Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 30, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
PostponedGroningen
Ajax 		15.3%
64.7%		20.0%
+255
-102

0.91
2.09		3.00
o2¾-108
u2¾-105

Games for Nov 29, 2025
Games for Dec 13, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Feyenoord
AZ Alkmaar		46.6%
28.4%		24.9%
+170
+149

3
3		-1.35969-1.38886
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven		14.0%
68.3%		17.7%
+400
-151

2
2		-1.53628-1.73404
NEC Nijmegen
Heerenveen		40.9%
32.1%		27.0%
+173
+144

2
3		-0.92402-1.13610
Go Ahead Eagles
Zwolle		28.1%
46.6%		25.3%
+169
+163

2
0		-1.01885-1.27065
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda		42.9%
32.7%		24.4%
+320
-109

1
2		-0.67352-1.11844
Utrecht
Fortuna Sittard		54.6%
22.4%		23.0%
+120
+235

0
1		-1.24309-1.49593
Telstar
Groningen		20.8%
53.8%		25.3%
+510
-173

0
2		-0.49348-0.61964
Excelsior
Volendam		45.5%
26.9%		27.6%
+201
+125

2
1		-1.13965-0.78854
Twente
Sparta Rotterdam		38.9%
33.9%		27.2%
+142
+190

5
1		-0.91824-0.94328
Fortuna Sittard
Feyenoord		4.5%
86.0%		9.5%
+979
-343

0
2		-0.28890-0.15122
Fortuna Sittard
Telstar		24.7%
49.6%		25.7%
+265
+109

3
1		-1.32754-1.39796
AZ Alkmaar
Heracles Almelo		48.9%
26.4%		24.7%
-159
+413

2
1		-0.52093-0.71625
Groningen
Utrecht		13.3%
67.7%		18.9%
+420
-135

1
0		-1.67815-2.01500
Sparta Rotterdam
Excelsior		50.1%
24.4%		25.5%
+171
+152

1
0		-1.02896-0.69187
Heerenveen
Feyenoord		4.7%
85.7%		9.6%
+700
-275

0
1		-0.34338-0.15468
NAC Breda
Twente		4.2%
87.4%		8.4%
+509
-187

2
2		-1.57566-2.48291
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.