Ajax at Vitesse

Updated

Ajax

80.2%12.8%7.0%
Ajax WinDrawWin
2.80Projected Goals 0.72
2Final Score 1

Vitesse

Last 5 Games

Ajax
Money Line
W 0-4 vs Sparta Rotterdam-435
W 1-3 vs RKC Waalwijk-700
W 5-0 at Cambuur-380
W 4-1 at Excelsior-400
T 1-1 vs Volendam-950
Vitesse
Money Line
L 0-2 at Volendam-115
W 0-2 vs Utrecht+155
T 2-2 at Emmen+155
W 3-1 at Heerenveen+220
T 2-2 vs Twente+285

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-188-221-240-220-217-220-217-191.7
Vitesse+509+592+550+565+538+565+592+595.7
Draw+348+383+370+380+368+380+383+402.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-200-----205-205-191.7
Vitesse+485----+505+505+595.7
Draw+370----+365+365+402.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Vitesse: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 30.0%
Vitesse: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Vitesse: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -214 to -221
Vitesse ML moved from +554 to +543

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Vitesse: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 30.0%
Vitesse: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Vitesse: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -195 to -210
No Steam Moves On Vitesse ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-112o3-106o3-108o3-103o3-104o3-103o3-103o3+106
Underu3-104u3-110u3-112u3-117u3-111u3-117u3-110u3-106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+106
Under-----u3-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.4%
 
No51.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.96%
Exactly 218.35%
Exactly 418.93%
Exactly 67.81%
Exactly 81.73%
Exactly 100.24%
 
Exactly 110.43%
Exactly 321.52%
Exactly 513.32%
Exactly 73.93%
Exactly 90.68%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 06.11%
Exactly 117.09%
Exactly 223.87%
Exactly 322.24%
Exactly 415.54%
Exactly 58.68%
Exactly 64.05%
Exactly 71.62%
Exactly 80.56%
Exactly 90.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Vitesse
Exactly 048.47%
Exactly 135.10%
Exactly 212.71%
Exactly 33.07%
Exactly 40.56%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 019.61%
Exactly 226.02%
Exactly 45.76%
Exactly 60.51%
 
Exactly 131.95%
Exactly 314.13%
Exactly 51.88%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 027.42%
Exactly 135.48%
Exactly 222.95%
Exactly 39.90%
Exactly 43.20%
Exactly 50.83%
Exactly 60.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Vitesse
Exactly 071.51%
Exactly 123.98%
Exactly 24.02%
Exactly 30.45%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals60.14%
Wins by 3+ goals38.50%
Wins by 4+ goals21.03%
Wins by 5+ goals9.88%
Vitesse
Wins by 2+ goals1.75%
Wins by 3+ goals0.32%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
Vitesse
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal20.01%
Wins by 2 goals21.64%
Wins by 3 goals17.47%
Wins by 4 goals11.15%
Wins by 5 goals5.85%
Vitesse
Wins by 1 goal5.17%
Wins by 2 goals1.43%
Wins by 3 goals0.28%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.04%2.96%
1.586.61%13.39%
2.568.26%31.74%
3.546.75%53.25%
4.527.81%72.19%
5.514.49%85.51%
6.56.68%93.32%
7.52.75%97.25%
8.51.02%98.98%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.89%6.11%
1.576.80%23.20%
2.552.93%47.07%
3.530.69%69.31%
4.515.15%84.85%
5.56.46%93.54%
6.52.42%97.58%

Total Goals Vitesse Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.53%48.47%
1.516.43%83.57%
2.53.72%96.28%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.39%19.61%
1.548.45%51.55%
2.522.42%77.58%
3.58.29%91.71%
4.52.53%97.47%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
Vitesse
Score0123
0
2.96%
2.15%
0.78%
0.19%
1
8.28%
6.00%
2.17%
0.52%
2
11.57%
8.38%
3.03%
0.73%
3
10.78%
7.81%
2.83%
0.68%
4
7.53%
5.45%
1.98%
0.48%
5
4.21%
3.05%
1.10%
0.27%
Ajax
1-08.28%
2-011.57%
2-18.38%
3-010.78%
3-17.81%
3-22.83%
4-07.53%
4-15.45%
4-21.98%
4-30.48%
5-04.21%
5-13.05%
5-21.10%
5-30.27%
Draw
0-02.96%
1-16.00%
2-23.03%
3-30.68%
Vitesse
0-12.15%
0-20.78%
1-22.17%
0-30.19%
1-30.52%
2-30.73%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
Vitesse
Score0123
0
19.61%
6.57%
1.10%
0.12%
1
25.37%
8.51%
1.43%
0.16%
2
16.41%
5.50%
0.92%
0.10%
3
7.08%
2.37%
0.40%
0.04%
4
2.29%
0.77%
0.13%
0.01%
5
0.59%
0.20%
0.03%
0.00%
6
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Ajax
1-025.37%
2-016.41%
2-15.50%
3-07.08%
3-12.37%
3-20.40%
4-02.29%
4-10.77%
4-20.13%
5-00.59%
5-10.20%
6-00.13%
Draw
0-019.61%
1-18.51%
2-20.92%
Vitesse
0-16.57%
0-21.10%
1-21.43%
0-30.12%
1-30.16%
2-30.10%