Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated 27 days ago

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Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
02/25/2023 05:45 PM	RKC Waalwijk Heerenveen	18.6% 59.0%	22.4%	+278 +102 +265 +100	4 1	-1.36348-1.34519	-1.68244
02/25/2023 03:30 PM	Excelsior Groningen	16.9% 60.1%	23.0%	+375 -136 +330 -125	0 3	-0.58731-0.63779	-0.50953
02/24/2023 07:00 PM	Utrecht Sparta Rotterdam	34.6% 38.1%	27.3%	+154 +194 +165 +175	3 0	-0.97196-1.02666	-1.06189
02/19/2023 07:00 PM	NEC Nijmegen Excelsior	43.1% 28.8%	28.1%	+122 +243 +115 +235	3 0	-0.82485-0.81362	-0.84265
02/19/2023 03:45 PM	Sparta Rotterdam Ajax	3.4% 88.2%	8.4%	+1114 -393 +1140 -435	0 4	-0.25930-0.25687	-0.12553
02/19/2023 01:30 PM	Twente Go Ahead Eagles	54.0% 22.4%	23.6%	+121 +245 +115 +245	0 2	-1.26210-1.28630	-1.49754
02/19/2023 01:30 PM	PSV Eindhoven Utrecht	59.0% 19.8%	21.1%	+103 +285 +100 +250	2 2	-1.32272-1.37279	-1.55433
02/19/2023 11:15 AM	Heerenveen Cambuur	38.4% 35.8%	25.9%	+128 +244 +135 +215	2 1	-0.85074-0.90387	-0.95810
02/18/2023 08:00 PM	AZ Alkmaar Feyenoord	19.1% 59.4%	21.4%	+325 -113 +300 -115	1 2	-0.65587-0.67598	-0.52019
02/18/2023 05:45 PM	Emmen Groningen	24.6% 50.2%	25.1%	+211 +153 +200 +145	1 1	-1.19419-1.22670	-1.38167
02/18/2023 03:30 PM	Vitesse Volendam	46.3% 27.5%	26.2%	-121 +345 -115 +300	0 2	-1.51613-1.43658	-1.29138
02/17/2023 07:00 PM	Fortuna Sittard RKC Waalwijk	22.3% 54.4%	23.2%	+251 +118 +220 +120	1 3	-0.79897-0.83986	-0.60846
02/12/2023 03:45 PM	Volendam Twente	5.4% 83.0%	11.7%	+1072 -376 +1100 -410	0 3	-0.27503-0.26690	-0.18665
02/12/2023 03:45 PM	RKC Waalwijk Ajax	2.7% 90.1%	7.2%	+1858 -624 +1750 -700	1 3	-0.17040-0.18257	-0.10424
02/12/2023 01:30 PM	Feyenoord Heerenveen	60.2% 18.4%	21.4%	-172 +480 -170 +460	2 1	-0.49495-0.51341	-0.50803
02/12/2023 01:30 PM	Utrecht Vitesse	36.7% 36.3%	27.0%	+177 +158 +170 +155	0 2	-0.97686-0.98714	-1.01385

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.