Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Groningen
Twente		15.1%
63.7%		21.2%
+475
-189

1
2		-0.45819-0.45037
NEC Nijmegen
Ajax		20.6%
56.8%		22.7%
+310
-125

1
1		-1.45342-1.48497
Volendam
NAC Breda		15.8%
65.0%		19.1%
+425
-152

0
1		-0.54242-0.43003
Heerenveen
PSV Eindhoven		9.0%
77.0%		14.0%
+875
-370

1
3		-0.27648-0.26165
Excelsior
Fortuna Sittard		31.6%
41.2%		27.2%
+216
+128

1
2		-0.85649-0.88741
Twente
Telstar		56.0%
19.3%		24.7%
-185
+500

1
1		-1.55008-1.40015
Zwolle
Heerenveen		10.7%
73.3%		16.0%
+370
-139

2
4		-0.57953-0.31105
Go Ahead Eagles
Feyenoord		7.5%
79.3%		13.2%
+600
-238

0
1		-0.38758-0.23168
Utrecht
Groningen		36.9%
35.4%		27.7%
+320
-109

2
1		-1.47942-0.99739
Fortuna Sittard
Ajax		7.3%
80.2%		12.6%
+800
-323

1
4		-0.31025-0.22112
AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior		53.7%
22.1%		24.2%
+131
+200

2
1		-0.87309-0.62230
NAC Breda
Heracles Almelo		36.7%
39.4%		23.8%
+160
+195

1
0		-0.98631-1.00130
PSV Eindhoven
Volendam		81.7%
6.3%		12.0%
-357
+850

1
2		-2.28533-2.77243
Utrecht
NEC Nijmegen		24.6%
49.7%		25.7%
+400
-139

3
1		-1.64052-1.40173
Heerenveen
Go Ahead Eagles		35.4%
38.1%		26.5%
+165
+160

3
1		-1.00630-1.03798
PSV Eindhoven
Groningen		59.7%
18.7%		21.6%
-139
+340

2
1		-0.57748-0.51622
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.