AZ Alkmaar at Heracles Almelo

Updated

AZ Alkmaar

57.4%22.2%20.4%
AZ Alkmaar WinDrawHeracles Almelo Win
1.89Projected Goals 1.04
0Final Score 1

Heracles Almelo

Last 5 Games

AZ Alkmaar
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Feyenoord
T 2-2 vs RKC Waalwijk
T 3-3 at NEC Nijmegen
T 2-2 at Ajax
L 1-3 at Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
Money Line
T 0-0 at RKC Waalwijk
W 1-2 vs Twente
T 1-1 at Heerenveen
L 0-1 at Fortuna Sittard
W 2-4 vs Zwolle

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar-111+110+105+117+104+107+110+119.2
Heracles Almelo+310+257+245+225+251+240+257+260.0
Draw+269+253+235+255+251+255+255+275.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar-----+119.2
Heracles Almelo-----+260.0
Draw-----+275.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

AZ Alkmaar: 30.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

AZ Alkmaar ML moved from -113 to -122
Heracles Almelo ML moved from +240 to +230

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-118o2½-119o2¾+102o2¾-102o2¾+101o2¾-102o2½-119o2¾+107
Underu2½+101u2½+101u2¾-122u2¾-118u2¾-123u2¾-118u2¾-118u2¾-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+107
Under-----u2¾-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.8%
 
No45.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.34%
Exactly 222.92%
Exactly 416.40%
Exactly 64.69%
Exactly 80.72%
 
Exactly 115.65%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 59.61%
Exactly 71.96%
Exactly 90.23%
Exact Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 015.05%
Exactly 128.50%
Exactly 226.99%
Exactly 317.04%
Exactly 48.07%
Exactly 53.05%
Exactly 60.96%
Exactly 70.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 035.48%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 219.05%
Exactly 36.58%
Exactly 41.70%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.75%
Exactly 223.70%
Exactly 43.63%
Exactly 60.22%
 
Exactly 134.94%
Exactly 310.72%
Exactly 50.99%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 041.61%
Exactly 136.48%
Exactly 215.99%
Exactly 34.67%
Exactly 41.02%
Exactly 50.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 061.89%
Exactly 129.70%
Exactly 27.12%
Exactly 31.14%
Exactly 40.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 2+ goals33.45%
Wins by 3+ goals15.86%
Wins by 4+ goals6.20%
Wins by 5+ goals2.02%
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 2+ goals7.24%
Wins by 3+ goals1.98%
Wins by 4+ goals0.41%

Exact Winning Margin

AZ Alkmaar
Heracles Almelo
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 1 goal23.87%
Wins by 2 goals17.59%
Wins by 3 goals9.66%
Wins by 4 goals4.19%
Wins by 5 goals1.49%
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 1 goal13.06%
Wins by 2 goals5.26%
Wins by 3 goals1.57%
Wins by 4 goals0.36%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.66%5.34%
1.579.01%20.99%
2.556.09%43.91%
3.533.71%66.29%
4.517.31%82.69%
5.57.70%92.30%
6.53.01%96.99%
7.51.05%98.95%

Total Goals AZ Alkmaar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.95%15.05%
1.556.45%43.55%
2.529.46%70.54%
3.512.42%87.58%
4.54.36%95.64%
5.51.30%98.70%

Total Goals Heracles Almelo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.52%35.48%
1.527.76%72.24%
2.58.71%91.29%
3.52.13%97.87%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.25%25.75%
1.539.31%60.69%
2.515.61%84.39%
3.54.90%95.10%
4.51.26%98.74%

Score Props

Correct Score

AZ Alkmaar
Heracles Almelo
Score01234
0
5.34%
5.53%
2.87%
0.99%
0.26%
1
10.11%
10.48%
5.43%
1.88%
0.49%
2
9.57%
9.92%
5.14%
1.78%
0.46%
3
6.04%
6.26%
3.25%
1.12%
0.29%
4
2.86%
2.97%
1.54%
0.53%
0.14%
5
1.08%
1.12%
0.58%
0.20%
0.05%
AZ Alkmaar
1-010.11%
2-09.57%
2-19.92%
3-06.04%
3-16.26%
3-23.25%
4-02.86%
4-12.97%
4-21.54%
4-30.53%
5-01.08%
5-11.12%
5-20.58%
5-30.20%
Draw
0-05.34%
1-110.48%
2-25.14%
3-31.12%
4-40.14%
Heracles Almelo
0-15.53%
0-22.87%
1-25.43%
0-30.99%
1-31.88%
2-31.78%
0-40.26%
1-40.49%
2-40.46%
3-40.29%

Correct Score - First Half

AZ Alkmaar
Heracles Almelo
Score0123
0
25.75%
12.36%
2.96%
0.47%
1
22.58%
10.83%
2.60%
0.42%
2
9.90%
4.75%
1.14%
0.18%
3
2.89%
1.39%
0.33%
0.05%
4
0.63%
0.30%
0.07%
0.01%
5
0.11%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
AZ Alkmaar
1-022.58%
2-09.90%
2-14.75%
3-02.89%
3-11.39%
3-20.33%
4-00.63%
4-10.30%
5-00.11%
Draw
0-025.75%
1-110.83%
2-21.14%
Heracles Almelo
0-112.36%
0-22.96%
1-22.60%
0-30.47%
1-30.42%
2-30.18%
Groningen at Utrecht
Twente at Zwolle