Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated 27 days ago

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Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
03/11/2023 03:30 PM	Excelsior Emmen	20.4% 56.4%	23.2%	+425 -144 +435 -155	0 2	-0.56438-0.54775	-0.57314
03/05/2023 07:00 PM	Go Ahead Eagles Cambuur	35.3% 38.9%	25.7%	+177 +175 +160 +175	1 4	-1.03888-1.06161	-0.94348
03/05/2023 03:45 PM	NEC Nijmegen Ajax	3.4% 87.9%	8.7%	+1413 -486 +1050 -480	0 1	-0.21033-0.24039	-0.12899
03/05/2023 01:30 PM	PSV Eindhoven RKC Waalwijk	72.9% 11.0%	16.1%	-221 +580 -230 +560	1 0	-0.40366-0.41225	-0.31660
03/05/2023 11:15 AM	Sparta Rotterdam Excelsior	44.3% 28.4%	27.2%	+100 +294 +105 +265	4 1	-0.72958-0.76819	-0.81310
03/04/2023 08:00 PM	Heerenveen Twente	15.6% 64.1%	20.3%	+563 -172 +470 -170	3 3	-1.43771-1.44940	-1.59381
03/04/2023 07:00 PM	Groningen Feyenoord	4.9% 84.2%	10.8%	+1591 -519 +1300 -550	0 1	-0.20329-0.21671	-0.17163
03/04/2023 05:45 PM	Emmen Volendam	35.6% 36.3%	28.1%	+200 +145 +185 +155	1 3	-0.92057-0.98556	-1.01310
03/03/2023 07:00 PM	AZ Alkmaar Vitesse	52.1% 24.0%	23.8%	+135 +214 +125 +220	1 0	-0.89184-0.86074	-0.65139
03/03/2023 07:00 PM	Fortuna Sittard Utrecht	12.6% 70.2%	17.2%	+456 -163 +430 -170	2 1	-1.74991-1.71730	-2.07362
02/26/2023 03:45 PM	Twente PSV Eindhoven	12.1% 71.2%	16.7%	+455 -157 +450 -160	1 3	-0.52721-0.53773	-0.33969
02/26/2023 01:30 PM	Ajax Vitesse	80.2% 7.0%	12.8%	-217 +592 -205 +505	2 1	-0.41446-0.44845	-0.22038
02/26/2023 01:30 PM	Go Ahead Eagles Emmen	27.1% 47.9%	24.9%	+207 +150 +200 +145	2 2	-1.20068-1.21574	-1.38890
02/26/2023 11:15 AM	Feyenoord Fortuna Sittard	75.0% 10.0%	15.0%	-249 +697 -240 +625	4 2	-0.36839-0.39914	-0.28758
02/25/2023 08:00 PM	Volendam NEC Nijmegen	11.8% 68.7%	19.4%	+661 -229 +550 -200	0 3	-0.40178-0.45463	-0.37523
02/25/2023 07:00 PM	Cambuur AZ Alkmaar	6.4% 82.6%	11.0%	+1132 -356 +1000 -375	1 2	-0.26920-0.28506	-0.19171

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.