Excelsior at Zwolle

Updated

Excelsior

30.1%27.4%42.5%
Excelsior WinDrawZwolle Win
1.07Projected Goals 1.33
2Final Score 2

Zwolle

Last 5 Games

Excelsior
Money Line
L 2-0 vs NEC Nijmegen
T 1-1 at Heracles Almelo
L 1-2 at Feyenoord
L 2-1 vs Heerenveen
L 1-0 vs Go Ahead Eagles
Zwolle
Money Line
L 0-5 at Go Ahead Eagles
W 1-2 vs NAC Breda
T 1-1 vs Groningen
T 1-1 at Sparta Rotterdam
T 0-0 vs Ajax

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:6.1%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior+200-+205+205+205+205+205+227.2
Zwolle+112-+128+124+124+124+128+140.3
Draw+285-+235+235+235+235+235+259.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior-----+227.2
Zwolle-----+140.3
Draw-----+259.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Zwolle: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Excelsior: 0.0%
Zwolle: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Excelsior: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Excelsior: 0.0%
Zwolle: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Excelsior ML moved from +205 to +195
No Steam Moves On Zwolle ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+102-o2¾-110o2¾-115o2¾-115o2¾-115o2¾-110o2¾-104
Underu3-122-u2¾-110u2¾-105u2¾-105u2¾-105u2¾-105u2¾+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-104
Under-----u2¾+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.2%
 
No51.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.12%
Exactly 226.15%
Exactly 412.50%
Exactly 62.39%
Exactly 80.24%
 
Exactly 121.83%
Exactly 320.88%
Exactly 55.99%
Exactly 70.82%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 034.34%
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 219.61%
Exactly 36.99%
Exactly 41.87%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - Zwolle
Exactly 026.55%
Exactly 135.21%
Exactly 223.35%
Exactly 310.32%
Exactly 43.42%
Exactly 50.91%
Exactly 60.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.99%
Exactly 220.28%
Exactly 42.08%
 
Exactly 136.58%
Exactly 37.50%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 060.97%
Exactly 130.17%
Exactly 27.46%
Exactly 31.23%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Zwolle
Exactly 054.11%
Exactly 133.23%
Exactly 210.20%
Exactly 32.09%
Exactly 40.32%

Alternate Props

Spread

Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals11.49%
Wins by 3+ goals3.35%
Wins by 4+ goals0.74%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%
Zwolle
Wins by 2+ goals19.54%
Wins by 3+ goals7.00%
Wins by 4+ goals2.00%
Wins by 5+ goals0.45%

Exact Winning Margin

Excelsior
Zwolle
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal18.49%
Wins by 2 goals8.14%
Wins by 3 goals2.61%
Wins by 4 goals0.64%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%
Zwolle
Wins by 1 goal22.94%
Wins by 2 goals12.55%
Wins by 3 goals4.99%
Wins by 4 goals1.55%
Wins by 5 goals0.39%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.88%9.12%
1.569.05%30.95%
2.542.90%57.10%
3.522.02%77.98%
4.59.53%90.47%
5.53.54%96.46%
6.51.15%98.85%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.66%34.34%
1.528.95%71.05%
2.59.34%90.66%
3.52.35%97.65%

Total Goals Zwolle Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.45%26.55%
1.538.25%61.75%
2.514.90%85.10%
3.54.58%95.42%
4.51.15%98.85%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.01%32.99%
1.530.42%69.58%
2.510.14%89.86%
3.52.64%97.36%

Score Props

Correct Score

Excelsior
Zwolle
Score012345
0
9.12%
12.09%
8.02%
3.55%
1.18%
0.31%
1
9.74%
12.92%
8.57%
3.79%
1.26%
0.33%
2
5.21%
6.91%
4.58%
2.02%
0.67%
0.18%
3
1.85%
2.46%
1.63%
0.72%
0.24%
0.06%
4
0.50%
0.66%
0.44%
0.19%
0.06%
0.02%
5
0.11%
0.14%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Excelsior
1-09.74%
2-05.21%
2-16.91%
3-01.85%
3-12.46%
3-21.63%
4-00.50%
4-10.66%
4-20.44%
4-30.19%
5-00.11%
5-10.14%
Draw
0-09.12%
1-112.92%
2-24.58%
3-30.72%
Zwolle
0-112.09%
0-28.02%
1-28.57%
0-33.55%
1-33.79%
2-32.02%
0-41.18%
1-41.26%
2-40.67%
3-40.24%
0-50.31%
1-50.33%
2-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Excelsior
Zwolle
Score01234
0
32.99%
20.26%
6.22%
1.27%
0.20%
1
16.33%
10.03%
3.08%
0.63%
0.10%
2
4.04%
2.48%
0.76%
0.16%
0.02%
3
0.67%
0.41%
0.13%
0.03%
0.00%
Excelsior
1-016.33%
2-04.04%
2-12.48%
3-00.67%
3-10.41%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-032.99%
1-110.03%
2-20.76%
Zwolle
0-120.26%
0-26.22%
1-23.08%
0-31.27%
1-30.63%
2-30.16%
0-40.20%
NAC Breda at Fortuna Sittard
Feyenoord at NEC Nijmegen