Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 6, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Utrecht
Heracles Almelo 		51.2%
24.8%		24.0%
-102
+260

1.69
1.11		2.80
o2¾+102
u2¾-122

Games for Mar 5, 2026
Games for Mar 7, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Heracles Almelo
Sparta Rotterdam		18.9%
59.1%		21.9%
+315
-119

0
2		-0.65969-0.52528
Ajax
Telstar		56.9%
19.8%		23.3%
-110
+275

3
2		-0.69888-0.56453
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles		15.1%
65.5%		19.4%
+295
-120

2
2		-1.38502-1.63933
Feyenoord
Heerenveen		52.9%
23.7%		23.3%
+135
+176

2
2		-1.36485-1.45629
NAC Breda
Groningen		16.3%
64.5%		19.2%
+420
-141

0
0		-1.37472-1.65188
Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven		4.9%
84.9%		10.3%
+1300
-625

1
5		-0.18919-0.16407
Zwolle
Twente		8.9%
76.2%		14.8%
+760
-323

1
1		-1.82313-1.90872
Volendam
AZ Alkmaar		5.1%
83.7%		11.1%
+1500
-650

0
1		-0.19155-0.17748
Sparta Rotterdam
Volendam		50.3%
24.3%		25.5%
+135
+188

1
0		-0.89309-0.68814
AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard		61.6%
17.7%		20.7%
-147
+355

3
4		-1.56151-1.73319
Groningen
Go Ahead Eagles		28.5%
45.0%		26.5%
+106
+255

1
1		-1.31461-1.32829
Twente
Feyenoord		12.0%
70.7%		17.3%
+260
-105

1
1		-1.39659-1.75730
PSV Eindhoven
Utrecht		47.2%
28.4%		24.4%
-121
+300

2
1		-0.64295-0.75107
Telstar
NAC Breda		24.8%
51.5%		23.7%
+325
-123

1
0		-1.49910-1.39425
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen		32.8%
40.4%		26.7%
+195
+117

2
2		-1.41568-1.31886
Zwolle
Excelsior		20.3%
56.3%		23.4%
+220
+112

1
2		-0.80102-0.57451
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.