Goals 1.16
0Final Score 5

Excelsior

Last 5 Games

Utrecht
Money Line
W 1-4 vs Telstar
L 3-4 at PSV Eindhoven
W 0-2 vs Go Ahead Eagles
W 2-0 at Twente
T 0-0 at Heracles Almelo
Excelsior
Money Line
T 2-2 at Zwolle
L 2-0 vs NEC Nijmegen
T 1-1 at Heracles Almelo
L 1-2 at Feyenoord
L 2-1 vs Heerenveen

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Utrecht+122-+117+124+124+124+124+136.9
Excelsior+205-+225+220+220+220+225+238.4
Draw+250-+240+235+235+235+240+254.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Utrecht-----+136.9
Excelsior-----+238.4
Draw-----+254.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Utrecht: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Utrecht: 0.0%
Excelsior: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Utrecht: 0.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Utrecht ML
Excelsior ML moved from +230 to +220

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-105-o2¾-110o2¾-114o2¾-114o2¾-114o2¾-110o2¾-104
Underu2¾-115-u2¾-110u2¾-106u2¾-106u2¾-106u2¾-106u2¾+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-104
Under-----u2¾+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.1%
 
No47.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.57%
Exactly 225.22%
Exactly 413.99%
Exactly 63.11%
Exactly 80.37%
 
Exactly 119.54%
Exactly 321.69%
Exactly 57.22%
Exactly 71.15%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Utrecht
Exactly 024.19%
Exactly 134.33%
Exactly 224.36%
Exactly 311.53%
Exactly 44.09%
Exactly 51.16%
Exactly 60.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 031.31%
Exactly 136.36%
Exactly 221.11%
Exactly 38.17%
Exactly 42.37%
Exactly 50.55%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.27%
Exactly 221.61%
Exactly 42.57%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.17%
Exactly 38.61%
Exactly 50.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Utrecht
Exactly 051.83%
Exactly 134.06%
Exactly 211.19%
Exactly 32.45%
Exactly 40.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 058.41%
Exactly 131.41%
Exactly 28.44%
Exactly 31.51%
Exactly 40.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Utrecht
Wins by 2+ goals20.46%
Wins by 3+ goals7.67%
Wins by 4+ goals2.31%
Wins by 5+ goals0.55%
Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals12.48%
Wins by 3+ goals3.92%
Wins by 4+ goals0.98%
Wins by 5+ goals0.20%

Exact Winning Margin

Utrecht
Excelsior
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Utrecht
Wins by 1 goal22.40%
Wins by 2 goals12.78%
Wins by 3 goals5.36%
Wins by 4 goals1.76%
Wins by 5 goals0.46%
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal18.33%
Wins by 2 goals8.56%
Wins by 3 goals2.94%
Wins by 4 goals0.79%
Wins by 5 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.43%7.57%
1.572.89%27.11%
2.547.67%52.33%
3.525.98%74.02%
4.511.99%88.01%
5.54.76%95.24%
6.51.66%98.34%

Total Goals Utrecht Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.81%24.19%
1.541.48%58.52%
2.517.12%82.88%
3.55.59%94.41%
4.51.50%98.50%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.69%31.31%
1.532.33%67.67%
2.511.22%88.78%
3.53.05%96.95%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.73%30.27%
1.533.55%66.45%
2.511.94%88.06%
3.53.33%96.67%

Score Props

Correct Score

Utrecht
Excelsior
Score012345
0
7.57%
8.79%
5.11%
1.98%
0.57%
0.13%
1
10.75%
12.48%
7.25%
2.81%
0.81%
0.19%
2
7.63%
8.86%
5.14%
1.99%
0.58%
0.13%
3
3.61%
4.19%
2.43%
0.94%
0.27%
0.06%
4
1.28%
1.49%
0.86%
0.33%
0.10%
0.02%
5
0.36%
0.42%
0.25%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
Utrecht
1-010.75%
2-07.63%
2-18.86%
3-03.61%
3-14.19%
3-22.43%
4-01.28%
4-11.49%
4-20.86%
4-30.33%
5-00.36%
5-10.42%
5-20.25%
Draw
0-07.57%
1-112.48%
2-25.14%
3-30.94%
Excelsior
0-18.79%
0-25.11%
1-27.25%
0-31.98%
1-32.81%
2-31.99%
0-40.57%
1-40.81%
2-40.58%
3-40.27%
0-50.13%
1-50.19%
2-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Utrecht
Excelsior
Score01234
0
30.27%
16.28%
4.38%
0.78%
0.11%
1
19.90%
10.70%
2.88%
0.52%
0.07%
2
6.54%
3.52%
0.95%
0.17%
0.02%
3
1.43%
0.77%
0.21%
0.04%
0.00%
4
0.24%
0.13%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Utrecht
1-019.90%
2-06.54%
2-13.52%
3-01.43%
3-10.77%
3-20.21%
4-00.24%
4-10.13%
Draw
0-030.27%
1-110.70%
2-20.95%
Excelsior
0-116.28%
0-24.38%
1-22.88%
0-30.78%
1-30.52%
2-30.17%
0-40.11%