AZ Alkmaar at NEC Nijmegen

Updated

AZ Alkmaar

40.6%27.1%32.3%
AZ Alkmaar WinDrawNEC Nijmegen Win
1.32Projected Goals 1.15
3Final Score 3

NEC Nijmegen

Last 5 Games

AZ Alkmaar
Money Line
T 2-2 at Ajax
L 1-3 at Heerenveen
W 0-1 vs Fortuna Sittard
W 0-2 vs Zwolle
W 2-0 at Willem II
NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
W 1-0 at Utrecht
L 3-2 vs Go Ahead Eagles
T 0-0 at Feyenoord
L 0-2 at Twente
T 2-2 vs Almere City

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar+122-105-110-111-113-111-105+101.2
NEC Nijmegen+226+301+300+305+307+305+307+328.8
Draw+254+260+230+250+253+250+260+270.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar-----+101.2
NEC Nijmegen-----+328.8
Draw-----+270.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

AZ Alkmaar: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

AZ Alkmaar ML moved from +101 to -102
NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +290 to +280

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-110o2½-107o2½-108o2½-102o2½-105o2½-102o2½-102o2½+107
Underu2½-106u2½-110u2½-112u2½-118u2½-115u2½-118u2½-110u2½-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+107
Under-----u2½-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.0%
 
No50.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.49%
Exactly 225.82%
Exactly 413.09%
Exactly 62.65%
Exactly 80.29%
 
Exactly 120.94%
Exactly 321.23%
Exactly 56.46%
Exactly 70.94%
Exact Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 026.70%
Exactly 135.26%
Exactly 223.28%
Exactly 310.24%
Exactly 43.38%
Exactly 50.89%
Exactly 60.20%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 031.78%
Exactly 136.43%
Exactly 220.88%
Exactly 37.98%
Exactly 42.29%
Exactly 50.52%
Exactly 60.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.92%
Exactly 220.81%
Exactly 42.26%
 
Exactly 136.45%
Exactly 37.92%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 054.26%
Exactly 133.17%
Exactly 210.14%
Exactly 32.07%
Exactly 40.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 058.82%
Exactly 131.21%
Exactly 28.28%
Exactly 31.47%
Exactly 40.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 2+ goals18.46%
Wins by 3+ goals6.55%
Wins by 4+ goals1.86%
Wins by 5+ goals0.42%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals13.07%
Wins by 3+ goals4.09%
Wins by 4+ goals1.02%
Wins by 5+ goals0.20%

Exact Winning Margin

AZ Alkmaar
NEC Nijmegen
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 1 goal22.12%
Wins by 2 goals11.91%
Wins by 3 goals4.69%
Wins by 4 goals1.44%
Wins by 5 goals0.36%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal19.20%
Wins by 2 goals8.98%
Wins by 3 goals3.07%
Wins by 4 goals0.82%
Wins by 5 goals0.18%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.51%8.49%
1.570.58%29.42%
2.544.76%55.24%
3.523.53%76.47%
4.510.44%89.56%
5.53.98%96.02%
6.51.33%98.67%

Total Goals AZ Alkmaar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.30%26.70%
1.538.04%61.96%
2.514.76%85.24%
3.54.52%95.48%
4.51.13%98.87%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.22%31.78%
1.531.78%68.22%
2.510.91%89.09%
3.52.93%97.07%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.08%31.92%
1.531.63%68.37%
2.510.82%89.18%
3.52.90%97.10%

Score Props

Correct Score

AZ Alkmaar
NEC Nijmegen
Score012345
0
8.49%
9.73%
5.58%
2.13%
0.61%
0.14%
1
11.21%
12.85%
7.36%
2.81%
0.81%
0.18%
2
7.40%
8.48%
4.86%
1.86%
0.53%
0.12%
3
3.26%
3.73%
2.14%
0.82%
0.23%
0.05%
4
1.07%
1.23%
0.71%
0.27%
0.08%
0.02%
5
0.28%
0.33%
0.19%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
AZ Alkmaar
1-011.21%
2-07.40%
2-18.48%
3-03.26%
3-13.73%
3-22.14%
4-01.07%
4-11.23%
4-20.71%
4-30.27%
5-00.28%
5-10.33%
5-20.19%
Draw
0-08.49%
1-112.85%
2-24.86%
3-30.82%
NEC Nijmegen
0-19.73%
0-25.58%
1-27.36%
0-32.13%
1-32.81%
2-31.86%
0-40.61%
1-40.81%
2-40.53%
3-40.23%
0-50.14%
1-50.18%
2-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

AZ Alkmaar
NEC Nijmegen
Score01234
0
31.92%
16.94%
4.49%
0.80%
0.11%
1
19.51%
10.35%
2.75%
0.49%
0.06%
2
5.96%
3.16%
0.84%
0.15%
0.02%
3
1.22%
0.64%
0.17%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.19%
0.10%
0.03%
0.00%
0.00%
AZ Alkmaar
1-019.51%
2-05.96%
2-13.16%
3-01.22%
3-10.64%
3-20.17%
4-00.19%
Draw
0-031.92%
1-110.35%
2-20.84%
NEC Nijmegen
0-116.94%
0-24.49%
1-22.75%
0-30.80%
1-30.49%
2-30.15%
0-40.11%
RKC Waalwijk at Zwolle
Heerenveen at Utrecht