Excelsior at Groningen

Updated

Excelsior

16.9%23.0%60.1%
WinDrawGroningen Win
0.81Projected Goals 1.77
0Final Score 3

Groningen

Last 5 Games

Excelsior
Money Line
L 3-0 vs NEC Nijmegen+235
L 0-5 at AZ Alkmaar+950
T 0-0 vs RKC Waalwijk+175
L 4-1 vs Ajax+970
L 0-1 at Utrecht+650
Groningen
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Emmen+145
L 0-6 at PSV Eindhoven+1100
T 1-1 vs Twente+500
L 2-3 at Volendam+205
L 1-0 vs Cambuur+125

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior+295+369+320+375-+375+375+398.9
Groningen-120-136-135-140--140-136-124.9
Draw+275+300+300+290-+290+300+309.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior+280----+330+330+398.9
Groningen-110-----125-125-124.9
Draw+280----+280+280+309.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Groningen: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Excelsior: 0.0%
Groningen: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Excelsior: 0.0%
Groningen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Excelsior ML moved from +294 to +285
Groningen ML moved from -130 to -140

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Groningen: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Excelsior: 0.0%
Groningen: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Excelsior: 0.0%
Groningen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Excelsior ML
Groningen ML moved from -115 to -125

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-110o2½-138o2¾-108o2¾-104-o2¾-104o2¾-104o2¾+105
Underu2¾-110u2½+118u2¾-112u2¾-116-u2¾-116u2¾-112u2¾-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+105
Under-----u2¾-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2¾-110 to u2½-108

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.2%
 
No53.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.56%
Exactly 225.21%
Exactly 414.00%
Exactly 63.11%
Exactly 80.37%
 
Exactly 119.53%
Exactly 321.70%
Exactly 57.23%
Exactly 71.15%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 044.35%
Exactly 136.06%
Exactly 214.66%
Exactly 33.97%
Exactly 40.81%
Exactly 50.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Groningen
Exactly 017.05%
Exactly 130.16%
Exactly 226.68%
Exactly 315.73%
Exactly 46.96%
Exactly 52.46%
Exactly 60.73%
Exactly 70.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.26%
Exactly 221.62%
Exactly 42.57%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.17%
Exactly 38.62%
Exactly 50.62%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 068.63%
Exactly 125.84%
Exactly 24.86%
Exactly 30.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Groningen
Exactly 044.09%
Exactly 136.11%
Exactly 214.79%
Exactly 34.04%
Exactly 40.83%
Exactly 50.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals5.09%
Wins by 3+ goals1.16%
Wins by 4+ goals0.20%
Groningen
Wins by 2+ goals34.44%
Wins by 3+ goals15.81%
Wins by 4+ goals5.93%
Wins by 5+ goals1.85%
Wins by 6+ goals0.47%

Exact Winning Margin

Excelsior
Groningen
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal11.77%
Wins by 2 goals3.93%
Wins by 3 goals0.96%
Wins by 4 goals0.18%
Groningen
Wins by 1 goal25.60%
Wins by 2 goals18.63%
Wins by 3 goals9.88%
Wins by 4 goals4.09%
Wins by 5 goals1.38%
Wins by 6 goals0.39%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.44%7.56%
1.572.91%27.09%
2.547.70%52.30%
3.526.01%73.99%
4.512.00%88.00%
5.54.77%95.23%
6.51.66%98.34%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.65%44.35%
1.519.59%80.41%
2.54.93%95.07%

Total Goals Groningen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.95%17.05%
1.552.78%47.22%
2.526.11%73.89%
3.510.38%89.62%
4.53.42%96.58%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.74%30.26%
1.533.57%66.43%
2.511.95%88.05%
3.53.34%96.66%

Score Props

Correct Score

Excelsior
Groningen
Score012345
0
7.56%
13.38%
11.83%
6.98%
3.08%
1.09%
1
6.15%
10.88%
9.62%
5.67%
2.51%
0.89%
2
2.50%
4.42%
3.91%
2.31%
1.02%
0.36%
3
0.68%
1.20%
1.06%
0.62%
0.28%
0.10%
4
0.14%
0.24%
0.22%
0.13%
0.06%
0.02%
Excelsior
1-06.15%
2-02.50%
2-14.42%
3-00.68%
3-11.20%
3-21.06%
4-00.14%
4-10.24%
4-20.22%
4-30.13%
Draw
0-07.56%
1-110.88%
2-23.91%
3-30.62%
Groningen
0-113.38%
0-211.83%
1-29.62%
0-36.98%
1-35.67%
2-32.31%
0-43.08%
1-42.51%
2-41.02%
3-40.28%
0-51.09%
1-50.89%
2-50.36%

Correct Score - First Half

Excelsior
Groningen
Score01234
0
30.26%
24.78%
10.15%
2.77%
0.57%
1
11.39%
9.33%
3.82%
1.04%
0.21%
2
2.14%
1.76%
0.72%
0.20%
0.04%
3
0.27%
0.22%
0.09%
0.02%
0.01%
Excelsior
1-011.39%
2-02.14%
2-11.76%
3-00.27%
3-10.22%
Draw
0-030.26%
1-19.33%
2-20.72%
Groningen
0-124.78%
0-210.15%
1-23.82%
0-32.77%
1-31.04%
2-30.20%
0-40.57%
1-40.21%