Heracles Almelo at AZ Alkmaar

Updated

Heracles Almelo

14.1%17.7%68.2%
WinDrawAZ Alkmaar Win
1.01Projected Goals 2.40
0Final Score 4

AZ Alkmaar

Last 5 Games

Heracles Almelo
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Utrecht
L 3-1 vs PSV Eindhoven
L 0-4 at Go Ahead Eagles
L 1-0 vs NAC Breda
L 1-4 at NEC Nijmegen
AZ Alkmaar
Money Line
L 1-2 at PSV Eindhoven
L 0-2 at Utrecht
W 1-3 vs Sparta Rotterdam
W 2-1 at Excelsior
T 1-1 vs Ajax

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heracles Almelo+575-+650+675+675+675+675+704.8
AZ Alkmaar-260--300-278-278-278-278-242.8
Draw+405-+435+475+475+475+475+497.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heracles Almelo-----+704.8
AZ Alkmaar------242.8
Draw-----+497.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heracles Almelo: 20.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heracles Almelo ML moved from +650 to +625
AZ Alkmaar ML moved from -256 to -278

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.7%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-118-o3½+100o3¼-121o3¼-121o3¼-121o3¼-121o3¼-110
Underu3-102-u3½-120u3¼+101u3¼+101u3¼+101u3½-120u3¼+110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼-110
Under-----u3¼+110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes57.7%
 
No42.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.31%
Exactly 219.23%
Exactly 418.61%
Exactly 67.20%
Exactly 81.49%
Exactly 100.19%
 
Exactly 111.29%
Exactly 321.84%
Exactly 512.68%
Exactly 73.51%
Exactly 90.57%
Exact Goals Scored - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 036.57%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.50%
Exactly 36.20%
Exactly 41.56%
Exactly 50.31%
Exact Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 09.06%
Exactly 121.75%
Exactly 226.12%
Exactly 320.91%
Exactly 412.55%
Exactly 56.03%
Exactly 62.41%
Exactly 70.83%
Exactly 80.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.64%
Exactly 225.69%
Exactly 45.33%
Exactly 60.44%
 
Exactly 132.57%
Exactly 313.51%
Exactly 51.68%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 062.77%
Exactly 129.23%
Exactly 26.81%
Exactly 31.06%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 032.89%
Exactly 136.57%
Exactly 220.33%
Exactly 37.54%
Exactly 42.10%
Exactly 50.47%

Alternate Props

Spread

Heracles Almelo
Wins by 2+ goals4.72%
Wins by 3+ goals1.22%
Wins by 4+ goals0.24%
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 2+ goals45.82%
Wins by 3+ goals25.84%
Wins by 4+ goals12.29%
Wins by 5+ goals4.98%
Wins by 6+ goals1.72%
Wins by 7+ goals0.49%

Exact Winning Margin

Heracles Almelo
AZ Alkmaar
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 1 goal9.34%
Wins by 2 goals3.50%
Wins by 3 goals0.98%
Wins by 4 goals0.21%
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 1 goal22.31%
Wins by 2 goals19.98%
Wins by 3 goals13.54%
Wins by 4 goals7.31%
Wins by 5 goals3.26%
Wins by 6 goals1.23%
Wins by 7 goals0.39%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.69%3.31%
1.585.40%14.60%
2.566.17%33.83%
3.544.33%55.67%
4.525.72%74.28%
5.513.04%86.96%
6.55.84%94.16%
7.52.33%97.67%

Total Goals Heracles Almelo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.43%36.57%
1.526.64%73.36%
2.58.14%91.86%
3.51.94%98.06%

Total Goals AZ Alkmaar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.94%9.06%
1.569.19%30.81%
2.543.07%56.93%
3.522.16%77.84%
4.59.61%90.39%
5.53.58%96.42%
6.51.16%98.84%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.36%20.64%
1.546.78%53.22%
2.521.09%78.91%
3.57.58%92.42%
4.52.25%97.75%

Score Props

Correct Score

Heracles Almelo
AZ Alkmaar
Score012345
0
3.31%
7.95%
9.55%
7.65%
4.59%
2.21%
1
3.33%
8.00%
9.61%
7.69%
4.62%
2.22%
2
1.68%
4.02%
4.83%
3.87%
2.32%
1.12%
3
0.56%
1.35%
1.62%
1.30%
0.78%
0.37%
4
0.14%
0.34%
0.41%
0.33%
0.20%
0.09%
Heracles Almelo
1-03.33%
2-01.68%
2-14.02%
3-00.56%
3-11.35%
3-21.62%
4-00.14%
4-10.34%
4-20.41%
4-30.33%
Draw
0-03.31%
1-18.00%
2-24.83%
3-31.30%
4-40.20%
AZ Alkmaar
0-17.95%
0-29.55%
1-29.61%
0-37.65%
1-37.69%
2-33.87%
0-44.59%
1-44.62%
2-42.32%
3-40.78%
0-52.21%
1-52.22%
2-51.12%
3-50.37%

Correct Score - First Half

Heracles Almelo
AZ Alkmaar
Score012345
0
20.64%
22.96%
12.76%
4.73%
1.32%
0.29%
1
9.62%
10.69%
5.94%
2.20%
0.61%
0.14%
2
2.24%
2.49%
1.38%
0.51%
0.14%
0.03%
3
0.35%
0.39%
0.21%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Heracles Almelo
1-09.62%
2-02.24%
2-12.49%
3-00.35%
3-10.39%
3-20.21%
Draw
0-020.64%
1-110.69%
2-21.38%
AZ Alkmaar
0-122.96%
0-212.76%
1-25.94%
0-34.73%
1-32.20%
2-30.51%
0-41.32%
1-40.61%
2-40.14%
0-50.29%
1-50.14%
Excelsior at Feyenoord
NAC Breda at Go Ahead Eag