NEC Nijmegen at Excelsior

Updated

NEC Nijmegen

43.1%28.1%28.8%
NEC Nijmegen WinDrawExcelsior Win
1.29Projected Goals 1.00
3Final Score 0

Excelsior

Last 5 Games

NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Cambuur-165
L 0-1 at Go Ahead Eagles+185
T 1-1 vs Sparta Rotterdam+130
L 0-2 at Feyenoord+950
W 1-3 vs Emmen+100
Excelsior
Money Line
L 0-5 at AZ Alkmaar+950
T 0-0 vs RKC Waalwijk+175
L 4-1 vs Ajax+970
L 0-1 at Utrecht+650
W 0-2 vs Volendam+140

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+105+122+115+112-+112+122+122.4
Excelsior+235+223+230+243-+243+243+259.8
Draw+250+257+240+250-+250+250+267.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+120----+115+115+122.4
Excelsior+220----+235+235+259.8
Draw+255----+250+250+267.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +125 to +115
Excelsior ML moved from +226 to +219

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On NEC Nijmegen ML
No Steam Moves On Excelsior ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾+102o2½-126o2¾+102o2¾-105-o2¾-105o2½-126o2¾+104
Underu2¾-122u2½+108u2¾-122u2¾-115-u2¾-115u2¾-115u2¾-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+104
Under-----u2¾-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.8%
 
No54.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.15%
Exactly 226.56%
Exactly 411.58%
Exactly 62.02%
Exactly 80.19%
 
Exactly 123.23%
Exactly 320.25%
Exactly 55.30%
Exactly 70.66%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 027.59%
Exactly 135.53%
Exactly 222.87%
Exactly 39.82%
Exactly 43.16%
Exactly 50.81%
Exactly 60.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 036.80%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.39%
Exactly 36.13%
Exactly 41.53%
Exactly 50.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.68%
Exactly 219.45%
Exactly 41.82%
 
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 36.86%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 055.09%
Exactly 132.84%
Exactly 29.79%
Exactly 31.95%
Exactly 40.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 062.95%
Exactly 129.14%
Exactly 26.74%
Exactly 31.04%
Exactly 40.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals19.52%
Wins by 3+ goals6.86%
Wins by 4+ goals1.92%
Wins by 5+ goals0.43%
Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals10.55%
Wins by 3+ goals2.92%
Wins by 4+ goals0.62%

Exact Winning Margin

NEC Nijmegen
Excelsior
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal23.50%
Wins by 2 goals12.66%
Wins by 3 goals4.94%
Wins by 4 goals1.49%
Wins by 5 goals0.36%
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal18.24%
Wins by 2 goals7.63%
Wins by 3 goals2.30%
Wins by 4 goals0.53%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.85%10.15%
1.566.62%33.38%
2.540.06%59.94%
3.519.81%80.19%
4.58.23%91.77%
5.52.93%97.07%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.41%27.59%
1.536.88%63.12%
2.514.01%85.99%
3.54.19%95.81%
4.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.20%36.80%
1.526.41%73.59%
2.58.02%91.98%
3.51.90%98.10%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.32%34.68%
1.528.59%71.41%
2.59.15%90.85%
3.52.28%97.72%

Score Props

Correct Score

NEC Nijmegen
Excelsior
Score01234
0
10.15%
10.15%
5.07%
1.69%
0.42%
1
13.08%
13.07%
6.53%
2.18%
0.54%
2
8.42%
8.41%
4.21%
1.40%
0.35%
3
3.61%
3.61%
1.81%
0.60%
0.15%
4
1.16%
1.16%
0.58%
0.19%
0.05%
5
0.30%
0.30%
0.15%
0.05%
0.01%
NEC Nijmegen
1-013.08%
2-08.42%
2-18.41%
3-03.61%
3-13.61%
3-21.81%
4-01.16%
4-11.16%
4-20.58%
4-30.19%
5-00.30%
5-10.30%
5-20.15%
Draw
0-010.15%
1-113.07%
2-24.21%
3-30.60%
Excelsior
0-110.15%
0-25.07%
1-26.53%
0-31.69%
1-32.18%
2-31.40%
0-40.42%
1-40.54%
2-40.35%
3-40.15%

Correct Score - First Half

NEC Nijmegen
Excelsior
Score0123
0
34.68%
16.05%
3.71%
0.57%
1
20.68%
9.57%
2.21%
0.34%
2
6.16%
2.85%
0.66%
0.10%
3
1.22%
0.57%
0.13%
0.02%
4
0.18%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
NEC Nijmegen
1-020.68%
2-06.16%
2-12.85%
3-01.22%
3-10.57%
3-20.13%
4-00.18%
Draw
0-034.68%
1-19.57%
2-20.66%
Excelsior
0-116.05%
0-23.71%
1-22.21%
0-30.57%
1-30.34%
2-30.10%